When you read articles about Australian housing affordability, it is often comparing the single average adult wage to house prices, from generations ago.
The articles generally say something like, ‘a house was worth three times the annual average wage back in the sixties and is now worth 10 times the average wage. This shows housing has become unaffordable.’
You can’t compare the two because back in the sixties it was one wage bidding on real estate.
Today, learn all about Judge James G Maguire, who published ideas in 1879 that electrified the world. He had identified the underlying cause of the boom-and-bust cycle and provided a practical remedy. Read on to find out more…
The mainstream media never gives voice to the economists with a solid record of forecasting the booms and busts in the economy. They’re considered mavericks in their profession. It’s still thought to be impossible to accurately forecast future recessions by the powers that hold influence over monetary and fiscal policy. But today, I give you a list of those who were able to do it. Read on…
Today we’re learning about Roy Wenzlick…the one loan voice forecasting a boom following the devastating Depression of the 1930s. It was a controversial call — yet it happened. The US and UK real estate markets roared in the 1940s post-war boom. It played out just as Wenzlick’s analysis had shown. And, if we were to apply Wenzlick’s analysis to our current economic situation, a similar forecast would be on the cards…
There is an immigration bomb sitting underneath the Australian property market, and it’s threatening to put a rocket under property prices as we head into the winner’s curse phase of this cycle (between 2024–26). As it is, there are not enough properties on the rental market to meet demand — and arguably, not enough listed for sale either! So what’s the solution? Read on to find out, in an interview I had with MacroBusiness cofounder Leith Van Olsen…
With all that’s been happening in the markets recently, the property market is undoubtedly in for a U-turn. If so, it threatens to put a light under the market as we transit into the ‘winner curse; phase of the cycle between 2024-2026 — exactly as we would expect as we run into the peak.
News of the US Silicon Valley Bank collapse has flooded the media headlines over the past week, and unsurprisingly, many are wondering how it fits in with the real estate cycle. Read on for a breakdown…
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