Fat Tail Daily | Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

LATEST VIDEO:
Reflation Trade or Fed Takeover?

Weekly videos with expert insights on investing, economics, and finance for Australian investors. Subscribe to our YouTube channel

Ouch! That Silver is Too Hot

Lachlann Tierney

Oil trades 28% below silver for only the third time in 70 years. History suggests this won’t last. But where does Australia fit when mean reversion hits?

Following the Smart Money: Oil Service Stocks Lead the Way

James Cooper

Oil prices remain weak, but service company stocks are signalling potential recovery—offering savvy investors an early-cycle opportunity for 2026 gains.

Mining’s Mega-Merger Moment

Charlie Ormond

Rio Tinto and Glencore begin discussions to form a copper behemoth. Should the deal proceed, it would forge one of the largest mining companies in the world. But is everyone happy?

Reflation Trade or Fed Takeover?

Murray Dawes

More commodities start to run as gold and silver explode higher. Small caps are also flying. But are they just playing catch-up to the Magnificent 7?

Is it a sign of better growth ahead or just fears that the new US Fed Chairman will lower rates too far?

Charlie and Murray assess the state of play as we head into 2026.

Following the Smart Money: Oil Service Stocks Lead the Way

James Cooper

Oil prices remain weak, but service company stocks are signalling potential recovery—offering savvy investors an early-cycle opportunity for 2026 gains.

America’s Refineries Can’t Run on American Oil

James Cooper

US refineries can’t process American oil without blending it with heavy crude imports. Venezuela holds the key to America’s long-term energy security.

Cheap energy unlocks demand for everything else

Nick Hubble

Abandoning fossil fuels was as devastating as abandoning the gold standard. But now the green energy transition is reversing. Which stocks will profit from cheap and abundant energy?

Hunting for the Commodities that will Define 2026

James Cooper

The commodity boom we forecasted is here. But with gold and copper overheated, energy stocks present 2026’s best undervalued opportunity.

2026… hold your breath, it could get rough

Brian Chu

2025 was a year where precious metals assets exceeded expectations. While our financial system becomes more fragile and could push them higher, focus on securing your gains, especially as greed takes over…

Investment ideas from the Edge of the Bell Curve to your inbox

Please read our Terms & Conditions.

We will collect and handle your personal information in accordance with our Privacy Policy.

You can cancel your subscription at any time.

Technology

Mining’s Mega-Merger Moment

Charlie Ormond

Rio Tinto and Glencore begin discussions to form a copper behemoth. Should the deal proceed, it would forge one of the largest mining companies in the world. But is everyone happy?

Why This Tech Guy is Backing Commodities

Charlie Ormond

The macro regime has shifted. Fiscal dominance, sticky inflation, and constrained central banks create a structural case for real assets. This isn’t a rotation. It’s a regime allocation.

Charlie’s 2026 Outlook: The Year AI Sentiment Breaks

Charlie Ormond

2025 was dominated by political theatre, but the structural story was unfolding in technology. AI capex driving growth while application-layer delivery lagged. That tension will define 2026.

Reading/Watching List for Xmas

Charlie Ormond

Whether you’re lounging poolside or hiding from your relatives, here are the books, podcasts, and long-form videos that shaped my thinking this year.

We Need to Talk About the Kevins

Charlie Ormond

If we see a Trump ‘yes man’, short-term US rate cuts might juice American stocks, but they could also send long-term bond yields flying. That ripples straight to our shores.

Small-Caps

Ouch! That Silver is Too Hot

Lachlann Tierney

Oil trades 28% below silver for only the third time in 70 years. History suggests this won’t last. But where does Australia fit when mean reversion hits?