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Murray Dawes

Banks Down, Miners Up: The easiest 5-10 year trade on the ASX

By Murray Dawes, Wednesday, 03 December 2025

Bank valuations are stretched, miners are poised to benefit from major trends. Lachlann Tierney explains why this could be the easiest trade for the next 5-10 years.

How will Trump’s Fed chair pick shape markets? Two things to watch

By Murray Dawes, Monday, 01 December 2025

Trump announces he’s made up his mind on the next Federal Reserve Chair. And it looks like the unlikely Santa Rally is back on.

Is This the Start of the Santa Rally?

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 28 November 2025

After a rough month that saw the ASX 200 drop 8% and local microcaps sink 15%, everyone’s hoping a Santa Rally is around the corner. As US rate cut hopes rise US stocks are edging towards a weekly buy signal. But in Australia, hot inflation has traders worrying we’re heading the other way. In this week’s Closing Bell, Charlie and I break down the diverging paths of the Nasdaq and ASX and where the real action is hiding. We look at fresh moves in copper and an oversold Bitcoin that could be ready to bounce, but we also explain why you might want to de-risk on the way up.

The Bear Conspiracy

By Murray Dawes, Monday, 24 November 2025

Nasdaq Biotech Index rallies 30% as institutional funds reposition. Payment-for-order-flow hits record highs. Why apocalypse narratives might be the real shake-out strategy.

AI Jitters Spread

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 21 November 2025

The market looked unstoppable a week ago. Now the ASX 200 is rolling over, the S&P 500 just posted a brutal reversal after Nvidia’s results, and the AI poster children are starting to bleed. In this episode of Closing Bell we break down the confirmed false break on the ASX, the huge intraday whipsaw on Wall Street, why names like Nvidia, Blue Owl, Oracle and Meta are flashing warning signs, and how the collapsing Japanese yen could be the next wild card. Plus, we map out the key downside levels to watch and where Nvidia might actually become a buy if this correction deepens.

Market bleeding continues…but is that a massive lithium rally I see?

By Murray Dawes, Wednesday, 19 November 2025

Markets bleed as Fed liquidity tightens and only 25% of NASDAQ stocks hold above key averages. Could China liquidity and lithium rally save the day?

Bitcoin’s Rocky Descent: Why This Isn’t Winter (Yet)

By Murray Dawes, Monday, 17 November 2025

Bitcoin has plunged 24% from October’s peak to a seven-month low, but Lachlann Tierney things this shakeout isn’t a crypto winter yet. US regulatory support and central bank easing suggest otherwise.

ASX About to Crack?

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 14 November 2025

In today’s Closing Bell, we look at the ASX 200’s sudden slide, why key support is so important here, and how a false break could turn into a near 10% correction into Christmas. I also touch on the growing cracks in weaker AI names, such as Oracle and Meta, and what that might mean for the broader market. We finish on a positive note with a brief look at the lithium stocks that are still running. Hit play to see the levels and charts I’m watching now.

China-US Beef Part Infinity: You stole our bitcoins!

By Murray Dawes, Wednesday, 12 November 2025

China accuses US of stealing $13 billion in Bitcoin, Lachlann Tierney argues this exposes deeper tensions over cryptocurrency regulation and the future of dollar dominance.

As fear rises, gold is fine. But what’s an ASX bull market without a lithium craze?

By Murray Dawes, Monday, 10 November 2025

Fear has ripped through markets. XEC down 13%. But corrections fuel bull markets. Lachlann Tierney thinks ASX lithium plays are set for an explosive move.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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