• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Market Analysis Latest ASX News

InvoCare [ASX:IVC] Agrees to $1.2 Billion Takeover by TPG Capital

Like 0

By Charlie Ormond, Wednesday, 09 August 2023

In a tense back-and-forth deal, InvoCare has agreed to a $1.2 Billion takeover bid by TPG Capital to purchase the funeral director and cremation company.

Australian funeral home operator InvoCare [ASX:IVC] is set to be acquired by private equity firm TPG Capital in a deal worth $1.83 billion

The deal has been subject to some interesting back and forth between the two companies as the final deal came down to the wire.

InvoCare has been in a trading halt since Monday morning after over the weekend, TPG stated that it was prepared to walk from the deal unless the price was lowered.

Since the deed of implementation has been signed, and Invocare has come out of the pause, it has seen its share price rise by 5.86%, trading at $12.47 per share.

This marks a somewhat steady year for InvoCare, with shares up by 15.77% in the past 12 months. Its only major share price movements have come as the battle for terms of the agreement has spilled out into trader’s purview.

ASX:IVC stock cahrt invostock chart

Source: TradingView

Close the casket on this deal

TPG Captial’s pursuit of Invocare has finally come to a close after a deal was struck between the two companies, who have signed a scheme implementation deed.

The proposed buyout offer of $12.70 per share for the Sydney-based company represents a 42% premium to InvoCare’s closing price on March 6, before the initial approach.

The deal penned offers a slightly higher valuation than the original offer in March of $12.65 per share that InvoCare rejected.

In May, TPG returned with a sweeter deal, offering $13 per share conditional on satisfactory due diligence.

InvoCare then gave TPG two one-week exclusivity extensions to the negotiation period while giving investors no details for reasons for the delay.

These became clearer signals to investors that things were not well behind the curtains, and discussions heated while the share price slid.

After further back and forth, the two parties have finally passed the point of brinkmanship and agreed to the final $12.70 per share, plus a 60-cent fully-franked dividend.

InvoCare’s board today supported the deal, saying:

‘“The board is unanimous in its view that this transaction is in the best interests of InvoCare shareholders,” InvoCare Chairman Bart Vogel said in the statement. “The board notes that the cash consideration delivers certainty of value to InvoCare shareholders and unanimously recommends that shareholders vote in favour.”’

The deal is still subject to shareholder and regulatory approval but is expected to close later this year without further drama.

Outlook for InvoCare

The deal will be a big relief for InvoCare leadership and shareholders as early signals pointed to the beginning of trouble for the funeral company.

The company expects to report earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) for the first half in the range of $61–63 million, compared with $68.5 million a year ago.

Invocare flagged a challenging macro environment, citing that softer market volumes and inflationary pressures have impacted its margins.

While the margin profitability may be an issue in the shorter term, the company’s underlying health and long-term prospects are solid.

Managing Director at Smoling Stockbroking, Brad Smoling stated:

‘Invocare is an excellent opportunity as an acquisition for TPG.

‘The aging demographics in Australia and the surprising increase in mortality in recent years is very positive for Invocare.’

 

ageing population graph

Source: ABS Data: Wilson,Temple (2022)

Overall, the deal is a positive development for InvoCare. It gives the company some needed capital to reinvest and expand its business, while TPG is able to extend its presence in the funeral services industry.

It also provides shareholders with a fair price and gives them the opportunity to have a clean exit at a time when the company is facing come challenges.

The fully-franked 60 cents dividend is the nice cherry on top.

Finding dividends that are worth your time

The market has roiled stock investors for the past year — steady ground has been rare.

With things looking uncertain in the stock market, maybe it’s time to change tactics.

Smart investors are focusing on quality stocks that can provide safety and pay dividends.

But blindly buying the ‘best dividend-payers’ could be a fruitless move beyond the short term.

That’s why our investing expert and Editorial Director, Greg Canavan, has spent his time finding the smart move.

He calls it the Royal Dividend Portfolio, and it’s the sweet spot between growth and dividends.

If you think you’re overexposed in uncertain times or simply too defensive with cash and bonds, you may want to consider a different strategy.

Click here to learn more about what that looks like.

Regards,

Charles Ormond,

For Money Morning

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Charlie Ormond

With more than a decade of fintech experience, including stretches in critical roles at budding start-ups and tech titans like Microsoft, Charles is squarely focused on investment opportunities in emerging sectors. Interestingly, his academic foundation in zoology provides an unexpected edge! He applies his scientific training with his analytical mindset to figure out tomorrow’s winners and losers. While traditional institutions stick with ‘safe’ stocks, Charles goes straight for seismic shifts in crypto and AI. He’s an early adopter of both technologies.

Now he’s on a mission to empower everyday investors. He decodes groundbreaking developments in technology stocks before they grab mainstream attention. So, if you seek an unconventional perspective to help capitalise on what’s next in fintech, look no further.

Charlie’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Alpha Tech Trader
Publication logo
James Altucher’s Early-Stage Crypto Investor Australia

Latest Articles

  • America’s next Vietnam begins
    By Callum Newman

    I remember George W Bush on a US carrier declaring ‘Mission Accomplished’ when it came to Iraq in the second Gulf war. That was in 2003. The war was still going in 2011. Iraq became a failed state, instead of a flourishing democracy. The Iranians aren’t stupid.

  • Are we at war with China?
    By Nick Hubble

    Tariffs, fentanyl, the Straits of Hormuz, Canadian steel quotas and the EU admitting “Trump is right” all mean one thing: the West is finally taking on China.

  • Looking for the Catalyst: European Rearmament
    By James Cooper

    Every commodity cycle has a demand catalyst… James Cooper highlights one that few have paid attention to: conflict and military rearming. One of the primary drivers of higher metal prices. Read on to find out why this is important.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • America’s next Vietnam begins
  • Are we at war with China?
  • Looking for the Catalyst: European Rearmament
  • An oil price spike is in the offing now
  • The Shopping Revolution No One Saw Coming

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2025 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988