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Commodities

The Sixth Hour: Junior Mining’s First Major Opportunity in 20 Years

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By James Cooper, Wednesday, 29 October 2025

Former James Cooper details why he expects we’re embarking on a highly speculative phase in the resource market. The time to prepare is now.

Resource investors have had one thing on their mind in 2025… Gold, Gold, Gold!

Gold has absorbed the bulk of investment attention and speculative enthusiasm.

However, I believe there’s an underlying momentum across the entire mining sector that extends far beyond this single market.

And it aligns perfectly with how I track the commodity cycle.

You see, I’ve often described gold as an EARLY mover in the upward turning of the broader resource market.

In past cycles, gold was often the first commodity to rise in value.

Some readers may be familiar with this concept, such as the historical trend where silver traditionally follows in gold’s wake.

And we’re again seeing that play out, right now, in 2025.

However, what’s less familiar is the concept that other commodities tend to follow gold as well…

Across the board, I suspect we’ll see industrial metals, such as copper, aluminium, and zinc, rising, in addition to critical minerals and energy stocks, including oil, gas, and coal.

This would follow the typical path of an upward turning of the commodity cycle. And I see no reason why this cycle will be any different.

The Wheels are Turning

If you’re invested in the broader resource market, I think there’s clear evidence that this observation is proving correct.

Yesterday, I instructed my readers to sell their position in RPMGlobal [ASX: RUL] after it formally accepted a takeover bid from the giant US earthmoving company, Caterpillar.

We’ll be closing that position with a 217% gain since we added it in November 2023.

We also took half profits on another mining services contractor, ALS [ASX: ALQ]. A company that does lab analysis work for drilling samples.

That stock has increased by over 100% since we first added it to the portfolio two years ago.

We also sold another mining service play called Perenti [ASX: PRN] for similar gains back in August.

The key thing: for all three of these stocks, the majority of the gains have come in 2025.

This is a CLEAR signal
for what comes next…

You see, mining service stocks are fully leveraged to rising activity in the resource sector.

As activity elevates, mining service stocks experience a direct uplift in revenue and underlying profit.

That’s why, like gold, I view mining service stocks as early-cycle movers.

They MOVE ahead of the broader resource sector as the commodity cycle turns bullish.

Directly benefitting from an uplift in CAPEX, which could include things like rising drilling activity or mine expansion.

This is all built on a return in confidence.

So, the key point here is this…

By understanding how the commodity cycle operates, we’ve been able to convert that into substantial profits, despite this cycle being in its infancy.

We’ve focused our attention on early-cycle movers, which include these mining service examples, as well as some high-quality producers.

And as these gains prove to you, we’re seeing this play out exactly as anticipated.

So, what comes next?

2025 is much more than a GOLD story.

The broader commodity cycle is turning increasingly bullish… Gold prices have certainly led the way (as expected), but other commodities, such as silver, copper, and platinum, are also rising and sitting at multi-year highs.

Yet, copper and gold have entirely DIFFERENT demand drivers.

Again, that’s the cycle in motion.

Where the tide lifts all boats across the resource market.

But here’s the thing: even if you haven’t put a single investment into the resource market yet, you’re not too late!

We’re still early.

Use this update as your proof of how the cycle is unfolding.

Then get positioned for what comes next!

The SIXTH HOUR is here.

For most of 2025, investor capital has been focused on income-generating companies — those demonstrating immediate balance sheet health thanks to rising commodity prices.

Investment has been positive but far from speculative.

As I detailed above, that’s one of the first steps in the upward turning of the commodity cycle.

And as the commodity cycle unfolds, sentiment begins to trickle down the development pipeline.

It starts with the producers and mining service companies.

Then, FLOODS into the developers and explorers, what we would call the junior mining sector.

You can sum it up like this:

2025 was the year when miners and other income-generating stocks within the resource sector surged, thanks to rising commodity prices and a shift in investor sentiment towards real-asset investments.

But today all signs point to speculation.

This is how the commodity cycle operates. And I don’t see how this one will be any different.

In fact, I suspect speculation in this particular cycle could become especially pronounced given the prolonged underinvestment in exploration over the last fifteen years.

Again, something I’ve written extensively about in the past.

There’s clear evidence that the ‘trickle-down effect’ in mining is underway… Capital is starting to move into the more speculative junior mining market.

But this setup doesn’t happen often.

In fact, the last time we witnessed a bullish transition into junior mining stocks was way back in 2005.

Around 20 years ago!

This is what I’d describe as the last time we witnessed the SIXTH HOUR in the junior mining market—the start of a significant upswing event that culminated at MIDNIGHT… Or 2011.

And it’s why my publisher and I have just finished putting together an event that profiles this exceptional setup.

A special series called the SIXTH HOUR SUMMIT.

If you’d like to secure your spot for our upcoming series and learn more about this critical phase of the commodity cycle, make sure you sign up here.

Regards,

James Cooper,
Mining: Phase One and Diggers and Drillers

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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James Cooper

James Cooper has been a working geologist in mines across Australia, Canada, and Africa since the early 2000s. He’s led the operations of tiny explorers through to huge producer outfits. He’s seen booms and busts firsthand and he also understands the cyclical nature of individual commodities. For example, James was right there when Barrick Gold launched an enormous $7.5 billion takeover bid for Equinox. That was the peak of the last cycle.

With his background as a geo and finance professional, he brings a unique insight and experience to Fat Tail Investment Research. He writes the broader resource-focused investing letter Diggers and Drillers and the ultra-speculative explorer-focused trading service Mining: Phase One.

James’s Premium Subscriptions

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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