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Reflation Trade or Fed Takeover?

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China’s New Energy Lifeline: What Canada’s Dramatic U-Turn Means for the AI Arms Race

James Cooper

Despite being an oil superpower, America desperately needs Canadian heavy crude. Now Canada’s cozying up to China instead. Here’s why.

Asia’s Currencies Flashing Red

Charlie Ormond

These aren’t isolated currency wobbles. They’re stress gauges for global leverage and a referendum on whether the US dollar stays dominant through higher rates, or loses ground through political chaos at the Fed.

China’s capitulation? Part 1 – How Iran and Venezuela could kickstart its demise

Brian Chu

In the first of this series, I discuss the linchpins of China’s economy and show how cheap oil plays a crucial role to secure its status as the world’s manufacturing powerhouse. The latest developments in Iran and Venezuela could threaten this.

Copper and Zinc: One ASX small cap that is benefitting

Lachlann Tierney

Rio–Glencore chase copper dominance as AI data centres and EVs supercharge demand, while an overlooked zinc play and one Aussie small cap quietly ride the same boom.

Commodities

China’s New Energy Lifeline: What Canada’s Dramatic U-Turn Means for the AI Arms Race

James Cooper

Despite being an oil superpower, America desperately needs Canadian heavy crude. Now Canada’s cozying up to China instead. Here’s why.

The Aussie Dollar’s Secret: Why Your Currency Is a Mining Stock in Disguise

James Cooper

The Aussie Dollar’s dance with commodity prices reveals where we stand in the mining cycle—and where we’re headed next.

Inside the alt-right plot to take over Australia too

Nick Hubble

Six of the world’s eight largest economies are led by populists, or on the cusp of it. Can Australia dodge the same fate? Investors shouldn’t bet on it…

Following the Smart Money: Oil Service Stocks Lead the Way

James Cooper

Oil prices remain weak, but service company stocks are signalling potential recovery—offering savvy investors an early-cycle opportunity for 2026 gains.

America’s Refineries Can’t Run on American Oil

James Cooper

US refineries can’t process American oil without blending it with heavy crude imports. Venezuela holds the key to America’s long-term energy security.

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Technology

Asia’s Currencies Flashing Red

Charlie Ormond

Mining’s Mega-Merger Moment

Charlie Ormond

Rio Tinto and Glencore begin discussions to form a copper behemoth. Should the deal proceed, it would forge one of the largest mining companies in the world. But is everyone happy?

Why This Tech Guy is Backing Commodities

Charlie Ormond

The macro regime has shifted. Fiscal dominance, sticky inflation, and constrained central banks create a structural case for real assets. This isn’t a rotation. It’s a regime allocation.

Charlie’s 2026 Outlook: The Year AI Sentiment Breaks

Charlie Ormond

2025 was dominated by political theatre, but the structural story was unfolding in technology. AI capex driving growth while application-layer delivery lagged. That tension will define 2026.

Reading/Watching List for Xmas

Charlie Ormond

Whether you’re lounging poolside or hiding from your relatives, here are the books, podcasts, and long-form videos that shaped my thinking this year.

Small-Caps

China’s capitulation? Part 1 – How Iran and Venezuela could kickstart its demise

Brian Chu

Macro

September 11, 1973:The Other 9/11 America Doesn’t Talk About

James Cooper

Chile’s copper nationalisation triggered a US-backed coup in 1973. With Venezuela’s oil at stake, are we witnessing history repeat itself?

Crypto

Record Highs or a Monetary Mirage?

Ryan Dinse

If you don’t get this basic fact right, you’re reading everything else wrong.

Economy

The Quiet Opportunity in Australian Beef

Charlie Ormond

Australian lean beef has climbed to multi-year highs, while share prices remain muted. That sounds like an opportunity to me.

Market-Analysis

Reflation Trade or Fed Takeover?

Murray Dawes

More commodities start to run as gold and silver explode higher. Small caps are also flying. But are they just playing catch-up to the Magnificent 7?

Is it a sign of better growth ahead or just fears that the new US Fed Chairman will lower rates too far?

Charlie and Murray assess the state of play as we head into 2026.

ASX News Update

Bendigo & Adelaide Bank [ASX:BEN] Shares Dip Despite Profit Growth

Charlie Ormond

Bendigo’s shares slid today after a mixed earnings report that had some highs but also signs of trouble ahead for the economy.

Resources and Mining

Whitehaven Coal [ASX:WHC] Surges as Fire Disrupts Market

Charlie Ormond

A fire at Grosvenor coal mine has sent rival coal companies soaring, is now the time to invest?

Series

Reflation Trade or Fed Takeover?

Murray Dawes

More commodities start to run as gold and silver explode higher. Small caps are also flying. But are they just playing catch-up to the Magnificent 7?

Is it a sign of better growth ahead or just fears that the new US Fed Chairman will lower rates too far?

Charlie and Murray assess the state of play as we head into 2026.

Investment ideas from the Edge of the Bell Curve to your inbox

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Fat Tail Daily – ASX Updates | Small caps | Commodities

LATEST VIDEO:
Reflation Trade or Fed Takeover?

China’s New Energy Lifeline: What Canada’s Dramatic U-Turn Means for the AI Arms Race

Asia’s Currencies Flashing Red

China’s capitulation? Part 1 – How Iran and Venezuela could kickstart its demise

Copper and Zinc: One ASX small cap that is benefitting

Commodities

China’s New Energy Lifeline: What Canada’s Dramatic U-Turn Means for the AI Arms Race

The Aussie Dollar’s Secret: Why Your Currency Is a Mining Stock in Disguise

Inside the alt-right plot to take over Australia too

Following the Smart Money: Oil Service Stocks Lead the Way

America’s Refineries Can’t Run on American Oil

Investment ideas from the Edge of the Bell Curve to your inbox

Technology

Asia’s Currencies Flashing Red

Mining’s Mega-Merger Moment

Why This Tech Guy is Backing Commodities

Charlie’s 2026 Outlook: The Year AI Sentiment Breaks

Reading/Watching List for Xmas

Small-Caps

China’s capitulation? Part 1 – How Iran and Venezuela could kickstart its demise

Macro

September 11, 1973:The Other 9/11 America Doesn’t Talk About

Crypto

Record Highs or a Monetary Mirage?

Economy

The Quiet Opportunity in Australian Beef

Market-Analysis

Reflation Trade or Fed Takeover?

ASX News Update

Bendigo & Adelaide Bank [ASX:BEN] Shares Dip Despite Profit Growth

Resources and Mining

Whitehaven Coal [ASX:WHC] Surges as Fire Disrupts Market

Series

Reflation Trade or Fed Takeover?

Investment ideas from the Edge of the Bell Curve to your inbox

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LATEST VIDEO: Reflation Trade or Fed Takeover?

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What people are saying about Fat Tail Daily

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LATEST VIDEO:
Reflation Trade or Fed Takeover?