When you read articles about Australian housing affordability, it is often comparing the single average adult wage to house prices, from generations ago.
The articles generally say something like, ‘a house was worth three times the annual average wage back in the sixties and is now worth 10 times the average wage. This shows housing has become unaffordable.’
You can’t compare the two because back in the sixties it was one wage bidding on real estate.
I recently introduced my Cycles, Trends & Forecasts readers to another methodology that demonstrates the peaks of the cycle in advance — but also indicates when it’s a good time to buy and when it’s a good time to sell. Today I thought I’d share with you part of that report, which debunks a few myths on the key drivers of the 18.6-year cycle…
In an effort to make itself a global leader in ‘space tourism’, Dubai is launching what will be the region’s biggest ever tourist project…a giant moon. Dubai is known for such elaborate structures. For instance, back in 2009, they built the magnificent Burj Khalifa…which cemented its spot in a historical timeline phenomenon known as the ‘Skyscraper Curse’. Read on for more detail…
You can’t analyse the 18.6-year cycle using short-term data, yet most real estate indexes only go back a few decades. However, the one I want to tell you about today, charts spanning 350 years of housing data. Few know of its existence, let alone its significance to the study of the 18.6-year land cycle…
Today I share with you an interview I did with the chief economics commentator at the Financial Times in London, Martin Wolf. He has just released a new book, The Crisis of Democratic Capitalism. In it, he argues that capitalism has become distorted by monopolistic interests, leading to a corruption of democratic processes. He warns that unless we address this problem, our economies and societies will break down — and worse still, we could be ‘sleepwalking into war’…
We put a lot of emphasis on the residential market when analysing the land cycle. However, few are aware that historically, the commercial real estate booms and busts have had a far more significant impact on Australia’s economy. It’s a massive sector, but unless you’re in the market — doing deals day in, day out — it’s not easy to keep on top of the trends. With this in mind, I reached out to ‘property whisperer’ Warren Ebert for an interview…
The core to learning the mechanics of the 18.6-year land cycle is fully understanding the role of economic rent (unearned income) and rent-seeking in the economy. Throughout the cycle, the greatest economic gains always come from owning the rights to land. However, rent-seeking can take on many forms. Read on to find out more…
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