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Technology Fin Tech

What’s Keeping the Zip Co Share Price Down? (ASX:Z1P)

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By Lachlann Tierney, Monday, 30 November 2020

It’s been a good year to own ASX-listed tech stocks, which have seen meteoric rises during Australia’s lockdowns. The share price of buy now, pay later (BNPL) company Zip Co Ltd [ASX:Z1P] experienced a solid run from April through to June...

It’s been a good year to own ASX-listed tech stocks, which have seen meteoric rises during Australia’s lockdowns.

The share price of buy now, pay later (BNPL) company Zip Co Ltd [ASX:Z1P] experienced a solid run from April through to June.

However, barring a few quick price swings, Zip’s shares have met heavy resistance around the $6 mark.

ASX Z1P Share Price Chart - Zip Co

Source: Tradingview

It seems that any enthusiasm injected into the Zip share price just as quickly evaporates.

Shares peaked at $6.25 in the first 20 minutes of trading this morning, spurred on by positive sentiments presented in the company’s annual general meeting.

However, those gains were quickly wiped out, with shares currently trading at $6.05, down 0.17% from yesterday’s close.

What growth do investors need?

In his address to shareholders, Zip Chairman Philip Crutchfield highlighted the founders’ mantra: that growth at all costs would not be pursued.

The company believes credit should be provided responsibly, and only after proper due diligence on those wanting access to its services.

That doesn’t mean the company didn’t experience solid growth last financial year, just look at the figures below.

ASX Z1P Performance Numbers

Source: Zip Co.

But with ASIC now scrutinising the BNPL services providers, particularly those who rely on late fees to generate revenue, companies like Zip need to tread carefully.

Three Innovative Fintech Stocks to Watch Now. Discover more.

According to Zip, its users have a higher average credit score than the ‘Big Four’ banks, with only one in 100 users late on their payments.

Meaning that the vast portion of Zip’s revenue comes from more sustainable service fees.

Zip has also experienced significant growth in the first four months of the current financial year.

ASZ Z1P - Zip Co Growth Trajectory

Source: Zip Co.

The number of customers and revenue saw significant growth or 90% and 110% on a compounded annual growth rate basis.

The company also added that the November trading period is set for another Zip record.

What will get the share price moving?

Zip’s foray into the US market could be stalling the share price with COVID-19 cases still ticking upwards, stifling the country’s economic recovery.

The company bills the US as its ‘growth engine’, which has an addressable retail market of around $5 trillion.

Once things begin to clear up there, and domestic unrest also settles, we could see some momentum return to Zip’s share price, in my opinion.

Zip has also launched in the UK, but with a second wave of COVID-19 recently sweeping across the island nation, user growth too may be hampered.

However, the outlook is positive for Zip.

Having announced a partnership with eBay back in August and plenty of the world still in lockdown, the Christmas period could see Zip make decent gains.

Right now, they look like they’re stuck in limbo.

The company is left wanting for growth opportunities, rather it’s the risk associated with their current opportunities that could be hampering the share price.

Not to worry though, if you missed the Zip Co train you can still check out these three innovative Aussie fintech stocks with exciting growth potential. Download your free report now.

Regards,

Lachlann Tierney
For Money Morning

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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Lachlann Tierney
Lachlann ‘Lachy’ Tierney is passionate about uncovering hidden opportunities in the microcap sector. With four years of experience as a senior equities analyst at one of Australia’s leading microcap firms, he has built a reputation for rigorous research, deep-dive due diligence, and accessible investor communications. Over this time, he has vetted seed, pre-IPO and ASX-listed companies across sectors, conducted onsite visits, and built strong relationships across the microcap space. Lachy is nearing completion of a PhD in economics at RMIT University, where his research focuses on blockchain governance and voting systems. His work is housed within the Blockchain Innovation Hub at RMIT, a leading research centre for crypto-economics and blockchain research. He holds a Master’s degree from the London School of Economics and an Honours BA in Philosophy and Politics from the University of Melbourne. Born in New York and raised in California, Lachy grew up a few blocks from biotech giant Amgen and counts among his peers various characters in the overlapping worlds of venture capital, technology and crypto. When he’s not researching microcaps, he’s most likely sweating it out in a sauna or dunking himself in cold Tasmanian water.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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