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Market Analysis Latest ASX News

Origin Energy [ASX:ORG] Spikes on $18.4 Billion Bid

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By Kiryll Prakapenka, Thursday, 10 November 2022

Origin Energy [ASX:ORG] received a revised takeover offer from Brookfield valuing Origin at $18.4 billion on an enterprise value basis.

Origin Energy [ASX:ORG] received a revised takeover offer from Brookfield valuing Origin at $18.4 billion on an enterprise value basis.

Brookfield, along with its affiliates, first propositioned Origin with a cash offer of $7.79 a share but was turned down. This time, Brookfield returned with an offer of $9 a share, all cash.

That’s a 55% premium to ORG’s last closing price.

ORG shares were up 35% late on Thursday on the news.

ASX:ORG schart

Source: Trading View

Origin shares spike on upped bid

Origin is inching closer to being acquired by a consortium led by Brookfield Asset Management.

After a rejected bid of $7.79 cash per share in August, the consortium bumped up its offer to $9 cash per share, a significant premium to Origin’s last closing price.

The new offer values Origin at $18.4 billion.

This value may be subject to a 3-cent increase each month that passes beyond the implementation date.

On the other hand, the price could reduce depending on Origin’s payable dividends.

Origin Chairman Scott Perkins said:

‘This proposal confirms that Origin, its operations and management team represent a highly strategic platform, well-placed to benefit from the energy transition. Our confidence in Origin’s prospects underscored our engagement with the Consortium and delivered a material increase on their initial offer. While the due diligence process advances, we will remain focussed on the successful execution of our strategy.’

Origin board leans toward takeover

Origin’s board is leaning towards accepting the offer, stating:

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‘Based on current information and market conditions, if the Consortium makes a binding offer at $9.00 cash per share, then it is the current intention of the Origin Board to unanimously recommend that shareholders vote in favour of the proposal, in the absence of a superior proposal.’

The Age of Scarcity — what to do, how to prepare

Brookfield’s pursuit of Origin highlights just how hot the energy sector is right now.

High demand, rising prices, and supply woes exacerbated by the war in Ukraine have turned energy into a topic of great importance.

But the rising cost of energy forms one part of a wider story our resident commodities specialist James Cooper thinks is unfolding right now.

The story of a coming commodities boom.

James says he’s ‘convinced the gears are in motion for another multi-year boom in commodities’.

A boom where Australia — and ASX stocks — stand to benefit.

James has penned a mammoth report on the topic, which we can finally share with you today.

You can access and read James’s report right here — for free.

Regards,

Kiryll Prakapenka,

For Money Morning

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The fourth big ‘shift’ in mining

There have been three major changes to the way the resource sector works in the last century.

Each one birthed some of Australia’s biggest mining companies — like BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue…and handed some significant gains to investors.

We’re now witnessing a fourth major shift in this sector…

Discover the four stocks that could benefit most here.

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Kiryll Prakapenka

Kiryll’s Premium Subscriptions

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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