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Murray Dawes

How will Trump’s Fed chair pick shape markets? Two things to watch

How will Trump’s Fed chair pick shape markets? Two things to watch

Trump announces he’s made up his mind on the next Federal Reserve Chair. And it looks like the unlikely Santa Rally is back on.

By Murray Dawes, Monday, 01 December 2025

Is This the Start of the Santa Rally?

Is This the Start of the Santa Rally?

After a rough month that saw the ASX 200 drop 8% and local microcaps sink 15%, everyone’s hoping a Santa Rally is around the corner. As US rate cut hopes rise US stocks are edging towards a weekly buy signal. But in Australia, hot inflation has traders worrying we’re heading the other way. In this week’s Closing Bell, Charlie and I break down the diverging paths of the Nasdaq and ASX and where the real action is hiding. We look at fresh moves in copper and an oversold Bitcoin that could be ready to bounce, but we also explain why you might want to de-risk on the way up.

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 28 November 2025

The Bear Conspiracy

The Bear Conspiracy

Nasdaq Biotech Index rallies 30% as institutional funds reposition. Payment-for-order-flow hits record highs. Why apocalypse narratives might be the real shake-out strategy.

By Murray Dawes, Monday, 24 November 2025

AI Jitters Spread

AI Jitters Spread

The market looked unstoppable a week ago. Now the ASX 200 is rolling over, the S&P 500 just posted a brutal reversal after Nvidia’s results, and the AI poster children are starting to bleed. In this episode of Closing Bell we break down the confirmed false break on the ASX, the huge intraday whipsaw on Wall Street, why names like Nvidia, Blue Owl, Oracle and Meta are flashing warning signs, and how the collapsing Japanese yen could be the next wild card. Plus, we map out the key downside levels to watch and where Nvidia might actually become a buy if this correction deepens.

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 21 November 2025

Market bleeding continues…but is that a massive lithium rally I see?

Market bleeding continues…but is that a massive lithium rally I see?

Markets bleed as Fed liquidity tightens and only 25% of NASDAQ stocks hold above key averages. Could China liquidity and lithium rally save the day?

By Murray Dawes, Wednesday, 19 November 2025

Bitcoin’s Rocky Descent: Why This Isn’t Winter (Yet)

Bitcoin’s Rocky Descent: Why This Isn’t Winter (Yet)

Bitcoin has plunged 24% from October’s peak to a seven-month low, but Lachlann Tierney things this shakeout isn’t a crypto winter yet. US regulatory support and central bank easing suggest otherwise.

By Murray Dawes, Monday, 17 November 2025

ASX About to Crack?

ASX About to Crack?

In today’s Closing Bell, we look at the ASX 200’s sudden slide, why key support is so important here, and how a false break could turn into a near 10% correction into Christmas. I also touch on the growing cracks in weaker AI names, such as Oracle and Meta, and what that might mean for the broader market. We finish on a positive note with a brief look at the lithium stocks that are still running. Hit play to see the levels and charts I’m watching now.

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 14 November 2025

China-US Beef Part Infinity: You stole our bitcoins!

China-US Beef Part Infinity: You stole our bitcoins!

China accuses US of stealing $13 billion in Bitcoin, Lachlann Tierney argues this exposes deeper tensions over cryptocurrency regulation and the future of dollar dominance.

By Murray Dawes, Wednesday, 12 November 2025

As fear rises, gold is fine. But what’s an ASX bull market without a lithium craze?

As fear rises, gold is fine. But what’s an ASX bull market without a lithium craze?

Fear has ripped through markets. XEC down 13%. But corrections fuel bull markets. Lachlann Tierney thinks ASX lithium plays are set for an explosive move.

By Murray Dawes, Monday, 10 November 2025

Santa Runs Out of Gas

Santa Runs Out of Gas

Markets finally wobble after a relentless rally: breadth cracks, hot names see heavy profit-taking (Nvidia included), Aussie microcaps slump, and the ASX 200 flashes bearish divergence. We break down what’s driving the pullback, why Michael Burry’s short on Palantir is in focus, and why U.S. natural gas is ripping—mostly seasonal now, with possible AI-driven demand ahead—plus how far this correction could run and our gas bull case.

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 07 November 2025

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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