When was the last time you stocked up on any product at full price?
For example, I’m a self-confessed Whittaker’s fiend. I can literally eat that chocolate all day. It’s incredible.
And when Lucy or I go to the supermarket, we always head down that aisle to peruse the choc blocks.
Much of the time, the store sells each block at full retail price. And when it does, even though I want to it buy it, I don’t.
You know why?
Because I know the next time I come the store will likely discount it.
And when it does…we load up the trolly!
I’m sure you do the same with all manner of different things.
You do it with TVs…pet food…dish washing tablets…washing machines…detergents…garden tools…bikes…trainers…jeans…picture frames…cars…laptops.
Name the product, and I bet you hold out for a bargain.
There’s one thing most people never wait for a deal on, though…
The dirty secret of the financial industry
This business teaches you a lot about human psychology.
Or should I say investor psychology.
Because peoples’ ability to make rational buying decisions in their everyday lives flies out the window when it comes to investments.
I call this knowledge the dirty secret of the financial industry because it is born out of what we see play out in the financial markets time, and time, again.
And that is…
The higher the price of an asset goes…the more people want to buy it.
Take Bitcoin, for example.
Right now, Bitcoin is starting to go up.
Overnight on Monday, it smashed through the key psychological level of US$30,000. And in the space of two minutes on Tuesday morning, it suddenly moved past US$33,000…hitting US$35,000.
Bitcoin’s move jolted our crypto expert Ryan Dinse so much that he interrupted our usual company-wide morning call to give us the news.
Apparently, there’s a rumour a Bitcoin ETF will finally get approved. And issuers like Blackrock, Fidelity and Invesco will need to buy up a whole lot of BTC to satisfy consumer demand over the next 24 months.
This is exciting investors. And it’s driving up the price.
But here’s where our dirty little secret gives us insight…
I guarantee more people will be interested in buying bitcoin — and research about bitcoin for that matter — when it hits US$50,000 than when it was at US$25,000.
Which is insane. Because it’s double the price!
It doesn’t matter whether it’s crypto, stocks, gold, property, or whatever…
Investment assets are probably the only things in the world in which rising prices make people more eager to buy them.
It should be the other way round.
Fat Tail’s mission
Here at Fat Tail Investment Research, we constantly look ahead.
Our unifying mission in every research advisory we publish is to try and anticipate where vast investment capital will likely flow…and make you aware of that early.
(By the way, this is partly why we’re merging all of Fat Tail’s free e-letters into one Fat Tail Daily newsletter…to ensure all of our analysis — across every market sector — is at your disposal in a single free subscription. Keep an eye out for our first Fat Tail Daily send this Wednesday!)
The way we see it, you can basically be one of two people:
You can wait until prices go up and get in alongside everyone else…or you can be one of the few people to consider trends and investments early.
This key mission is what I believe separates us from all other advisers and financial outfits…and makes our work unique and valuable.
We may not get every individual recommendation right…but we usually get the big picture right. And we are not scared to call it.
And to be perfectly honest, I’m sure we could make way more money as a publisher if we just waited for the price of something to go up…and then sold research on it.
We would make more money that way, because we understand the financial world’s dirty little secret…the psychological nature of humans.
But that wouldn’t really be good for us, because it wouldn’t be good for you.
You would be buying while prices are already high.
This is why we encouraged everyone to watch Ryan Dinse’s landmark presentation on how bitcoin gets to US$1 million by 2030.
Not this week.
But this week a year ago.
In October 2022, if you recall, the cryptocurrency market was in a dark time.
Obituaries were being written daily.
Crypto enthusiasts were the butt of jokes.
So, such a timeline — stated boldly, specifically and publicly — was a daring move on Ryan’s part.
One year on, it’s pretty clear Ryan was on the money. So far at least. If he’s right, the timeline to ‘HYPER-BITCOINISATION’ still has a long way to go. It’s still a fat tail idea (as you’ll see here).
But there’s another burgeoning fat tail opportunity in the making right now…
One that’s just as compelling as our bitcoin call one year ago.
The Aussie mining sector’s ‘Bitcoin moment’
Right now, the Australian mining sector is in a fascinating place.
You have established producers making all-time high revenues.
Spot prices of key commodities, especially metals, have mostly trended higher since the last cycle low of 2016.
Australia has major in-ground deposits of some of the most valuable and strategic commodities in the world.
And yet…many of the junior mining explorers sitting on them…are trading around their all-time lows, making them some of the most compelling bargain opportunities on the ASX today.
If you’re interested in small speculative mining stocks, our resident geo and resource stock expert James Cooper says now is the time to get interested.
And he will explain why in this special online event called Pounds in the Ground.
Together with our host Simon Munton, James will walk through five of the most compelling mining stock trading prospects he sees on the Australian market right now.
It won’t be for everyone.
Like I said, you’ll be doing the opposite of what most investors are doing right now.
But that’s a good thing.
Because when the commodities super cycle finally reaches the junior explorer…whether it’s six months from now…or a year from now…the smart move is to investigate them before that happens.
And use our dirty little secret to your advantage.
For Fat Tail Commodities