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Fat Tail Daily – ASX Updates | Small caps | Commodities

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LATEST VIDEO: Rare earth price floors, Trump’s lithium stake, and a copper supply shock

Weekly videos with expert insights on investing, economics, and finance for Australian investors. Subscribe to our YouTube channel

Trump’s Going Shopping in Your Backyard

Charlie Ormond

Australian critical minerals firms return from DC with promises of US government stakes. Is it enough to break China’s stranglehold?

Oil Teetering Ahead of OPEC+

Murray Dawes

Oil tumbles to its steepest weekly loss in over three months, with Brent and WTI sliding as traders brace for an OPEC+ supply surge.
In the U.S, the government shutdown begins, but markets power higher. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh records again.
And in Australia, BHP–China iron ore tensions shake resource names, even as banks and healthcare drive the ASX 200 higher.

Iron Ore: Australia’s Golden Goose Gets ‘Clucky’

James Cooper

Iron ore exports to China have been the golden goose that’s laid a fortune for Australia’s economy over the last two decades. But fortune comes with a price… For Australia, that means little independence.

What’s China’s Larger Game with BHP?

Charlie Ormond

China has banned BHP iron ore. Many have dismissed this as a short-term negotiating tactic and moved past the story. But here is why you should consider it again.

Commodities

Warren Buffet Investing in Barrick Gold

Oil and Gas: The Warren Buffett Trade

James Cooper

It’s no secret that Buffett is wary about the lofty valuations in today’s global markets. Selling large slabs in companies like Bank of America. Yet, Buffett is still buying some small pockets of the market: Oil.

Oil Teetering Ahead of OPEC+

Murray Dawes

Oil tumbles to its steepest weekly loss in over three months, with Brent and WTI sliding as traders brace for an OPEC+ supply surge.
In the U.S, the government shutdown begins, but markets power higher. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh records again.
And in Australia, BHP–China iron ore tensions shake resource names, even as banks and healthcare drive the ASX 200 higher.

Iron Ore: Australia’s Golden Goose Gets ‘Clucky’

James Cooper

Iron ore exports to China have been the golden goose that’s laid a fortune for Australia’s economy over the last two decades. But fortune comes with a price… For Australia, that means little independence.

What’s China’s Larger Game with BHP?

Charlie Ormond

China has banned BHP iron ore. Many have dismissed this as a short-term negotiating tactic and moved past the story. But here is why you should consider it again.

Second richest country on earth feels poor – Exploring the paradox

Brian Chu

The latest UBS Global Wealth Report reveals that Australia is the second wealthiest nation based on median net wealth. The lived reality for many Australians suggest otherwise. How do we reconcile the disconnect?

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Technology

What’s China’s Larger Game with BHP?

Charlie Ormond

China has banned BHP iron ore. Many have dismissed this as a short-term negotiating tactic and moved past the story. But here is why you should consider it again.

What’s China’s Larger Game with BHP?

Charlie Ormond

China has banned BHP iron ore. Many have dismissed this as a short-term negotiating tactic and moved past the story. But here is why you should consider it again.

Powell Just Lit the Fuse on Altcoin Season

Charlie Ormond

Rate cuts aren’t just good for tech stocks. Lower rates mean more investors will also take a chance on higher-risk cryptos. Here’s the opportunity that’s just getting started…

When will the AI boom turn to bust?

Greg Canavan

It’s a public holiday in Victoria today. The socialist state thinks it’s a good idea to give the masses the day off to prepare for tomorrow’s grand final.

The Line Goes Up (the Creek without a paddle)

Charlie Ormond

In a bubble, don’t fight the current, but always have an exit plan.

Small-Caps

Second richest country on earth feels poor – Exploring the paradox

Brian Chu

The latest UBS Global Wealth Report reveals that Australia is the second wealthiest nation based on median net wealth. The lived reality for many Australians suggest otherwise. How do we reconcile the disconnect?

Macro

The Quiet Opportunity in Australian Beef

Charlie Ormond

Australian lean beef has climbed to multi-year highs, while share prices remain muted. That sounds like an opportunity to me.

Crypto

Record Highs or a Monetary Mirage?

Ryan Dinse

If you don’t get this basic fact right, you’re reading everything else wrong.

Economy

The Quiet Opportunity in Australian Beef

Charlie Ormond

Australian lean beef has climbed to multi-year highs, while share prices remain muted. That sounds like an opportunity to me.

Market-Analysis

Oil Teetering Ahead of OPEC+

Murray Dawes

Oil tumbles to its steepest weekly loss in over three months, with Brent and WTI sliding as traders brace for an OPEC+ supply surge.
In the U.S, the government shutdown begins, but markets power higher. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh records again.
And in Australia, BHP–China iron ore tensions shake resource names, even as banks and healthcare drive the ASX 200 higher.

ASX News Update

Bendigo & Adelaide Bank [ASX:BEN] Shares Dip Despite Profit Growth

Charlie Ormond

Bendigo’s shares slid today after a mixed earnings report that had some highs but also signs of trouble ahead for the economy.

Resources and Mining

Whitehaven Coal [ASX:WHC] Surges as Fire Disrupts Market

Charlie Ormond

A fire at Grosvenor coal mine has sent rival coal companies soaring, is now the time to invest?

Series

Oil Teetering Ahead of OPEC+

Murray Dawes

Oil tumbles to its steepest weekly loss in over three months, with Brent and WTI sliding as traders brace for an OPEC+ supply surge.
In the U.S, the government shutdown begins, but markets power higher. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh records again.
And in Australia, BHP–China iron ore tensions shake resource names, even as banks and healthcare drive the ASX 200 higher.

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Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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