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Market Analysis Latest ASX News

Scentre Group Share Price Spikes on Big ASX Rally (ASX:SCG)

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By Lachlann Tierney, Tuesday, 10 November 2020

Beaten down A-REIT Scentre Group [ASX:SCG] registered its biggest move in a long time today.

The SCG share price climbed to $3.13 in early trading before settling for a 13.28% rise, to trade at $2.73, at time of writing.

You can see how this played out on the chart below over the last five days:

ASX SCG Share Price Chart - Scentre Group

Source: tradingview.com

With the daily chart for the year telling a more familiar story, we look at whether retail property is once more on the menu for investors.

SCG share price reacted strongly to vaccine news

By now you’ve probably familiarised yourself with the details of the latest vaccine hope to hit the headlines.

A 90% effective vaccine is in the works according to Pfizer Inc [NYSE:PFE].

Which definitely provides a glimmer of hope for retail property.

While its industrial property-focused peer Goodman Group [ASX:GMG] charged up the charts (perhaps a defensive move) over the last six months, the SCG share price languished.

Now the roles are reversed and GMG shed 8% today as SCG gained.

A recent operational update shows the improved rent collections through to October:

Rent Cash Collections - ASX SCG Shares

Source: marketindex.com.au

Solid figures considering what they were up against in April.

Outlook for SCG share price

Risk remains and if a vaccine hope fades, the move in the SCG share price could reverse sharply.

The remarkable rise of GMG shows how A-REITs can charge up the chart despite their usual slow and steady outlook.

It’s just a theory, but perhaps today some big funds are cycling out of their ‘no-brainer’ GMG position and into a more speculative SCG position, simply because now the ‘flip’ could be on if all goes according to plan.

That being said, retail may never be the same again.

The paltry sub $230 million Myer Holdings Ltd [ASX:MYR] is perhaps evidence of the shift away from brick-and-mortar stores.

Ecommerce is on the rise and we may never engage in the traditional method of retail therapy the way we knew it — by going to the shop.

Which is why you should be aware of these factors in the Australian property market.

It’s all about the ‘Law of Rent’ and the implications may surprise you.

Catherine Cashmore gives you special insight into a property boom that could stretch through to 2026.

Regards,

Lachlann Tierney

For The Daily Reckoning Australia

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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Lachlann Tierney
Lachlann ‘Lachy’ Tierney is passionate about uncovering hidden opportunities in the microcap sector. With four years of experience as a senior equities analyst at one of Australia’s leading microcap firms, he has built a reputation for rigorous research, deep-dive due diligence, and accessible investor communications. Over this time, he has vetted seed, pre-IPO and ASX-listed companies across sectors, conducted onsite visits, and built strong relationships across the microcap space. Lachy is nearing completion of a PhD in economics at RMIT University, where his research focuses on blockchain governance and voting systems. His work is housed within the Blockchain Innovation Hub at RMIT, a leading research centre for crypto-economics and blockchain research. He holds a Master’s degree from the London School of Economics and an Honours BA in Philosophy and Politics from the University of Melbourne. Born in New York and raised in California, Lachy grew up a few blocks from biotech giant Amgen and counts among his peers various characters in the overlapping worlds of venture capital, technology and crypto. When he’s not researching microcaps, he’s most likely sweating it out in a sauna or dunking himself in cold Tasmanian water.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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