What’s Not Priced In #17: Interest Rates, Lower and Sooner?
Consensus is now firming that interest rates will stay ‘higher for longer’. But when consensus forms in markets, it’s time to listen to your inner contrarian. The mantra of ‘higher for longer’ may be superseded by ‘lower and sooner’. What’s not priced in? As household savings dissipate and consumer demand falls, central banks could end up cutting more than expected in 2024…



