Fat Tail Daily &#8211; ASX Updates | Small caps | Commodities

Between now and 2027, Canberra’s tax grab will warp tactics, not strategy. Lachlann Tierney shows you how to ignore the headlines and go back to investment first principles. Here’s what that looks like.

Tax raids are a sign politicians are growing up

Nick Hubble

Governments only do the right thing after exhausting all other options. Raising taxes suggests we’re getting closer to real reform.

Part III: Deglobalisation – Your Investment Framework

I was listening to a geopolitical analyst recently called Pippa Malmgren.

This is ATLAS

85% of ASX trading is machine‑driven. Learn how Charlie Ormond’s ATLAS engine aims to put that same firepower on your side.

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Commodities

Tax raids are a sign politicians are growing up

Nick Hubble

Governments only do the right thing after exhausting all other options. Raising taxes suggests we’re getting closer to real reform.

Part III: Deglobalisation – Your Investment Framework

I was listening to a geopolitical analyst recently called Pippa Malmgren.

After the Boom: Preparing Your Portfolio for a Fragmented World

The Great Unravelling: Learn How the End of Globalisation Will Reshape Your Wealth

The bond market has a licence to kill you

Nick Hubble

Bond yields can rise because of optimism. Investors selling bonds to buy stocks. But that’s unlikely to explain the recent surge in yields. So, what does?

The #1 Risk to Your Investments: Explained

Using History as our Guide, we’ll unpack what Could be the Biggest Risk in the Market today

Investment ideas from the Edge of the Bell Curve to your inbox

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Technology

AI Giveth, AI Taketh Away

Australia’s unemployment rate jumped to 4.5% in April. While WiseTech and Meta are the latest to cut thousands of jobs. The common thread? Artificial intelligence.

Feels Like Everyone Has an Algorithm Except You

Trump’s latest financial disclosures reveal thousands of stock trades this quarter. The volume points to algorithmic trading. Now we’re offering you your own version to meet this moment.

The Online Services That Didn’t Exist 20 Years Ago.

Two of the most aggressive rivals in AI are now sharing infrastructure. It’s not new. it’s the same pattern that built the internet and the cloud. And it’s the clearest signal for who wins the AI buildout.

What kind of country do you want Australia to become?

James Woodburn

Well…Wednesday’s Insider struck a nerve. In fact, I can’t remember the last time we received this kind of response to a single email.

The Last Pre-Internet Generation, and What’s Next…

The AI buildout looks unprecedented. It isn’t. The last time we built like this, fortunes were made and lost. The data centre buildout is the next chapter.

Small Caps

I Trust This Strategy More Than Any Budget (or Politician)

This is ATLAS

85% of ASX trading is machine‑driven. Learn how Charlie Ormond’s ATLAS engine aims to put that same firepower on your side.

ASX energy good, Australia bad

Trump holds off and the ASX gets a weak 1% bounce. Is there hope for ASX stocks? Yes, but not if their projects are in Australia.

Get a robot

The new tax regime is punishing strivers while AI eats high-paid jobs, energy limits data centres, and algorithmic traders dominate the ASX — unless you put the robots to work for you.

Iran is bad, but AI stock rebrands might be worse

The Aussie budget is grim, but global markets have a far bigger fish to fry. There have been 33 ‘AI company’ rebrands, US$8.7 billion in ETF inflows, and the market is smelling a whiff of 1999.

Investment ideas from the Edge of the Bell Curve to your inbox

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Market Analysis

Markets Whipsaw as Yields Surge

Charlie and Murray discuss the jump in bond yields around the world, the upcoming CGT changes, and the whipsaw in the ASX 200 this week.

The Budget from Hell

In this week’s Closing Bell, Murray and Charlie break down the budget fallout, the opportunities that may emerge during the transition period, and why this remains a brutal but fascinating stock picker’s market.

Markets Brace for Tuesday Shock

Murray and Charlie look at whether fears surrounding next week’s budget and potential capital gains tax changes are beginning to trigger selling pressure across the market.

Big Tech Just Broke the Tape

US stocks remain bulletproof while the ASX lags. Murray and Charlie look at a software bounce-back trade and run the ruler over a bunch of viewer-suggested stocks.

Market Nerves Return This Week

Aussie stocks had a rough week, falling around 2% while US markets held firm. With uncertainty still hanging over Iran, investors are watching fuel, fertiliser and commodity supply risks closely.

Macro

Worst. Budget. Ever

Greg Canavan

Worst. Budget. Ever. I really don’t know where to start with this one. It is so bad for this country that it’s hard to fathom. So let me start with the positives…

The Walls are Closing in on Trump

The pressure is mounting on Trump ahead of a key meeting with Xi next week. What could this mean for our markets.

What Does China Know That We Don’t?

China’s oil hoarding may be a signal for a longer game than the West expects.

Australia’s Vibecession

The ASX is diverging from the optimism we’re seeing in US markets. What’s the driving force, and what can we do about it?

If You’re Confused, So Is Everyone Else