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Fat Tail Daily – ASX Updates | Small caps | Commodities

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LATEST VIDEO:
AI cracks appear, Yen plunges, as correction gathers steam.

Weekly videos with expert insights on investing, economics, and finance for Australian investors. Subscribe to our YouTube channel

China News Flow: Same, Same…But Different

Forget China (at your peril)

Charlie Ormond

While we’ve been navel-gazing, China has been quietly reshaping global trade, flooding markets, and luring back the very investors who fled years before.

AI Jitters Spread

Murray Dawes

The market looked unstoppable a week ago. Now the ASX 200 is rolling over, the S&P 500 just posted a brutal reversal after Nvidia’s results, and the AI poster children are starting to bleed. In this episode of Closing Bell we break down the confirmed false break on the ASX, the huge intraday whipsaw on Wall Street, why names like Nvidia, Blue Owl, Oracle and Meta are flashing warning signs, and how the collapsing Japanese yen could be the next wild card. Plus, we map out the key downside levels to watch and where Nvidia might actually become a buy if this correction deepens.

Geology for Investors: Is Going Deep Worth It?

James Cooper

In James Cooper’s final edition about ‘geology for investors, ’ he reveals whether deep exploration hits are worth your time.

A Modern Odyssey for Investors

Charlie Ormond

With Christopher Nolan’s film adaptation hitting screens next year, Homer’s wanderer is having a moment. But forget the Hollywood spectacle. The lessons from this Bronze Age CEO are surprisingly relevant for navigating 2026’s markets.

Commodities

Geology for Investors: Is Going Deep Worth It?

James Cooper

In James Cooper’s final edition about ‘geology for investors, ’ he reveals whether deep exploration hits are worth your time.

Commodities: Have We Reached the Peak in this Cycle?

James Cooper

As AI capitulates, so are resource stocks. Former geologist James Cooper reveals what this could mean for the future of commodity markets.

Investment fads keep dying before I can profit from them

Nick Hubble

By the time I’ve figured out how to profit from the latest government-driven investment boom, it suddenly ceases to exit. How can politicians be this fickle?

Why ‘One-Hit Wonder’ Explorers Will Burn Your Money: The Repeatability Test

James Cooper

In James Cooper’s ongoing series about ‘geology for investors, ’ he details why grades aren’t the only factor in exploration success.

The Big Dig Returns

James Cooper

Decades of underinvestment mirror past commodity booms. As geopolitical tensions and supply constraints intensify, Australia’s next “Big Dig” supercycle emerges—echoing the 1970s and China’s 2000s infrastructure surge.

Investment ideas from the Edge of the Bell Curve to your inbox

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We will collect and handle your personal information in accordance with our Privacy Policy.

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Technology

China News Flow: Same, Same…But Different

Forget China (at your peril)

Charlie Ormond

While we’ve been navel-gazing, China has been quietly reshaping global trade, flooding markets, and luring back the very investors who fled years before.

A Modern Odyssey for Investors

Charlie Ormond

With Christopher Nolan’s film adaptation hitting screens next year, Homer’s wanderer is having a moment. But forget the Hollywood spectacle. The lessons from this Bronze Age CEO are surprisingly relevant for navigating 2026’s markets.

Cassandra Goes Unheard

Charlie Ormond

Michael Burry from ‘The Big Short’ has emerged into the public eye with fresh bubble warnings. But once again, his warnings are ‘uninvited and unwelcome’ to the market.

The K-Shaped Economy Spells Trouble

Charlie Ormond

As the pandemic showed, the K-shaped recovery is no longer just about income brackets. It’s about which companies serve which customers, and the recent earnings season gave us some signs that the divide is growing.

Crypto Dip

Charlie Ormond

James argues that Crypto’s latest dip isn’t a disaster—it’s a disguise. All we see are headlines about falling prices, but he believes Wall Street giants like JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley are quietly building the foundation for crypto’s next major run.

Small-Caps

Living mortgage-free, one ounce at a time

Brian Chu

Our search for a home is over. We’ve made an offer and the vendor accepted. The next step is to settle. Learn how gold made our reality less burdensome. Pass this on to someone you care about.

Macro

AI is the Bubble. Taiwan is the Pin

Charlie Ormond

There’s another major risk that people seem to have forgotten about, and this week, Australia’s intelligence community is making sure we’re paying attention

Crypto

Record Highs or a Monetary Mirage?

Ryan Dinse

If you don’t get this basic fact right, you’re reading everything else wrong.

Economy

The Quiet Opportunity in Australian Beef

Charlie Ormond

Australian lean beef has climbed to multi-year highs, while share prices remain muted. That sounds like an opportunity to me.

Market-Analysis

AI Jitters Spread

Murray Dawes

The market looked unstoppable a week ago. Now the ASX 200 is rolling over, the S&P 500 just posted a brutal reversal after Nvidia’s results, and the AI poster children are starting to bleed. In this episode of Closing Bell we break down the confirmed false break on the ASX, the huge intraday whipsaw on Wall Street, why names like Nvidia, Blue Owl, Oracle and Meta are flashing warning signs, and how the collapsing Japanese yen could be the next wild card. Plus, we map out the key downside levels to watch and where Nvidia might actually become a buy if this correction deepens.

ASX News Update

Bendigo & Adelaide Bank [ASX:BEN] Shares Dip Despite Profit Growth

Charlie Ormond

Bendigo’s shares slid today after a mixed earnings report that had some highs but also signs of trouble ahead for the economy.

Resources and Mining

Whitehaven Coal [ASX:WHC] Surges as Fire Disrupts Market

Charlie Ormond

A fire at Grosvenor coal mine has sent rival coal companies soaring, is now the time to invest?

Series

AI Jitters Spread

Murray Dawes

The market looked unstoppable a week ago. Now the ASX 200 is rolling over, the S&P 500 just posted a brutal reversal after Nvidia’s results, and the AI poster children are starting to bleed. In this episode of Closing Bell we break down the confirmed false break on the ASX, the huge intraday whipsaw on Wall Street, why names like Nvidia, Blue Owl, Oracle and Meta are flashing warning signs, and how the collapsing Japanese yen could be the next wild card. Plus, we map out the key downside levels to watch and where Nvidia might actually become a buy if this correction deepens.

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Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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