Beware the Secular Bear
When you’ve been conditioned to an environment of low inflation, low interest rates, rising asset markets, and (almost) continual GDP growth, the prospect of a future that’s entirely different is almost inconceivable.

When you’ve been conditioned to an environment of low inflation, low interest rates, rising asset markets, and (almost) continual GDP growth, the prospect of a future that’s entirely different is almost inconceivable.
By Vern Gowdie,

Fund manager Tim Davies was one of the first guests on my Fat Tail Investment Podcast. He just popped up unexpectedly at my Saturday breakfast — in The Weekend Australian.
By Callum Newman,

tocks go up. Then they go down. They went up, with brief interruptions, for 39 years…from August 1982 to November 2021. Since then, the Dow has lost about 5,000 points.
By Bill Bonner,

In today’s Money Morning…pandemic spending: boom to bust…inventory glut…what to expect…finding investment ideas with secular headwinds…and more…

Good news: Economists have finally admitted how clueless they really are. One wrote a book about it called Narrative Economics.
By Nick Hubble,

Gold miner St Barbara [ASX:SBM] rose 7% on Friday after achieving its FY22 production guidance.
Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.
Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.
All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.
The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.
Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research
Copyright © 2026 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988