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Market Analysis Latest ASX News

NAB Share Price Gets Bounce as Big Four Gain on Economic Hit Revision

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By Lachlann Tierney, Tuesday, 09 June 2020

Big green numbers for the Big Four banks today, with the National Australia Bank Ltd [ASX:NAB] share price up 5.54%, to $20.56. The NAB share price wasn’t even the best of the bunch.

Big green numbers for the Big Four banks today, with the National Australia Bank Ltd [ASX:NAB] share price up 5.54%, to $20.56.

The NAB share price wasn’t even the best of the bunch.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia [ASX:CBA] was up 5.15%, Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd [ASX:ANZ] 6.88%, and Westpac Banking Corporation [ASX:WBC] up 6.55%.

You can see the share prices of the Big Four below:

nab asx

Source: tradingview.com

CBA continues to lead the way as the four companies snap an extended bout of sideways trading.

NAB issues notes, jobless rate to be less than expected

NAB issued $205 million in subordinated notes at a coupon rate of 3.3% today.

Meanwhile, Treasury secretary Steven Kennedy was quoted by the AFR as saying:

‘I think the unemployment rate won’t go as high as previously thought… I think the unemployment rate by September will likely to be in the order of 8 per cent.’

The prior forecast was 10% by June and 9% by December.

With restrictions easing and the economy beginning to open back up, the enthusiasm is clearly flowing through to the Big Four’s share prices today.

[conversion type=”in_post”]

Outlook for NAB share price, other Big Four bank stocks

No doubt, JobKeeper payments played a big role in softening the blow for the Australian economy.

I suspect the rollout had a big role in putting a floor under the share prices of the Big Four.

But with an end date in late September, the honeymoon may come to an end as Australia weans itself of artificial stimulus in favour of organic growth.

As such, the short-term outlook for the NAB share price and the other Big Four bank stocks is potentially more positive than the medium-term or long-term outlook.

The Australian economy is still in need of deep structural change as it begins to ‘unfreeze’.

And this change may turn the Big Four into dinosaurs in the coming decade.

Traders rejoice, investors be wary.

Regards,

Lachlann Tierney,
For Money Morning

PS: Bank Beaters! Three Aussie tech plays outsmarting the ‘Big Four’ banks.

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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Lachlann Tierney
Lachlann ‘Lachy’ Tierney is passionate about uncovering hidden opportunities in the microcap sector. With four years of experience as a senior equities analyst at one of Australia’s leading microcap firms, he has built a reputation for rigorous research, deep-dive due diligence, and accessible investor communications. Over this time, he has vetted seed, pre-IPO and ASX-listed companies across sectors, conducted onsite visits, and built strong relationships across the microcap space. Lachy is nearing completion of a PhD in economics at RMIT University, where his research focuses on blockchain governance and voting systems. His work is housed within the Blockchain Innovation Hub at RMIT, a leading research centre for crypto-economics and blockchain research. He holds a Master’s degree from the London School of Economics and an Honours BA in Philosophy and Politics from the University of Melbourne. Born in New York and raised in California, Lachy grew up a few blocks from biotech giant Amgen and counts among his peers various characters in the overlapping worlds of venture capital, technology and crypto. When he’s not researching microcaps, he’s most likely sweating it out in a sauna or dunking himself in cold Tasmanian water.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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