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Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

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Greg Canavan

About Greg Canavan

Greg Canavan is the Editorial Director of Fat Tail Investment Research and Editor of the flagship investment letter, Fat Tail Investment Advisory.

The underlying philosophy of the service is that there is a difference between a stock price and the company’s underlying value. Investor emotions of greed and fear push share prices well above or below their underlying value.

Greg seeks to take advantage of these swings in investor emotions. That means avoiding popular and ‘hot’ stocks and buying what the crowd is fearful of.

With more than 20 years in financial markets, Greg brings a unique investment philosophy centred on the value of acknowledging one’s limitations. Investing is all about stories and narratives. Investors get into trouble when they believe those narratives too deeply.

It stops them from seeing the danger signs and leads to irrational behaviour. Putting your ego aside and acknowledging your ignorance is a good way to avoid this trap.

As a seasoned value investor, Greg constantly looks for momentarily out-of-favour companies that offer good prospects for long-term returns. He looks for companies with attractive returns on tangible capital, trading below ‘intrinsic value’.

This approach has served Greg’s subscribers well. Over the past 10 years (to October 2024) his average gain (all winners and losers) averaged over 18%. This compares to an average market return over the same time frame of around 9%.

Subscribers to his premium service, Fat Tail Investment Advisory, not only benefit from stock selection. Greg regularly discusses investor psychology and shows members how to benefit from it rather than be a victim of it.

Greg’s book (available to members) You, Your Brain and the Stock Market, has a particular focus on this topic.

For an in-depth understanding of financial markets, we encourage you to explore Greg Canavan’s latest articles listed below.

To further enhance your investment strategy, consider subscribing to Fat Tail Investment Advisory, available at an annual rate of $499 for the first year.

More from Greg Canavan

Interview with a deep value contrarian

By Greg Canavan, Thursday, 20 March 2025

In this wide-ranging interview with Collins St Asset Management’s Michael Goldberg, we discuss what it means to be a value investor and a contrarian. Michael reveals where he sees opportunities in today’s market, with a specific focus on gold and oil stocks. Regards, Greg Canavan, Editor, Fat Tail Alliance, The Insider and Fat Tail Investment […]

Last Chance to Watch the 2025 Gold Summer Series

By Greg Canavan, Saturday, 11 January 2025

For the past week or so, you’ve heard a range of views on gold. These are global experts with deep knowledge of the subject matter. If you missed it, today you’ll find all the interviews in one spot. But hurry, we’re taking it down soon…

My Non-Prediction for 2025

By Greg Canavan, Tuesday, 31 December 2024

The future is inherently unpredictable. The global economy and stock market is a hugely complex machine. So coming up with an outlook for 2025 is a tricky endeavour. Which is why I’m not going to bother.

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Greg Canavan is the editor for

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Fat Tail Investment Advisory

In every kind of market — including downturns — there are profitable opportunities for those who look in the right places.

As Editor Greg Canavan shows you in our flagship Advisory, you don’t have to take crazy risks to achieve success. Calculated risk-taking is what’s needed while interest rates remain stuck at generational lows.

If you want to be a successful investor, you need to be smart, no matter what’s happening in the market. Greg — a student of the financial markets for more than 20 years — is a master at deciphering price signals in a world of mainstream noise…and leading you to exciting investment opportunities many would rule out.

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Alliance

The Alliance is our top membership tier.

As an Alliance member you’ll get everything we publish now…for life. No more individual renewals. And everything NEW we publish in the future. (Excluding third-party products and ultra-limited memberships.)

If you’re a real fan of what we do…this could very well be one of the best investments you will make in your whole life.

It’s a LIFETIME membership.

As an Alliance member, your ‘stake’ in our business grows with our business. Your joining fee is a one-off payment that gets you everything we publish now and in the future.

You’ll also have on tap a range of Alliance-only privileges.

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Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

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Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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