The 18.6-year cycle says to look for a market peak in 2026
Making investment decisions based on long cycles is difficult, if not impossible. But when two proven cycle theories converge and tell the same story, it pays to listen.
Making investment decisions based on long cycles is difficult, if not impossible. But when two proven cycle theories converge and tell the same story, it pays to listen.
By Greg Canavan,
Earnings are down, but stock prices are up…what’s going on? Fat Tail’s Editorial Director Greg Canavan talks with FN Arena’s Rudi Filapek-Vandyck about the overall reporting season, the increasingly short-term nature of investing, why investors are crowding into popular large caps, China, commodities, and more…
By Greg Canavan,
‘Investors’ have completely ignored energy stocks.
By Greg Canavan,
Watch what they do, not what they say…
By Greg Canavan,
But watch this video before you do
By Greg Canavan,
In today’s Fat Tail Daily, I’ll explain why rational investors should give the company a miss. Just because a company’s share price falls significantly doesn’t mean its good value.
By Greg Canavan,
I wanted to lay out a gameplan for how to think about markets in 2024. Hopefully you’ll find it useful…
By Greg Canavan,
Don’t forget, the reason for the Fed’s likely pause is because of a slowing economy.
By Greg Canavan,
If there is one thing you must remember, it’s this…
The market looks forward, not backward. It prices in moves in the economy or earnings before you see it in the data and the headlines. Which is why you should ignore today’s news showing the US economy expanded by a robust 4.9% in the third quarter. The market had it priced in months ago.
By Greg Canavan,
Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.
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