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Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

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Fat Tail Daily – ASX Updates | Small caps | Commodities

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LATEST VIDEO:
From Uranium to Rare Earths, Commodities are Surging as Global Policy Shifts

Weekly videos with expert insights on investing, economics, and finance for Australian investors. Subscribe to our YouTube channel

Michael Burry’s Bearish Nvidia Bet: What It Means For ASX Investors

Lachlann Tierney

Burry bets against Nvidia as concentration hits 44-year high. Nvidia worth 7.4X all top 10 miners combined. But Lachlann Tierney argues this means rotation not collapse.

Aging Infrastructure, Rising Risks: The Real Copper Crisis

James Cooper

From Indonesia’s Grasberg mudslide to Chile’s El Teniente collapse, 2025 has witnessed unprecedented copper mine disasters. Aging infrastructure and deeper operations are creating a supply crisis that will only worsen.

Australia has hit rock bottom…and struck gold   

Nick Hubble

Booms and busts happen. Does your investment strategy reflect this? Or are you going to complain about a “two-speed stock market” as half your portfolio gets left behind?

Outsiders: Why Natural Gas and Biotech Could Be Your Next Winning Bet

Lachlann Tierney

Gold and rare earths peaked early. Could natural gas and biotech be the next winners?

Commodities

raw copper

Aging Infrastructure, Rising Risks: The Real Copper Crisis

James Cooper

From Indonesia’s Grasberg mudslide to Chile’s El Teniente collapse, 2025 has witnessed unprecedented copper mine disasters. Aging infrastructure and deeper operations are creating a supply crisis that will only worsen.

Australia has hit rock bottom…and struck gold   

Nick Hubble

Booms and busts happen. Does your investment strategy reflect this? Or are you going to complain about a “two-speed stock market” as half your portfolio gets left behind?

Argentina: A Hotbed for Copper Discovery

James Cooper

Geologist James Cooper details why Argentina is emerging as the next major copper province. Same geology as Chile, but barely explored.

Geology 101 An Investor’s Handbook: Part I

James Cooper

Find out how geologist James Cooper combines investment with an understanding of the rocks.]

The Sixth Hour: Junior Mining’s First Major Opportunity in 20 Years

James Cooper

Former James Cooper details why he expects we’re embarking on a highly speculative phase in the resource market. The time to prepare is now.

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Technology

Time to Gamble on Prediction Markets?

Charlie Ormond

A new trillion-dollar sector is breaking wide open in the crypto markets, and though most people have probably seen its influence in the daily news, most have no idea how to get in. Until today…

‘I Think, Therefore I Error’

Charlie Ormond

Before we get too carried away with the AI revolution narrative, perhaps we should check in on how our silicon overlords are handling simpler tasks. Like, say, passing the butter.

Wiring the Future

Charlie Ormond

Whether our future energy comes from solar farms, wind turbines, or nuclear reactors, it still travels through transmission lines. The builders and owners get paid either way.

If You’re Reading This, It’s Too Late

Charlie Ormond

The critical minerals rally has been spectacular, but if you’re reading about it in mainstream press, seeing it discussed on social media, and watching your neighbour pile in, then the easy money has already been made.

Quantum’s Threat is a Big Opportunity

Charlie Ormond

One day very soon, you’ll wake up to headlines that change everything about digital security.

Small-Caps

Michael Burry’s Bearish Nvidia Bet: What It Means For ASX Investors

Lachlann Tierney

Burry bets against Nvidia as concentration hits 44-year high. Nvidia worth 7.4X all top 10 miners combined. But Lachlann Tierney argues this means rotation not collapse.

Macro

AI is the Bubble. Taiwan is the Pin

Charlie Ormond

There’s another major risk that people seem to have forgotten about, and this week, Australia’s intelligence community is making sure we’re paying attention

Crypto

Record Highs or a Monetary Mirage?

Ryan Dinse

If you don’t get this basic fact right, you’re reading everything else wrong.

Economy

The Quiet Opportunity in Australian Beef

Charlie Ormond

Australian lean beef has climbed to multi-year highs, while share prices remain muted. That sounds like an opportunity to me.

Market-Analysis

Rate Cuts to Resource Rallies – What’s next in Markets?

Murray Dawes

JP Morgan just upgraded lithium prices by 60% as battery storage demand explodes 50% in 2025. Meanwhile, Trump’s $80bn uranium investment could ignite the next commodity rally.

But there’s a hidden warning signal in the markets that’s successfully predicted corrections for decades — and it’s flashing orange right now.

ASX News Update

Bendigo & Adelaide Bank [ASX:BEN] Shares Dip Despite Profit Growth

Charlie Ormond

Bendigo’s shares slid today after a mixed earnings report that had some highs but also signs of trouble ahead for the economy.

Resources and Mining

Whitehaven Coal [ASX:WHC] Surges as Fire Disrupts Market

Charlie Ormond

A fire at Grosvenor coal mine has sent rival coal companies soaring, is now the time to invest?

Series

Rate Cuts to Resource Rallies – What’s next in Markets?

Murray Dawes

JP Morgan just upgraded lithium prices by 60% as battery storage demand explodes 50% in 2025. Meanwhile, Trump’s $80bn uranium investment could ignite the next commodity rally.

But there’s a hidden warning signal in the markets that’s successfully predicted corrections for decades — and it’s flashing orange right now.

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Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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