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Kiryll Prakapenka

What’s Not Priced In EP3: Recession, Rate Hikes, Aussie Banks

By Kiryll Prakapenka, Friday, 09 June 2023

The Reserve Bank’s historically rapid hiking cycle risks breaking things as the Aussie yield curve inverts. Ominous labour productivity numbers spell gloom for the unemployment rate. Spotlight on Qantas and Seek. And does Commonwealth Bank warrant its premium?

Investment Drivers of Gold and Copper

By Kiryll Prakapenka, Wednesday, 07 June 2023

Earlier this week, Evolution Mining released an investor presentation, and a point caught my eye. According to the miner, the key investment drivers for gold and copper converge under financial stresses and geopolitical issues. That got me thinking — is that really true? What are the long-term investment drivers for gold and copper? Read on to find out…

Are Big Tech Stocks Overvalued?

By Kiryll Prakapenka, Tuesday, 06 June 2023

Growth is alluring. But what price should you pay for it? Can you overpay for growth? And are the giant tech stocks trading well above any reasonable growth premium? Read on to find out…

Bullish Sentiment Building in Oil Markets

By Kiryll Prakapenka, Monday, 05 June 2023

China is looking to repeat the US’s trick of energy self-sufficiency. But it won’t be easy and they’re having to dig deep. Really deep! Meanwhile, the oil price jumped on Friday as stronger economic numbers came out of the US. At the same time, Saudi Arabia is about to cut oil production. Could we see an oil price surge? Read on for more details…

What’s Not Priced In: Commodities, China, ASX Coal Stocks

By Kiryll Prakapenka, Friday, 02 June 2023

Bond market saying Aussie economy heading towards recession. The resolution of the debt ceiling impasse may lead to a liquidity crunch. Bob Farrell’s seventh rule of investing and the tech rally. Are markets wrong on China? And are coal stocks good value or value traps?

Variant Perception: How to Beat the Market

By Kiryll Prakapenka, Tuesday, 30 May 2023

What is the source of investment outperformance? How do you beat the market and not merely follow it? To gain an edge over the market, you must be at the edge of the market. Read on to learn more…

What’s Not Priced In: Nvidia, AI Hype, and Interest Rate Bets

By Kiryll Prakapenka, Friday, 26 May 2023

Fat Tail has a new podcast – What’s Not Priced In – and the first episode just dropped! Every Friday, Greg Canavan and I will look beyond the headlines and investigate ideas flying under the market’s radar.

Is Growth All That Matters to Stock Investing?

By Kiryll Prakapenka, Tuesday, 23 May 2023

What businesses should you invest in at the end of the day? Growing businesses. More specifically, businesses that can sustain growth. Read on to find out…

How to Invest in Stocks with Competitive Advantages

By Kiryll Prakapenka, Tuesday, 16 May 2023

Nothing is more fabled and coveted than a 100-bagger stock. The stock that returns 100 times the initial investment. The ‘generational wealth’ stock. The life-changer. But these unicorns are rare, because they are invariably outstanding businesses with excellent track records. How can a business sustain a high return on capital for years and years? Competitive advantage…

Lithium Stocks, Graphite Stocks, Copper Stocks. Whose Upside is Highest?

By Kiryll Prakapenka, Tuesday, 09 May 2023

Today we investigate lithium, graphite, and copper. What is their demand outlook? Their supply outlook? What is the long-term consumption trend? And how is the market assessing lithium, graphite, and copper stocks? Read on to find out…

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Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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