• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Macro Australian Economy

South32 [ASX:S32] Posts Production Increase and Cautious Forecast

Like 0

By Mahlia Stewart, Monday, 23 January 2023

South32’s first-half operating costs are expected to be in line with or below guidance, copper production increases, and manganese and aluminium grow.

Shares for diverse mining and production company South32 [ASX:S32] were subtly rising by just over a percentage today, with the company declaring its first-half operating unit costs will either be in line with or below its initial FY23 guidance across its projects.

The miner, who deals in metal production across a portfolio of assets, including bauxite, aluminium, copper, silver, nickel, coal, and manganese, indicated an increase in production. However, holds a cautious outlook for FY23.

S32 moved up in share value by more than 15.5% in the new year so far and is at a 9% advantage on the wider ASX 200 benchmark over a continuing 12-month average:

ASX:S32 south32 stock chart

Source: Tradingview.com

South32 talks production and guidance for FY23

The metals miner presented its quarterly report for December 2022, revealing that copper equivalent production, manganese, and aluminium had increased.

However, the company has decided to keep its guidance in line with initial predictions, warning that it could lower across its operations.

For the first half, South32 reported group copper equivalent production increased by 12%.

It also noted recent investments in copper and low-carbon aluminium capacity delivered strong growth.

The company provided an 8% increase in quarterly alumina volume as Worsley and Brazil Alumina both operated above nameplate capacity in the December quarter.

Aluminium production in the half year had increased by 15%, with a 50% boost in low-carbon aluminium.

This result followed the company’s additional shareholding in Mozal Aluminium, while its restart of the Brazil Aluminium smelter also had an impact.

S32 reported higher copper grades for Sierra Gorda, delivering 45kt payable copper equivalent production.

Cerro Matoso has commissioned an ore sorting and mechanical ore concentration project, underpinning a 15-year extension to its existing mining contract, which supports higher expected nickel production in H2 F23.

Australia Manganese saw a 7% increase in total production, adding to a record half year of production.

Advertisement:

The fourth big ‘shift’ in mining

There have been three major changes to the way the resource sector works in the last century.

Each one birthed some of Australia’s biggest mining companies — like BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue…and handed some significant gains to investors.

We’re now witnessing a fourth major shift in this sector…

Discover the four stocks that could benefit most here.

Illawarra Metallurgical Coal delivered a 17% increase in quarterly production, with improved volumes and greater labour productivity and a new industrial agreement at Appin.

And yet, FY23 production guidance at Cannington was revised lower by 11% due to decreasing mill throughput and labour availability impacting mining rates, and at Brazil Aluminium (by 25%) on slower ramp up to nameplate capacity.

Graham Kerr, S32’s CEO, commented:

‘Despite industry wide inflationary pressures, we expect Operating unit costs for the first half to be in-line with or below guidance for the 2023 financial year at the majority of our operations. We remain focused on delivering safe and stable operational performance, and efficiencies to mitigate cost pressures and capture higher margins as markets improve.

‘We returned US$927 million to shareholders during the period, paying record fully-franked dividends in respect of the June 2022 half year and continuing our on-market share buy-back.

‘Looking forward, our capital management framework and disciplined approach to capital allocation is designed to reward shareholders as we grow our production and realise the benefits of improving market conditions. At the same time, we continue to reshape our portfolio toward metals critical for a low-carbon future, advancing construction work, studies and exploration at our high-quality development options.’

ASX:S32 south32 production summary for 2022

Source: S32

Incoming! Commodity boom Australia

Our resources expert and trained geologist, James Cooper, thinks the Australian resources sector is set to enter a new commodities boom brought on by the ‘Age of Scarcity’.

Similar patterns that occurred 20 years ago are happening again.

James is convinced ‘the gears are in motion for another multiyear boom in commodities.’

A boom where Australia and ASX stocks stand to benefit…

The next big mining boom is predicted to happen in the next few years.

The same investors that got rich last time are preparing to make their move — don’t let them take the monopoly again.

You can learn from James’s experiences AND access an exclusive video on his personalised ‘attack plan’ right here.

If that isn’t enough to sate your curiosity, check out last year’s interview with James and Greg at ausbiz.

Regards,

Mahlia Stewart,
For The Daily Reckoning Australia

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Mahlia Stewart

Mahlia’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Fat Tail Investment Research

Latest Articles

  • Google Search Isn’t Dead, It Just Smells Funny
    By Charlie Ormond

    The question isn't whether this disruption will happen, but whether you're positioned to profit from it.

  • Trump sparks uranium rally
    By Callum Newman

    Tune in today to watch the latest Closing Bell podcast with Murray Dawes. We discuss the outlook for US stocks, uranium, RBA “bulltish”…plus discuss a few stocks. Tune in now!

  • Markets on Edge? Who cares, this Explorer just delivered a 1,600m Hit
    By James Cooper

    James Cooper outlines the potential opportunities among explorers making major drill hits, but aren’t capturing attention from investors, yet.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • Google Search Isn’t Dead, It Just Smells Funny
  • Trump sparks uranium rally
  • Markets on Edge? Who cares, this Explorer just delivered a 1,600m Hit
  • Just “ChatGPT It”, Stupid
  • The blunder that cost Australia $28 billion

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2025 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988