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Macro Central Banks

Syrah Resources Shares Up on June Quarter Update (ASX:SYR)

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By Lachlann Tierney, Wednesday, 21 July 2021

Syrah Resources Ltd [ASX:SYR] recorded strong operational performance with 29,000 tonnes of natural graphite. SYR share price is up 14% this month...

Syrah Resources Ltd [ASX:SYR] recorded strong operational performance with 29,000 tonnes of natural graphite produced in the June quarter.

The June quarter was the first full quarter following Syrah’s production restart, with natural production at Balama ‘ramping up.’ Syrah ended the quarter with a cash balance of US$85 million.

Syrah Resources shares were up 4% in early trade as a result.

After falling below $1 in May — the first time since December 2020 — Syrah’s share price is regaining momentum.

SYR share price is up 14% this month, having gained 200% over the last 12 months.

ASX SYR - Syrah Resources Share Price ChartSource: Tradingview.com

Syrah’s June quarter update

Here are the key highlights from SYR’s June quarter results.

  • ‘Natural graphite production at Balama ramping up – 29kt produced during the quarter.
  • Balama C1 cash costs (FOB Nacala) of US$537 per tonne at ~10kt per month average production rate for the quarter.
  • ‘On track to achieve target C1 cash costs (FOB Nacala) of US$430-460 per tonne at 15kt per month production rate.
  • ‘Natural graphite sales increasing with 15kt sold and shipped, and practically all of 20kt finished product inventory contracted to customers, demonstrating strong demand.
  • ‘Disruption in container shipping market currently impacting ability to match Balama production and sales with customer demand
  • ‘Weighted average sales price of US$474 per tonne (CIF) reflecting volume directed to reestablishing China fines shipments
  • ‘Quarter end cash balance of US$85 million.’

A big takeaway was Syrah saying its production ramp-up was ahead of schedule, with its Balama plant producing 29,000 tonnes of natural graphite for the quarter.

Importantly, product quality matched the ‘best performance reported during 2019’.

Company PresentationSource: Company presentation

However, investors would likely have spotted that SYR’s C1 cash costs were US$537 per tonne at an average production of about 10,000 tonnes per month for the quarter.

This was higher than its target C1 cash cost of US$430–460 per tonne at a 15,000 tonne per month production rate.

Nonetheless, the company told the market it is still ‘on track’ to achieve the target as production continues to ramp up.

Additionally, the cash cost contrasted with a drop in the weighted average sales price of natural graphite fetched by SYR for the quarter.

The price was US$567 per tonne in the March quarter but fell to US$474 per tonne in the June quarter.

The discrepancy between the cash cost and the sales price no doubt contributed to a net cash loss for the June quarter totalling US$9.45 million.

While Syrah netted US$3.56 million from customer receipts, it also spent US$8.92 million on production costs and US$3.77 million on staff costs.

What next for the ASX SYR Share Price?

As a resource company, Syrah rides the wave of market demand for its product.

As it trades in a commodity — good competitors struggle to differentiate — Syrah can be classified as a price taker. It takes the price the market sets.

So its fortunes rest with the demand for natural graphite and the trend’s sustainability.

Well, Syrah today reported ‘sustained demand growth for natural graphite end uses, with EV sales up 165% in H1 2021 versus H1 2020 to 2.3 million units.’

The demand growth for natural graphite was corroborated by fellow natural graphite producer Talga Group Ltd [ASX:TLG].

This week, Talga announced it would seek to expand its natural graphite resource base in Sweden as ‘worldwide lithium-ion battery demand is rapidly increasing.’

If demand can outpace supply, then Syrah and Talga stand to benefit from higher prices.

That said, Syrah must also ensure it can meet this demand by resolving supply issues. As the company today admitted:

‘Disruption in the global container shipping market is currently impacting Balama product shipments and the ability to match Balama production and sales with customer demand.’

Investors will likely continue to monitor whether these shipping problems can be resolved to coincide with Syrah ramping up production.

This will be important as Syrah must produce at a large enough scale to meet its cash cost targets and boost margins.

As we’ve covered recently, stocks serving the lithium battery industry are thriving at the moment. There is certainly emerging recognition that the lithium battery and electric vehicle sector is a potential growth market.

So, if you want further reading on investment opportunities in the lithium sector, then our free report on lithium stocks is a great place to start.

Regards,

Lachlann Tierney,

For Money Morning

PS: Our publication Money Morning is a fantastic place to start on your investment journey. We talk about the big trends driving the most innovative stocks on the ASX. Learn all about it here

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Lachlann Tierney
Lachlann ‘Lachy’ Tierney is passionate about uncovering hidden opportunities in the microcap sector. With four years of experience as a senior equities analyst at one of Australia’s leading microcap firms, he has built a reputation for rigorous research, deep-dive due diligence, and accessible investor communications. Over this time, he has vetted seed, pre-IPO and ASX-listed companies across sectors, conducted onsite visits, and built strong relationships across the microcap space. Lachy is nearing completion of a PhD in economics at RMIT University, where his research focuses on blockchain governance and voting systems. His work is housed within the Blockchain Innovation Hub at RMIT, a leading research centre for crypto-economics and blockchain research. He holds a Master’s degree from the London School of Economics and an Honours BA in Philosophy and Politics from the University of Melbourne. Born in New York and raised in California, Lachy grew up a few blocks from biotech giant Amgen and counts among his peers various characters in the overlapping worlds of venture capital, technology and crypto. When he’s not researching microcaps, he’s most likely sweating it out in a sauna or dunking himself in cold Tasmanian water.

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