• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Commodities Resources and Mining

Whitehaven Coal Lowers Guidance, Shares down 8% (ASX:WHC)

Like 0

By Selva Freigedo, Friday, 21 January 2022

Whitehaven Coal Ltd [ASX:WHC] share price is down today after releasing their December 2021 quarterly report and FY22 guidance.

Whitehaven Coal Ltd [ASX:WHC] share price is down today after releasing their December 2021 quarterly report and FY22 guidance.

Whitehaven said it achieved an average coal price of $211 per tonne during the quarter — a 144% jump from the $86 a tonne they were getting this time last year.

The company expects coal prices to remain high in the near future, mainly because of strong demand and supply chain disruptions.

Thermal coal supply also took a hit after Indonesia, the largest thermal coal exporter in the world, imposed an export ban from 31 December 2020. Whitehaven said some producers have restarted exports. As they noted:

‘Thermal coal customers came to the market across the December quarter to procure supplies through to the March quarter, in many cases having to accept inferior quality to what they were seeking. More recently, some tenders have attracted zero bidders, a strong indication that supply is very tight, and incremental supply is almost non-existent. Physical prices for 6000 CV quality coal for near term delivery are at substantial premia to the paper market.’

Higher coal prices but lower production

Yet, while thermal coal demand and prices remain high, a couple of factors have impacted Whitehaven’s operations.

For one, there was La Nina. Heavy rain flooded road accesses in the Gunnedah Basin and the Hunter Valley. The company estimates that because of flooding they’ve had to delay around 600–700kt of run of mine (ROM) production at Maules Creek.

And then, worker shortages along with workers having to isolate due to COVID have impacted production.

It’s all meant that Whitehaven’s managed ROM coal production for the December quarter was 3.2Mt, much lower than the 5.1Mt they produced in the same period last year.

How to Survive Australia’s Biggest Recession in 90 Years. Download your free report and learn more.

What happens next to the WHC Share Price?

With bad weather, COVID, and worker shortages impacting production, the company has had to downgrade their FY22 guidance by around 5%. They now expect production to come in between 19–20.5 Mt, lower than the previous guidance of between 20–21.5 Mt.

Shares dropped after the announcement and were trading at $2.72, an almost 8% drop from yesterday’s close.

Whitehaven hasn’t paid shareholders a dividend since 2020, but there are plenty of other companies that do. Check out Greg Canavan’s top five dividend stocks on the ASX here.

 

Best,

Selva Freigedo,
For The Daily Reckoning Australia

PS: Our publication The Daily Reckoning is a fantastic place to start your investment journey. We talk about the big trends driving the most innovative stocks on the ASX. Learn all about it here.

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Comments

Subscribe
Notify of
guest
guest
0 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Selva Freigedo

Selva’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Fat Tail Investment Research

Latest Articles

  • China’s Game of Commodity Chicken
    By Charlie Ormond

    When commodities become weapons instead of just market goods, traditional investing rules break down.

  • Ride Mining’s Profitable ‘Curve’ this Way
    By Callum Newman

    All week we’ve been on a mission. We’re unpicking the dynamics around gold, and gold stocks. Here’s a bit of advice on this opportunity,

  • Silver & Platinum Squeeze Higher
    By James Cooper

    Cycle Turns: Silver and Platinum on the move… Is it their industrial or precious metal angle that’s getting investors interested?

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • China’s Game of Commodity Chicken
  • Ride Mining’s Profitable ‘Curve’ this Way
  • Silver & Platinum Squeeze Higher
  • One forecast for gold: 10k per ounce!
  • Three men, $20.8 million, and a $230 million rally… all in a day

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2025 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988