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Commodities

Part II: The US Reclaiming Its Mineral Exploration Roots

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By James Cooper, Monday, 27 October 2025

America’s scramble for mineral independence is creating lucrative opportunities in junior mining stocks across Nevada, Arizona, Alaska, and Idaho’s exploration hotspots.

Last week, I detailed how 2025 has been the year for critical mineral headlines.

An obscure list of commodities that rose from the back of a geeky science textbook to the hottest thing across markets in 2025.

And have been at the heart of major geopolitical chest-beating.

Like the attempted ‘mineral for weapons deal’ between Ukraine and the US.

Or China’s decision to pull out its rare earth Ace card against the US, hitting back against April’s tariffs with export restrictions.

And for these reasons, the US is doubling down on securing its mineral supply chain, whether that’s friendshoring or developing projects on its own turf.

But America will need to play catch-up…

As the world’s most advanced and financially sophisticated economy, the US is not typically associated with the business of extracting raw materials.

Through decades of unencumbered supply, America has paid little attention to the ‘old-world economy’ of mineral extraction and processing.

Leaving the dirty business of mining to others.

But as you’ve seen, that attitude is changing rapidly.

US manufacturers and tech giants are anxious about where they can secure the basic building blocks to build their products.

So, can investors benefit?

As last week’s Albanese-Trump deal demonstrated, the US is keen to make deals with allies that hold established mining capabilities.

Yet, nothing beats a home-grown project.

And that probably explains why exploration activity is surging within the US.

Mineral self-sufficiency won’t come quickly or easily for America… But it is at least trying to get the ball rolling by kick-starting its exploration sector back to life…

According to a report by S&P Global (emphasis added):

Exploration in the US grew faster than the global average for almost a decade, fueled by major and junior companies’ increased interests, initially for gold and, more recently, other metals deemed critical, such as copper and lithium.

And this:

The US remains the third most explored country in 2023, distantly following Canada and Australia. During 2017–23, the US share of global exploration climbed to 13% from 8% in 2017.

There is no doubt that there is a political will to increase America’s mineral supply chain resilience. And that crosses ALL political divides.

But the key thing here is that America is starting from scratch.

Given the country’s lack of existing mines and decades of reliance on external mineral supplies, rebuilding begins with exploration.

And that’s why exploration activity has been surging in the US…

According to S&P Global, copper exploration (in particular) has seen a significant uptick in the US, up 67% since 2020.

That surge in exploration activity has been felt most across the states in Nevada, Arizona, Alaska and Idaho:

So, what’s the investment angle?

In the early 2000s, exploration skyrocketed across the globe to fuel China’s rapid industrialisation and its growing need for commodities.

Australia led that momentum.

However, this time around, the US’s drive to shore up its own mineral security could make it the most prolific region for exploration activity over the coming years.

That’s because the US favours home-grown projects.

Where exploration efforts today can generate new mines within their own country, and ensure ULTIMATE mineral security.

It’s logical.

So, what are the benefits for
explorers with US-based projects?

For one, companies that successfully discover a mine-worthy deposit can avoid future tariff risks for U.S.-domiciled mining projects.

Improving operating margins and potentially having access to superior pricing.

Critically, though, during the volatile exploration phase, these companies are also able to access generous US government grants as well as offtake agreements with North American manufacturers and giant tech firms.

Their LOCATION ensures they’ll be first in line for all future deals.

That’s why I believe junior mining stocks with projects sitting on US soil could hold a key advantage in the years to come.

And that opportunity extends across the full life cycle of mining, from early stage ‘grassroots’ explorers to late stage feasibility projects.

Exploration could be the key market to watch if the resurgence in commodities continues…

However, to leverage that opportunity further, investors should prioritise US-domiciled projects!

And on that note, I’ve just finished putting together a special presentation with my publisher, James Woodburn, titled: THE SIXTH HOUR SUMMIT.

Several of the stocks profiled in this presentation tap into this important theme: Companies exploring in the US.

Some of these stocks are listed on the ASX but hold their primary project on US soil.

Even if you decide not to invest in the stocks I’m recommending, you’ll at least get a better understanding of what’s happening in the resource market.

And right now, the spotlight is shining on exploration.

So…don’t miss your chance to get ahead of this opportunity.

CONFIRM YOUR EMAIL HERE TO RESERVE YOUR PLACE AT THE SIXTH HOUR SUMMIT

Look forward to seeing you there!

Regards,

James Cooper,
Mining: Phase One and Diggers and Drillers

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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James Cooper

James Cooper has been a working geologist in mines across Australia, Canada, and Africa since the early 2000s. He’s led the operations of tiny explorers through to huge producer outfits. He’s seen booms and busts firsthand and he also understands the cyclical nature of individual commodities. For example, James was right there when Barrick Gold launched an enormous $7.5 billion takeover bid for Equinox. That was the peak of the last cycle.

With his background as a geo and finance professional, he brings a unique insight and experience to Fat Tail Investment Research. He writes the broader resource-focused investing letter Diggers and Drillers and the ultra-speculative explorer-focused trading service Mining: Phase One.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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