• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Market Analysis Latest ASX News

Has a ‘No Dividend’ Call Plunged the Redbubble Share Price? (ASX:RBL)

Like 0

By Lachlann Tierney, Tuesday, 16 February 2021

Online marketplace Redbubble Ltd (ASX:RBL) share price has seen its share price tank heavily today despite almost doubling its revenue in the first half of FY2021. At time of writing the RBL share price has dropped 15.54%...

Online marketplace Redbubble Ltd [ASX:RBL] has seen its share price tank heavily today despite almost doubling its revenue in the first half of FY2021.

At time of writing the RBL share price has dropped 15.54%, or $1.08, to trade at $5.87 per share, its lowest point since the beginning of the 2021 calendar year.

Redbubble Share Price Chart - ASX RBLSource: Trading View

RBL, which provides a platform for independent artists to sell their designs through its marketplace, made solid gains last year as the pandemic forced people to shop online.

Discover three innovative Aussie fintech stocks with exciting growth potential. Download your free report now.

Why have investors dumped Redbubble?

RBL’s growth has been astronomical in recent times, with the company announcing today that its revenue for 1H FY2021 grew by 95.6% to $417.6 million.

Its marketplace revenue (revenue minus fees paid to artists) almost doubled to $353 million.

This would have topped 100% had it not been for a currency headwind from the weaker US dollar.

The online marketplace also markedly improved its net profit by 1,465%, from a loss of $3 million in the last corresponding half to a profit of $41 million.

A result that comes on the back of an expanded shopping customer base that grew by 69% to $62 million during the period.

The UK, the third-biggest market for RBL, had the highest growth in gross transaction value for the half at 105%.

North America, which accounts for the lion’s share of RBL’s sales (69%), also posted a solid performance with 89% growth.

So, why the terrible share price action?

Advertisement:

WATCH NOW: Australia’s ‘abandoned gold’

A revolution is taking place in Australia’s mining sector.

A new type of miner is bringing old gold and critical minerals back to life…and already sending some stocks soaring.

Our in-house mining expert — a former industry geologist — has tapped his industry contacts to uncover four of these stocks that could be next…

Click here to watch now.

It’s hard to make sense why investors would dump RBL when the company is growing at such a rapid pace.

One possibility is the absence of a dividend.

Despite the surge in earnings, CEO Michael Ilczynski told investors not to expect a dividend yet.

With a cash balance of $130 million, investors might have been anticipating some distribution this half.

Should you expect fourfold return and dividends?

For a company as fresh as RBL (listing in 2016) it could be a little brash to be expecting it pay out its profits to shareholders.

The company’s share price has nearly returned 400% in the past 12 months and its financials suggest that its rapid growth could continue.

Young companies typically use excess cash to invest back into its business in order to support growth — not to pay out shareholders.

Meaning, shareholders should want RBL to use that cash to generate even more growth.

Another cause for concern may have been lower sales margins released in December caused by shipping partners who were unable to provide assurances in delivering products.

Which investors might worry could continue into the second half of the financial year.

There is no doubt that Redbubble has shown some incredible growth. And with a market cap of $1.6 billion, Redbubble is no longer one of the ASX’s small-capped star. But if you’re on the hunt for the next RBL, then check out these three exciting tech trends and three small-cap stocks that could explode. Claim your free report here.

Regards,

Lachlann Tierney,
For Money Morning

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Comments

Subscribe
Notify of
guest
guest
0 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Lachlann Tierney

Lachlann’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Fat Tail Investment Research

Latest Articles

  • How the “AI Flywheel” can save the global economy
    By Callum Newman

    The current bounce from April 2025 is one of its best share market comebacks in history. Why? Why is the market back up? Find out below.

  • Why didn’t Australia just buy its own gas like everyone else?
    By Nick Hubble

    The slow motion trainwreck that is Australian energy policy is accelerating. As are investor’s gains…if they positioned themselves to profit from the shemozzle. But how?

  • 2025: Halfway through the Blockbuster Decade
    By James Cooper

    Given we’re halfway through the decade, James Cooper reflects on the 2020s, and explains why volatility will continue to drive commodity prices higher for the remainder of the decade.]

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • How the “AI Flywheel” can save the global economy
  • Why didn’t Australia just buy its own gas like everyone else?
  • 2025: Halfway through the Blockbuster Decade
  • The Curious Case of CBA Demystified
  • Nvidia’s Comeback Signals AI’s Next Chapter

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2025 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988