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Market Analysis Dividend Shares

The Sydney Airport Share Price and the Effect of Coronavirus (ASX:SYD)

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By Carl Wittkopp, Monday, 16 March 2020

How much will the coronavirus impact the Sydney Airport Holdings Pty Ltd [ASX:SYD] share price? The SYD share price has shown over a decade of growth from the bottom of the Global financial crisis in 2009 and was up 636% through to December 2019.

With a market cap of over $13 billion, Sydney Airport is the largest airport in Australia and the Oceanic region. With the ability to handle up to 80 aircraft movements per hour, how much will the coronavirus impact the Sydney Airport Holdings Pty Ltd [ASX:SYD] share price?

The SYD share price has shown over a decade of growth from the bottom of the Global financial crisis in 2009 and was up 636% through to December 2019.

Sydney Share Price - ASX SYD Price Chart

Source:Optuma

2019 was a landmark year for Sydney Airport, celebrating both our centenary and the arrival of their billionth passenger. Throughout the year, 44.4 million passengers were recorded delivering solid performance across both aeronautical and non-aeronautical businesses.

January 2020 saw the rise of the coronavirus emerging from the city of Wuhan in the Hubei province of China. By March 2020 the novel virus has circled the globe and been declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) according to CNBC.

‘The Coronavirus Portfolio’. The two-pronged plan to help you deal with the financial implications of COVID-19. Download your free report

What does this mean for SYD share price and global travel…

On 10 March 2020, Sydney Airport decided to release February traffic results early to provide the market with as much clarity as possible.

Total passenger traffic at Sydney Airport was down 9.3% year-on-year in February to 3.1 million. Sydney Airport CEO Geoff Culbert said: ‘Like our airline partners, we are also experiencing the financial impacts of the coronavirus. There is a direct link between passenger arrivals and departures and our aeronautical revenues.’

Qantas is in the process of drastically reducing capacity as well, with the company announcing further cuts (unspecified) on top of their 23% reduction in international flights and 5% of their domestic flights.

With this in mind, Sydney Airport is experiencing a significant fall in their share price. How far can it fall?

ASX SYD Share Price Chart 2

Source: Optuma

Taking an examination of the weekly movements, Sydney Airport has recorded over a 35% drop in price from the high in December 2019 of $9.30. At time of writing the closing price was $5.81, being below the historical support level of $5.85.

With the WHO proclaiming that Europe is now the epicentre of the coronavirus, and cities around the world putting state of emergency plans in place slowing down the movements of people, what is the future for Australia’s busiest airport?

ASX SYD - Sydney Airport Share Price Chart 3

Source: Optuma

The last significant low was recorded in February 2017 with a low of $5.80, with the price closing slight above this recently, Sydney Airport has now recorded a 100% retracement from the high of $9.30 in December 2019.

The uncertainty surrounding the globe currently could push the price much lower.

With historical support levels recorded at $4.46 and $3.46, will this be enough to stop the fall or is Sydney Airport looking at sub $3.00 share prices?

Sydney Airport is not alone, with the Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd [ASX:FLT] share price also getting hammered.

If you are looking for ways to potentially shield your wealth in these turbulent times, download the ‘Coronavirus Portfolio’ to get insight into the possible options available.

Regards,

Carl Wittkopp,

For Money Morning

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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