Trader Education Series: Trends

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 02 January 2026

If you have enjoyed Murray’s Closing Bell videos but need help to understand the theory behind his analysis, then this three part video series is for you. This third instalment looks at how to define trends. Combining this knowledge with the theory of distributions and buy and sell pivots creates a model of market behaviour that keeps you out of trouble and points you towards winning trades.

NOTE: This is the third video in a three part series. If you haven’t watched the other two you can find video one here and video two here.

This is the final instalment of this free three-part trader education series.

Today we focus on trends using moving averages.

I use a unique setup combining exponential moving averages and simple moving averages for more timely signals.

As trends develop there are a number of characteristics that are great to know if you want to join trends in good spots.

Most trends develop with a series of sharp moves which morph into sideways ranges and then back into another sharp move higher.

Combining the theory of ranges with an understanding of how trends develop is where you can find the best trades.

This final video in the series is where the rubber hits the road, and we combine everything you’ve learned so far into a unified whole.

So if you haven’t watched the last two videos on distributions and buy and sell pivots, be sure to find them on my YouTube channel and scrub up before watching the final video below.

After you have completed all three you’ll be able to follow along with my free Closing Bell videos in the future like a pro.

So get stuck in to the video below and be sure to give us a like on YouTube if you thought the series gave you some knowledge you didn’t have before.

YouTube player

Regards,

Murray Dawes,
Retirement Trader and International Stock Trader

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Comments

Subscribe

0 Comments

Inline Feedbacks

View all comments

Murray Dawes is our resident expert trader and portfolio manager. He is a former Sydney Futures Exchange floor trader who went on to design custom trading systems and strategies for ultra-wealthy clients (including one of Australia’s richest families). Today, his mission is to help ordinary Aussie investors make profitable investments, while expertly managing risk.

He uses his proprietary system for his more conversative and longer-term-focused service Retirement Trader…and then applies the same system to the ultra-speculative end of the Australian market in Fat Tail Microcaps (this service is strictly limited and via invitation only).

Murray’s Premium Subscriptions

Retirement Trader

Tech-Rocks Pt.3: How Commodities And AI Lead to More of Both
By Lachlann Tierney

AI data centres devour copper, lithium, rare earths. Meanwhile, AI tracks the minerals it needs. The feedback loop is just beginning.
China Capitulation Part 3 – revealing fundamental flaws that stop China from being a truly great nation
By Brian Chu

Today’s article covers how China’s weakness from within hold it back. We delve into its mindset of glossing over its image, a conformist societal structure, and how it acts in self-destructive ways. Read on to find out what many western analysts miss…
Tech-Rocks Pt 2: When Rocks Beat Robots (And What’s Next)
By Lachlann Tierney

AI crashed hard late last year. Now commodities rule. But four scenarios lie ahead, and only one lets you win both games.

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.