All year I’ve taken a positive line when it comes to stocks. My way of playing the current dynamic is to accumulate shares on the cheap now with the idea of selling them in 2–3 years. But to do that, you have to feel comfortable share markets won’t meltdown today like they did in 2007. Read on to find out why I’m sure there won’t be an ’07 repeat…
Australian Economy News: Updates and Insights on Australia's Economic Landscape
When most people think about the ‘Australian Economy’, the first thing that’ll often come to mind is mining and banking. Two industries that dominate our total productive output both locally and abroad.
It is, however, a little more intricate than that...
Australia is a prime exporter of many commodities. Many of which are mined, but some of which aren't. And while iron ore has certainly been our forte for a number of years now, we have quite the unique mix of materials across our vast country.
The same indicators which would’ve warned you about 2021’s inflationary burst are now warning of the opposite — deflation. But should you listen this time?
After two years of steady selling pressure in the mid-, small- and microcap space, I reckon we are entering the final capitulation phase where punch drunk investors sell stocks at any price just to get out and end the pain. Check out the Closing Bell video above where I show you why I think the S&P 500 could be close to a 9% fall and where the ASX 200 would drop to if that happens… and explain why another wave down will take prices into a major buy zone.
All together now, interest rates are staying ‘higher for longer’. The US Fed is dead set on taming inflation and rising long-term yields show investors think advanced economies can bring about disinflation without recession. But the ‘higher for longer’ crowd is grossly underpricing the risks of a sharper economic slowdown. The cure for inflation always has unpleasant side effects. Just ask Milton Friedman.
Most Australians are weighed down by the burden of rising living costs as our economy is slowly reeling from the chaos in the past three years. Our government and various institutions are not only not helping us but they’re saddling us with more problems. It’s clear that they don’t have our interests in mind. ‘The Voice’ is the latest example of selling us more troubles in the name of uniting our country. There’s a way to unite the country. It’s not hard…just fix the economy, stupid!
In recent weeks, Greg Canavan has been looking at the cost and implications of Australia’s energy transition to Net Zero from both an economic and political perspective.