Fat Tail Daily &#8211; ASX Updates | Small caps | Commodities

Iran’s war is squeezing oil, supercharging EV demand and quietly tightening lithium. Lachlann shows how four ASI lithium plays are positioned for this second‑order shock.

The Great Energy Pivot: Rewriting the Oil Trade [Part II]

Supply chain dominance of critical minerals has been used to push national agendas. What happens if energy is used as the next major coercive tool?

The Cockroaches are Multiplying

Six weeks ago, I asked whether private credit was the new subprime. Things are only looking worse since.

Green Light Still Pending

Murray Dawes

Markets surged this week on news of a ceasefire in Iran. But a strict reading of the trading model suggests caution, with short-term risks still pointing to potential downside despite strong price action.

Commodities

The Great Energy Pivot: Rewriting the Oil Trade [Part II]

Supply chain dominance of critical minerals has been used to push national agendas. What happens if energy is used as the next major coercive tool?

Part I: The Great Energy Pivot: How the Rules of Global Oil and Gas Are Being Rewritten

The old energy order is fracturing. Decades of balance between buyers and sellers is unravelling — and the suppliers are winning.

Markets Celebrating Like the War is Over. Except it isn’t.

Markets are rallying — but don’t be fooled. One critical support level suggests the oil crisis has further to run.

Nuclear is the last great power standing

Nick Hubble

We didn’t have to learn this lesson the hard way. But now that we have, the need for nuclear is too obvious to ignore any longer. Wake up, Australia.

Relative Strength, Absolute Conviction: Reading Oil’s Rise Before It Happened

While JPMorgan and the IEA predicted falling oil prices, one contrarian signal quietly pointed to the trade of the year.

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Technology

The Cockroaches are Multiplying

Six weeks ago, I asked whether private credit was the new subprime. Things are only looking worse since.

The Chokepoint Always Wins

Markets continue to price this as a temporary disruption. But the idea that Iran will simply hand Hormuz back for free looks naïve in the gaze of history.

AI’s Next Bottleneck is Plumbing

Everyone’s watching chips and power. Almost no one is watching the optical shifts that insiders are scrambling to solve. That’s about to change.

Death of the Petrodollar

Iran is offering Hormuz passage in exchange for yuan settlement. This could be the wedge that splits the world’s financial system in two.

An Era of ‘Cheap War’

Drones are reshaping warfare. And the economics of shooting them down don’t add up. Here’s one company that could change that.

Small Caps

This oil war is triggering an avalanche of lithium demand

Iran’s war is squeezing oil, supercharging EV demand and quietly tightening lithium. Lachlann shows how four ASI lithium plays are positioned for this second‑order shock.

China Capitulation Part 9 – Rethinking a regime’s control over its people

Brian Chu

Iran has shown that a regime can suppress its people but still end up more vulnerable than ever. This could be a warning to the Chinese Communist Party elites that a massive army don’t ensure their safety.

Don’t Watch The Strait, Read This

Iran’s oil shock is squeezing markets while AI devours electricity, pushing capital toward one overlooked winner: baseload nuclear and uranium plays

Here we go

Trump’s Iran ultimatum expires at our ASX market open tomorrow. Here’s why the energy trade is only getting started. Think phases and always be prepared.

Easter Monday, energy chaos, and an even bigger lithium rebound!?