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Beach Energy [ASX:BPT] Shares Plunge after Profits Fall and CEO Change

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By Fat Tail Daily, Monday, 14 August 2023

Beach Energy shares are down 3.59%, trading at $1.61 per share after its FY23 earnings report disappointed investors after flagging a 24% decline in net profits despite rising gas prices.

Adeliade-based Beach Energy [ASX:BPT] shares have fallen today after reporting a 24% decrease in its annual net profit and revising its completion forecast for the Waitsia Stage 2 natural gas project in WA.

The company reported a net profit of $385 million for the 12 months ending in June, down from $504 million the previous year.

The disappointing results come days after sudden news from the company that CEO Morne Engelbrecht had concluded his tenure and would be replaced by Bruce Clement, who would step in as interim CEO and continue as executive director.

Shares of the company are down 12.97% in the past 12 months as the company struggles to regain investor confidence after repeated delays and falling revenue despite rising gas prices.

ASX:BPT stock chart

Source: TradingView

Beach Energy earnings report

Shares of Beach Energy are down 3.59%, trading at $1.61, as its latest earnings disappointed shareholders.

Despite a slight rise in average realised prices, Beach’s production declined from 21.8 million barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) in the previous fiscal year to 19.5 million BOE in FY23.

This decline in production more than offset the price increase, resulting in a 7.5% decrease in annual sales revenue to $1.62 billion.

Beach Energy faced several challenges during FY23, which impacted investor confidence and the company’s stock value.

These challenges included delays in commissioning a pipeline connecting the Thylacine wells to the Otway gas plant in Victoria, as well as the insolvency of the original contractor for the Waitsia Stage 2 project.

Beach and its joint-venture partner, Mitsui, hired Webuild as a replacement contractor, but the estimated cost for completing the project increased to $450 million.

In May, Beach withdrew its target date for completion of the Waitsia Stage 2 project, citing uncertainty regarding potential cost overruns due to a tight labour market.

The company now expects the first gas from the project in mid-2024, with a revised capital expenditure estimate of $450 million to $500 million.

Additionally, Beach Energy provided guidance for its FY24, projecting production between 18–21 million BOE and capital expenditure between $850 million and $1 billion.

The company aims to meet this guidance under the leadership of its new chief executive, Brett Woods, who will join Beach on 21 February. Interim CEO Bruce Clement will serve until Woods assumes the role.

Mr Clement commented on today’s results, saying:

‘In FY24, we remain focused on delivering several exciting growth catalysts. These include Perth Basin exploration, connecting the Enterprise gas discovery, advancing Waitsia to first gas (targeted for mid-CY2024), and drilling the offshore Kupe South 9 well. These efforts will establish a strong foundation for Beach in FY24 and beyond. The resulting production increases will be particularly timely, as markets require our products more than ever.‘

Outlook for Beach Energy

These developments mark a challenging period for Beach Energy as it navigates project setbacks and adjusts its financial expectations.

The tight labour market in WA has especially impacted construction progress at the Waitsia Gas Plant in WA.

Western Australia’s unemployment rate for June was 3.5%, and the industry has seen an exodus of workers in recent years.

However, the company’s medium-term outlook shows several strengths, including its strong portfolio of assets and its position in the Australian gas market.

While it is difficult to project future demand due to regulatory uncertainty and changing consumption habits, the graph below attempts to highlight the potential supply shortfalls that could occur in southern states with a step-change scenario of quickly moving to a net-zero policy.

 

ASX:BPT energy usaage

Source: Australian Energy Market Operator

The potential for considerable supply shortfalls could occur if the transition to renewables is done without adequate investment or off-ramping from existing infrastructure.

Beach Energy’s future outlook is uncertain. The company faces several challenges, including the Waitsia Stage 2 delay, tight labour and the decline in production levels.

How Beach Energy will navigate these challenges and meet its long-term goals remains to be seen. However, the company has a history of overcoming adversity, and structural shifts could mean it’s well-positioned to succeed in the medium term.

The massive shifts that are set to occur within our power generation and transmission will affect more than just oil and gas prices.

Net zero shifts will also redefine our relationship with metals like copper.

THE RED DRAUGHT AND WHAT TO DO WITH IT

Stopping climate change will require trillions and a global supply of critical minerals — one special metal from this range is copper.

This means that we’re going to need a lot of red metal, and more exploration will be required to restock supplies.

If you subscribe to Fat Tail Commodities, you will have access to resources expert James Cooper’s most recent research on the subject.

James will give you a wealth of investment ideas for the copper industry.

He’ll also explain the copper supply crisis and how you can position yourself to take advantage of incoming changes in the industry.

To find out more about the red draught, click here today.

Regards,

Fat Tail Commodities

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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