The debasement trade is back!
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent tried to jawbone yields down and that play lasted about a day. Meanwhile, gold and Bitcoin had other ideas. Here’s why I think the debasement trade is back, and where it leads next.
Micro-caps: Look where others don’t!
Micro-caps: Look where others don’t!
The small end of the ASX has gone nowhere for ten months. Something shifted in the last fortnight, and most investors have not noticed it yet.
The contrarian case for tiny ASX stocks
The contrarian case for tiny ASX stocks
Australia’s micro-cap market looks unloved amid recession chatter, AI mania and bond-market panic — exactly the kind of neglected territory contrarian investors should be watching.
Big Tech’s Bond Problem
Big Tech’s Bond Problem
The US just sold 30 year bonds at the highest rate since 2001. If Big Tech stalls under that pressure, gold and oversold tech could benefit from the rotation.
Who Pays For The AI Shovels?
Who Pays For The AI Shovels?
Nvidia financing points to a complicated circular web which could unwind the whole trade. That might mean there is no more easy money to make, now that the suits are worried.
Market Rollercoaster Madness
Market Rollercoaster Madness
Australian small caps have finally snapped their downtrend after a brutal budget and a war scare. August is seasonally strong. So why am I still nervous?
Gold moving, juniors next in line…
Gold moving, juniors next in line…
Gold just had its best week since January and the big miners ran 21% in five days. The ASX small cap end of that trade is usually last to move.
The Metal That Melts In Your Hand: Secrets of the Small Cap Rabbit Hole (Pt. 3)
The Metal That Melts In Your Hand: Secrets of the Small Cap Rabbit Hole (Pt. 3)
China makes 98% of it, America makes none, and SpaceX cannot fly without it. I backed a micro-cap on this metal a year before the crowd arrived.
China’s Shadowy Gold Move: Secrets of the Small Cap Rabbit Hole (Pt. 2)
China’s Shadowy Gold Move: Secrets of the Small Cap Rabbit Hole (Pt. 2)
Michael Howell thinks Beijing now controls the taps that drive the gold price. Here’s how that plays into how I go hunting for the secret sauce that drives big wins in small-caps and micro-caps.
Coldcard Hack: Secrets of the Small Cap Rabbit Hole (Pt. 1)
Coldcard Hack: Secrets of the Small Cap Rabbit Hole (Pt. 1)
Someone rebuilt Bitcoin wallet keys on a laptop and emptied them in 40 minutes. The hack sent me looking for what an analyst’s edge actually is now.
