Fat Tail Daily &#8211; ASX Updates | Small caps | Commodities

The NSA is now using the world’s most powerful AI to break into foreign governments. Cybersecurity is a more durable theme than you think.

Your Best Ideas Under the Microscope

The first Friday of the month means one thing: viewer stock picks. Charlie and Murray hand over stock selection duties to the audience and work through a huge list of companies spanning copper, gold, lithium, rare earths, graphite, mineral sands, biotech, platinum group metals, drone technology, advanced memory chips, and more.

The Opportunity in Energy’s Record-Low Market Share

James Cooper

Energy is at a historic low in market weighting — but a supply crisis and structural underinvestment may be changing everything.

The Great Race Just Docked in Melbourne

Aussies are fleeing volatile fuel prices for Chinese EV’s. But the promise of independence runs on a supply chain that leads straight to Beijing. For now.

Most Read…

Enter your email address in the box below and you’ll get Fat Tail Daily every day…absolutely free.

Please read our Terms & Conditions.

We will collect and handle your personal information in accordance with our Privacy Policy.

You can cancel your subscription at any time.

Commodities

The Opportunity in Energy’s Record-Low Market Share

James Cooper

Energy is at a historic low in market weighting — but a supply crisis and structural underinvestment may be changing everything.

The Great Race Just Docked in Melbourne

Aussies are fleeing volatile fuel prices for Chinese EV’s. But the promise of independence runs on a supply chain that leads straight to Beijing. For now.

Rise or fall? Understanding the relationship between the gold price, war and inflation

Brian Chu

Confused about why gold is falling instead of rising while there’s a war between US, Israel and Iran? Read this to unpack the dynamics of gold, war and inflation, and the missing crucial component to steer gold’s rise or fall.

The World Is Changing — And So Should Your Portfolio

James Cooper

Global power is shifting, and with it the rules of investing. Here’s what the history books say comes next.

Another inflationary era at the worst possible time

Nick Hubble

Stocks go up in the long run. But in the long run we are all dead. What happens in the medium term is what matters. And it’s very mixed.

Investment ideas from the Edge of the Bell Curve to your inbox

Please read our Terms & Conditions.

We will collect and handle your personal information in accordance with our Privacy Policy.

You can cancel your subscription at any time.

Technology

The Spy Who Hacked Me

The NSA is now using the world’s most powerful AI to break into foreign governments. Cybersecurity is a more durable theme than you think.

A New AI Leader is Emerging

It’s been a busy quarter for AI as the biggest names vie for our attention while the biggest Aussie data centres fight for the latest mega-deal from Anthropic.

Volatility Is the New Norm

Tonight’s US data dump lands at a market already looking stretched by hype and rattled by fresh strikes on Iran. Here’s one tool to navigate it.

The AI code smoky

Digital infrastructure follows the same trend: Research, then scale. The internet did it. The cloud did it. AI is doing it now. As Paul Dichiera explains, the same monetisation question that hung over the last two booms is now dangling over this one. And the answer is the same too.

AI Giveth, AI Taketh Away

Australia’s unemployment rate jumped to 4.5% in April. While WiseTech and Meta are the latest to cut thousands of jobs. The common thread? Artificial intelligence.

Small Caps

Don’t Sleep on ‘Boring’ Tech

Paul Dichiera

The strongest AI-backed companies hide in the market’s dullest corners. They’re businesses too boring to disrupt. Think Hotel booking, accounts and payroll, freight management.

Sell in May? These Aren’t the Losses You’re Looking For

The federal budget’s CGT changes were meant to punish risk capital. Instead, they may have forced open a rare buying window in beaten-up ASX small caps and commodities.

Why won’t the ASX 200 move?

The ASX 200 looks dead on the surface, but a powerful commodities boom is quietly building underneath — and it could drag small caps into a surprise second‑half revival.

I Trust This Strategy More Than Any Budget (or Politician)

Between now and 2027, Canberra’s tax grab will warp tactics, not strategy. Lachlann Tierney shows you how to ignore the headlines and go back to investment first principles. Here’s what that looks like.

This is ATLAS

85% of ASX trading is machine‑driven. Learn how Charlie Ormond’s ATLAS engine aims to put that same firepower on your side.

Investment ideas from the Edge of the Bell Curve to your inbox

Please read our Terms & Conditions.

We will collect and handle your personal information in accordance with our Privacy Policy.

You can cancel your subscription at any time.

Market Analysis

Your Best Ideas Under the Microscope

Passive Investing’s Reckoning Approaches

While the ASX 200 appears relatively stable, much of that strength is coming from the banks, BHP and Rio, while many former market favourites are suffering heavy declines beneath the surface.

Markets Whipsaw as Yields Surge

Charlie and Murray discuss the jump in bond yields around the world, the upcoming CGT changes, and the whipsaw in the ASX 200 this week.

The Budget from Hell

In this week’s Closing Bell, Murray and Charlie break down the budget fallout, the opportunities that may emerge during the transition period, and why this remains a brutal but fascinating stock picker’s market.

Markets Brace for Tuesday Shock

Murray and Charlie look at whether fears surrounding next week’s budget and potential capital gains tax changes are beginning to trigger selling pressure across the market.

Macro

Worst. Budget. Ever

Greg Canavan

Worst. Budget. Ever. I really don’t know where to start with this one. It is so bad for this country that it’s hard to fathom. So let me start with the positives…

The Walls are Closing in on Trump

The pressure is mounting on Trump ahead of a key meeting with Xi next week. What could this mean for our markets.

What Does China Know That We Don’t?

China’s oil hoarding may be a signal for a longer game than the West expects.

Australia’s Vibecession

The ASX is diverging from the optimism we’re seeing in US markets. What’s the driving force, and what can we do about it?

If You’re Confused, So Is Everyone Else