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Commodities

Every Australian Investor Has a Stake in Mining

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By James Cooper, Friday, 04 July 2025

With its deep pool of retirement capital, Australia is on track to become the world’s primary destination for resource markets.

Love him or hate him, Australia’s former prime minister Paul Keating was something to remember.

About as bashful and opinionated as they come.

Not one to shy away from a verbal stoush or hand out some astonishingly original insults, like calling his archrival John Howard a ‘desiccated coconut’ live on an ABC interview.

I reckon we need more of it.

Sure, it’s all theatrics, but Australian politics today is unbearably dull. Listening to a parliamentary session is an antidote for insomnia.

Anyway, Paul Keating was one of the few who didn’t fit the typical lifeless politician mould. And he didn’t take his cues from a party script either.

I couldn’t care less whether he was affiliated with the Liberal or Labour Parties; I only cared that he brought some much-needed originality.

And it’s because of those unique perspectives, I’ve continued to follow some of his musings. Recently, he wrote about his superannuation legacy.

Of course, pointing out all the advantages while skirting some of the recent controversies.

But a couple of his statements stood out to me, like this one:

“Currently, France spends 14% of its GDP on public pensions while Germany sits at 10%. The United States at 7%. Australia’s pension call on the budget is currently just 2.3% of GDP – a sunken level, thanks entirely to universal superannuation.”

No kidding, France spends almost 14% of its GDP on public pensions!

I almost fell off my chair when I read that.

This isn’t a typical Keating embellishment of the facts; this is real.

So, on that metric, Australia sits in a relatively healthy position, thanks to its ‘self-funded’ pension model, introduced by Keating in the 1990s.

Anyway, why make this point?

Well, superannuation assets in Australia recently pushed past $4 trillion.

Australia now has the world’s sixth-largest pension system, but it also has the fastest growth.

With the current trajectory, Australia’s superannuation honey pot is expected to reach a mammoth $9 trillion by 2040!

And Global Miners Want Their Slice

Australia has its problems, for sure, falling productivity and uncompetitive manufacturing.

And that’s caused some ASX names to delist and shift offshore.

But in terms of mining, the exact opposite is underway…

The ASX has always been considered a robust place for resource companies to list.

Historically, though, the Canadian and London Stock Exchange have been considered the primary destination for major mining firms.

Yet that trend is changing; more companies are looking to Australia.

The country’s deep pool of retirement capital is undoubtedly helping drive that trend.

In 2022, the world’s largest miner, BHP, chose to have its primary listing on Australian soil.

Since then, a flurry of other international miners, like Canadian uranium developer NexGen Energy and Canadian producer Capstone Copper, have joined the ASX party.

Right now, Canadian billionaire Robert Friedland is putting the final touches on listing his latest venture, Ivanhoe Atlantic, on the ASX—a company developing the Nimba iron ore project in Guinea.

In terms of resource stocks, the ASX is absorbing MORE global market share than any other exchange.

And if that trend continues, it could become the largest exchange for the global resource market, certainly within metals and mining.

So, what does that mean for Aussie Investors?

Whether we like it or not, the Australian market will become even more concentrated in the commodities sector in the coming years.

If you’re living in Australia, you’re likely already heavily leveraged to the mining sector through your superannuation.

But that concentration will probably deepen.

Whether you have a passive super fund or hold direct company investments, mining will probably form an essential part of your portfolio.

So, why not learn more about the country’s most crucial breadbasket?

Surprisingly, few Australians have little understanding of this sector.

I try to address that at Mining Memo: Ishare my industry knowledge as a geologist and resource investor to give you the tools to understand what’s going on.

A free newsletter that highlights the key events shaping the outlook for certain commodities.

That’s your first advantage.

But I believe the best way to learn is to invest alongside me, in real time.

As a paid reader, you’ll get firm buy and sell recommendations (from me), plus ongoing analysis on those companies.

That way, you’ll learn my rationale for investing and how it relates to these big-picture supply and demand drivers underpinning commodities.

If you’d like to find out more, you can do so here.

Until next time.

Regards,

James Cooper Signature

James Cooper,
Editor, Mining: Phase One and Diggers and Drillers

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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James Cooper

James Cooper has been a working geologist in mines across Australia, Canada, and Africa since the early 2000s. He’s led the operations of tiny explorers through to huge producer outfits. He’s seen booms and busts firsthand and he also understands the cyclical nature of individual commodities. For example, James was right there when Barrick Gold launched an enormous $7.5 billion takeover bid for Equinox. That was the peak of the last cycle.

With his background as a geo and finance professional, he brings a unique insight and experience to Fat Tail Investment Research. He writes the broader resource-focused investing letter Diggers and Drillers and the ultra-speculative explorer-focused trading service Mining: Phase One.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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