• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Market Analysis Latest ASX News

Orora [ASX:ORA] Sees Shares Jump by 7.3% After Strong Earnings

Like 0

By Charlie Ormond, Thursday, 17 August 2023

Orora packaging saw its shares jump today as it reported solid earnings, which hinted at future growth for the sustainable packaging and cans segments of the company. Meanwhile, larger macroeconomic headwinds slowed wine bottle sales and potentially signalled some trouble ahead.

Global packaging manufacturer Orora [ASX:ORA] has seen its share price jump by 7.28% to $3.83 per share in this afternoon’s trading. This comes after another strong showing in its financial results this year despite some slowdowns seen in the broader manufacturing industry, particularly in the US.

It’s been a steady year for the sustainable packaging company, the most significant changes for the company have been the costs and demand for aluminium cans.

The company has invested heavily in plant expansions to manage the growing demand for ‘slim and seek’ cans as Millennials and Generation Z consumer habits shift. However, it also faced an 11% increase in the cost of cans in December as demand crunched against the energy-intensive costs.

Shares of the company were down until early February but rose by 32.5% in 2023 as fears of a hard US recession waned.

ASX:ORA orora stock chart

Source: TradingView

Orora earnings report

Orora, a can and bottle maker, captured much of the evolving packaging market despite a 1% drop in revenue in the 12 months leading up to June 2023 due to lower sales in its US division.

Its Australasian segment saw a 14.1% increase in sales revenue driven by higher cost passthrough from inflation, which affected aluminium can costs.

The company’s total underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) was up by 8.5% to $203 million, with strong signals from both segments encouraging investors today.

The US division saw double-digit earnings growth through FY23, while Australasia saw continued strength in consumer demand for cans.

Thanks to their ease of recyclability and substantial prevalence of craft beer consumption, demand for cans has steadily grown.

Costs have risen for packers like Orora, who transferred that directly onto consumers.

The company has flagged a surge of capital expenditures to revamp growth, including announcing ‘Helio’, a new high-speed digital printing service that will join the new $80 million canning line installed in Dandenong at the end of June.

General manager of Orora Beverage, Chris Smith, said:

‘We are seeing the demand for aluminium cans continue to grow with particularly exciting developments across a number of categories, including craft beer, soft drinks, RTDs and seltzers.

‘Once commissioned, what this means for our customers is that wait time will be significantly reduced in delivering a specific can size or label design for activities such as promotions, new products and limited-edition retail events. With no label set-up required and near-immediate supply, shorter, faster minimum runs can be accommodated, providing greater flexibility in product and campaign planning.’

Helio is expected to be deployed by the third quarter of 2024.

Meanwhile, the company’s commercial wine and bottle sales were down as cash-strapped consumers moved away from budget wine and beer bottle consumption shifted.

Orora said its cost management would offset any future softness in demand in this sector, while also hinting that the next quarter’s performance ‘remains subject to global and domestic conditions’.

Outlook for Orora

Orora had a strong year despite some challenges in the broader manufacturing industry. With a background of higher input costs and uncertainty within all its markets throughout the year, the company’s results were solid.

So far, the company’s strategies have aligned well with changing consumer behaviour and demand.

With an additional investment of $145 million towards improving its beverage can line’s capacity and printing, the company is poised to capture a greater share of the craft and brewery cans market.

It’s also done an impressive job at maintaining strong underlying EPS growth, with a CAGR of 22.2%.

ASX:ORA EPS chart

Source: Orora

But with high energy prices being seen, especially earlier in the year, some risks remain as aluminium smelters could struggle to transition their power sources and send up prices again.

Around 10% of Australia’s total energy output is used for smelting aluminium.

This is further compounded by the growing demand for cans, which Orora is keenly aware of.

Orora had previously established a 100% pass-through agreement with its can customers to pass on rising aluminium prices directly, but there remains a risk if costs become unpalatable.

As those prices now ease, the company’s focus on sustainable packaging is a key competitive advantage. As consumers become more environmentally conscious, demand for sustainable packaging is expected to grow.

Orora is well-positioned to meet this demand with its range of sustainable packaging solutions and new fast-to-market printing services, making it an attractive buy for many investors.

But in turbulent markets, savvy investors must find more than just growth stocks.

In uncertain times, defensive positions often mean looking for companies that will weather the storm and provide dividends.

Royal Dividends

The market has hit another bump in the road in recent days. Uncertainty from here should have investors watching closely.

With things looking dicey in the stock market, maybe it’s time to change tactics.

Smart investors are focusing on quality stocks that can provide safety and pay dividends.

But only buying straight dividend-payers could be a big regret in anything but the short term.

That’s why our investing expert and Editorial Director, Greg Canavan, has spent his time finding the smart move.

He calls it the Royal Dividend Portfolio, and it’s the sweet spot between growth and dividends.

If you think you’re overexposed in uncertain times or simply too defensive, you need to consider something defensive that has a chance to grow.

Click here to learn more about what that looks like.

Regards,

Charles Ormond,

For Money Morning

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Charlie Ormond

With more than a decade of fintech experience, including stretches in critical roles at budding start-ups and tech titans like Microsoft, Charles is squarely focused on investment opportunities in emerging sectors. Interestingly, his academic foundation in zoology provides an unexpected edge! He applies his scientific training with his analytical mindset to figure out tomorrow’s winners and losers. While traditional institutions stick with ‘safe’ stocks, Charles goes straight for seismic shifts in crypto and AI. He’s an early adopter of both technologies.

Now he’s on a mission to empower everyday investors. He decodes groundbreaking developments in technology stocks before they grab mainstream attention. So, if you seek an unconventional perspective to help capitalise on what’s next in fintech, look no further.

Charlie’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Alpha Tech Trader
Publication logo
James Altucher’s Early-Stage Crypto Investor Australia

Latest Articles

  • Google Search Isn’t Dead, It Just Smells Funny
    By Charlie Ormond

    The question isn't whether this disruption will happen, but whether you're positioned to profit from it.

  • Trump sparks uranium rally
    By Callum Newman

    Tune in today to watch the latest Closing Bell podcast with Murray Dawes. We discuss the outlook for US stocks, uranium, RBA “bulltish”…plus discuss a few stocks. Tune in now!

  • Markets on Edge? Who cares, this Explorer just delivered a 1,600m Hit
    By James Cooper

    James Cooper outlines the potential opportunities among explorers making major drill hits, but aren’t capturing attention from investors, yet.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • Google Search Isn’t Dead, It Just Smells Funny
  • Trump sparks uranium rally
  • Markets on Edge? Who cares, this Explorer just delivered a 1,600m Hit
  • Just “ChatGPT It”, Stupid
  • The blunder that cost Australia $28 billion

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2025 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988