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Fat Tail Daily – ASX Updates | Small caps | Commodities

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LATEST VIDEO:
Trader Education Series: Distributions

Weekly videos with expert insights on investing, economics, and finance for Australian investors. Subscribe to our YouTube channel

Trader Education Series: Distributions

Murray Dawes

If you have enjoyed Murray’s Closing Bell videos but need help to understand the theory behind his analysis, then this video series is for you. This first instalment looks at how and why ranges develop, and how traders can take advantage of them to enter trades with great chances of success.

Editor’s Pick: The China Problem…Might Not Be as Bad as You Think

James Cooper

With James away, we’ve dug up an older piece that James wrote in the despairing moments of the China crisis and resource sell-off in 2024. What a difference a year makes!

We Need to Talk About the Kevins

Charlie Ormond

If we see a Trump ‘yes man’, short-term US rate cuts might juice American stocks, but they could also send long-term bond yields flying. That ripples straight to our shores.

A rude awakening to rouse the masses

Brian Chu

The tragedy of the Bondi Beach shootings is not just a single evil act. It’s the legacy of a corrupt system and complacent populace. As Australia mourns, think about how we can stop the system from rotting further.

Commodities

The West versus China and Ideological Priorities

Editor’s Pick: The China Problem…Might Not Be as Bad as You Think

James Cooper

With James away, we’ve dug up an older piece that James wrote in the despairing moments of the China crisis and resource sell-off in 2024. What a difference a year makes!

Watch The Insiders: Right Now, The Biggest Breadcrumbs Lead to Rare Earths

James Cooper

Geologist James Cooper outlines why investors should be watching insiders. And according to James, right now, the biggest breadcrumbs are leading to Rare Earth Metals.

Why the AI data centre doubters are delusional

Nick Hubble

Analysis of the AI boom assumes it is subject to the rules of capitalism. Valuations, returns, cashflow… But what if we are dealing with something more like the Space Race?

As markets Detach from Reality, Focus on Stocks Producing Real Things

James Cooper

Cheap resource companies producing real things, that’s what James Cooper and Greg Canavan discuss in this latest edition of Mining Memo.

As markets Detach from Reality, Focus on Stocks Producing Real Things

James Cooper

Cheap resource companies producing real things, that’s what James Cooper and Greg Canavan discuss in this latest edition of Mining Memo.

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Technology

We Need to Talk About the Kevins

Charlie Ormond

If we see a Trump ‘yes man’, short-term US rate cuts might juice American stocks, but they could also send long-term bond yields flying. That ripples straight to our shores.

AI’s New Orbital Silicon Valley

Charlie Ormond

Bloomberg breaks the biggest IPO news in years, Charlie and Ray explore what it means for early investors in the latest space race.

Prediction double-down for 2026

Charlie Ormond

In my opinion, Tesla has become a symbol of blind AI optimism for retail investors. Whether that’s their promised full self-driving (FSD) or mass-scale robotics in 2026, investors should be ready for another harsh dose of reality.

The Canary is Coughing

Charlie Ormond

US employment data has long served as an early warning system for the global economy. When American workers start losing jobs, trouble tends to follow…For markets, for Australia, and eventually for your portfolio.

The Problem with Exponentials

Charlie Ormond

The difference between AI that can reliably handle two-hour tasks and AI that can handle multi-week tasks isn’t just more capacity. It’s a fundamentally different economic reality.

Small-Caps

A rude awakening to rouse the masses

Brian Chu

The tragedy of the Bondi Beach shootings is not just a single evil act. It’s the legacy of a corrupt system and complacent populace. As Australia mourns, think about how we can stop the system from rotting further.

Macro

The Backdoor Entry: Why Majors Buy 10% Stakes Years Before 100% Takeovers

James Cooper

When mining majors take strategic stakes in juniors, it signals serious interest. Learn why these small bites precede billion-dollar takeover deals.

Crypto

Record Highs or a Monetary Mirage?

Ryan Dinse

If you don’t get this basic fact right, you’re reading everything else wrong.

Economy

The Quiet Opportunity in Australian Beef

Charlie Ormond

Australian lean beef has climbed to multi-year highs, while share prices remain muted. That sounds like an opportunity to me.

Market-Analysis

Trader Education Series: Distributions

Murray Dawes

If you have enjoyed Murray’s Closing Bell videos but need help to understand the theory behind his analysis, then this video series is for you. This first instalment looks at how and why ranges develop, and how traders can take advantage of them to enter trades with great chances of success.

ASX News Update

Bendigo & Adelaide Bank [ASX:BEN] Shares Dip Despite Profit Growth

Charlie Ormond

Bendigo’s shares slid today after a mixed earnings report that had some highs but also signs of trouble ahead for the economy.

Resources and Mining

Whitehaven Coal [ASX:WHC] Surges as Fire Disrupts Market

Charlie Ormond

A fire at Grosvenor coal mine has sent rival coal companies soaring, is now the time to invest?

Series

Trader Education Series: Distributions

Murray Dawes

If you have enjoyed Murray’s Closing Bell videos but need help to understand the theory behind his analysis, then this video series is for you. This first instalment looks at how and why ranges develop, and how traders can take advantage of them to enter trades with great chances of success.

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Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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