• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Macro Central Banks

Seeking Shelter in the Growing Global Debt Crisis

Like 0

By Brian Chu, Friday, 08 October 2021

The US Congress has decided to pass a stopgap measure to raise the ‘debt ceiling’ of the US government

Just how did the world get into the mess of having too much debt?

This is a pertinent question that is worth asking, given that we’re seeing several events around the world that could push the market over the edge.

The US Congress has decided to pass a stopgap measure to raise the ‘debt ceiling’ of the US government. In other words, the government just voted to increase their own credit card limit so the US taxpayers can foot the bill. It has grown from US$20 trillion in 2017 to over US$28 trillion to date, based on official government statistics.

The Chinese property market is threatening to teeter over after the partial default of Evergrande and a couple of smaller property developers. Recall that Evergrande itself has over US$300 billion of debt and could not pay some of the interest due to their creditors two weeks ago.

Our own treasurer is now requesting that the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority step in to control the burgeoning home loans market as more households are saddled by higher debt-to-income ratios. Trading Economics reports that the Australian mortgage debt now exceeds $2 trillion, or over 120% of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP).

The world is struggling under the weight of debt. Currently, global debt is estimated at almost US$300 trillion. Last year, the global debt level was US$277 billion, according to Visual Capitalist.

It permeates across governments, businesses, and households.

Many people want to know when this debt bubble will blow up and bring our financial system into a messy collapse.

Some are afraid of it as they’re caught amidst this bubble. A few actually look forward to the opportunities that it can offer as every crisis offers an opportunity.

How to Survive Australia’s Biggest Recession in 90 Years. Download your free report and learn more.

Getting to the bottom of the global debt problem

To understand how to identify the opportunity, it’s a good idea to know how we got into this mess in the first place. This way, you can position yourself as a winner rather than a victim.

Short answer — banks, their fiat currency system, and the boom-bust cycle.

How does it work?

The chicanery of fiat currency and fractional reserve lending

To understand how this works, you need to understand how fiat currency and a fractional reserve lending system works to perpetuate the debt bubble.

Our crooked financial system is run on fiat currency. The bank notes, coins, and digital numbers on our screen are the means of exchange for goods and services. On its own, these would have literally little or no value. However, the government makes them valuable simply by decree, hence the term fiat.

Now, the fiat currency system thrives on something called the velocity of money. This comes from how often the currency ‘turns over’ in the economy. To increase this turnover, the banking sector that runs this system uses the fractional reserve lending system.

Firstly, banks accept deposits from the general public and pay them interest as an incentive to save.

Banks can pool a lot of funds from depositors using this system. Some depositors will keep their funds in the bank to take advantage of compound interest. This allows the banks to invest these funds to earn a return. They use these deposits to lend to the public at a higher rate of interest and earn profits from the difference.

The fractional lending system allows banks to therefore lend and invest at many times the amount that they hold as deposits. In some cases, a bank can lend as much as $100 for every $1 they hold. They leverage their capital and can earn tremendous returns.

Our financial system feeds on earning interest on the global population borrowing from them.

They have the capital to go big on this enterprise.

So big that it’s global.

A global lending enterprise

Over time, banks amassed a fortune on their lending practices. This allowed them to lobby governments to make it a regulated enterprise. They set up their frontman — the central banks — in virtually every nation on Earth. This they achieved by having governments pass laws to make a central bank a fixture in a country’s financial system. They claim that central banks are the backstop of the economy.

This literally completes their almost perfect process of generating infinite profits.

Central banks lend to the government and charge interest on these loans. Taxpayers are on the tab to repay these loans with interest.

This is a rather ingenious plan. Lend to the people and then make them pay double through interest and taxes.

Furthermore, remember the infamous saying of Mayer Amschel Rothschild:

‘Give me control of a nation’s money and I care not who makes the laws.’

That’s why in the last subprime crisis, most governments around the world bailed out the largest banks in their country and shafted the people who suffered double — the crash and then paying higher taxes after the crash.

Safeguard your assets against the storm

The game seems very much loaded against you. The banking system controls the governments, the markets, and even the information flow via their corporate media machine. They want the boom-bust cycle to enrich themselves and strip you of your remaining wealth.

Do not lose heart. There are places to find refuge. You merely have to know how to read into what they say.

Recall my article in mid-July about how the banks actually welcome a market crash and fear a hyperinflationary market, contrary to what they keep saying.

Look for what the governments, banking regulators, and media pundits hate. They disparage gold as a ‘pet rock’ and ‘barbarous relic’ and cryptocurrencies as what criminals and traffickers use (ironic when the biggest criminal enterprise is the banking sector and their government subsidiaries). They certainly don’t want you doing your own research to manage your own finances.

You have what it takes to set up a robust portfolio to defend against what is to come. Each week comes and goes by with news headlines alternating between saying there is a market crash coming and that it is under control.

But look at what the big investors are doing these days…many are cashing up and selling out of their equities position.

Words are cheap. Action speaks louder.

Get ready.

God bless,

Brian Chu Signature

Brian Chu,
Editor, The Daily Reckoning Australia

PS: Our publication The Daily Reckoning is a fantastic place to start your investment journey. We talk about the big trends driving the most innovative stocks on the ASX. Learn all about it here.

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Brian Chu

Brian Chu is one of Australia’s foremost independent authorities on gold and gold stocks, with a unique strategy for valuing big producers and highly speculative explorers. He established a private family fund that only invests in ASX-listed gold mining companies, being one of a few such funds in Australia, putting his strategy and research skills to the test under public scrutiny. He currently writes two gold-focused investment advisories.

In his Australian Gold Report, Brian helps you build long-term wealth in physical gold and a select portfolio of hand-picked stocks comprising mainly producers with proven revenue streams and appealing risk-reward profiles. He uses his original valuation metrics and a tried-and-tested investment strategy to help you to deliver sustained outperformance against industry benchmarks.

In his more specialised Gold Stock Pro service, Brian helps readers trade some of the most exciting, speculative gold mining plays on the ASX. He uses his proprietary system — based on the famous Lassonde Curve model, which tracks the life cycle of mining stocks. His aim is to help you navigate the gold and silver cycles, and to capitalise on the bull market for opportunities to deliver outsized gains.

Brian’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
The Australian Gold Report
Publication logo
Gold Stock Pro

Latest Articles

  • Australia ain’t the USA…and that’s great!
    By Callum Newman

    The outlook for Australia and the ASX are very different to the US and US shares. Here’s why…

  • The biggest infrastructure spending boom in history just kicked off
    By Nick Hubble

    Did governments screw up our gas supply? According to some sources in the industry, a rather similar thing happened to our electricity and water industry.

  • You Read it Here First: Great Asset Rotation Underway
    By James Cooper

    Media is swirling on the great asset transition taking place from the banks to the miners. But James Cooper made this prediction months ago in Mining Memo. Are you taking advantage?

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • Australia ain’t the USA…and that’s great!
  • The biggest infrastructure spending boom in history just kicked off
  • You Read it Here First: Great Asset Rotation Underway
  • The sector primed to fly into 2026
  • OpenAI and Microsoft Divorce?: Why this could be good for you

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2025 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988