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Fin Tech

Humm Share Price Surges as Q421 Transaction Volume Rises 57%

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By Dr. Lachlann Tierney, Monday, 19 July 2021

The Humm Group [ASX:HUM] share price is up 8% after posting a strong transaction volume of $774.9 million, with a record quarterly buy now, pay later (BNPL) transaction volume of $304.9 million.

The Humm Group Ltd [ASX:HUM] share price is up 8% after posting a strong transaction volume of $774.9 million, with a record quarterly buy now, pay later (BNPL) transaction volume of $304.9 million.

HUM stock rose as much as 10.2% in early trade, as impressed investors bid up the BNPL player’s shares.

Despite today’s positive market reaction to Humm’s business update, HUM shares are still trading 6% year-to-date and 10% over the last 12 months.

ASX HUM - Humm Share Price ChartSource: Tradingview.com

Transaction volume humming along

Here are the key highlights of Humm’s latest quarterly:

  • ‘Hummgroup 4Q21 transaction volume of $774.9m, up 57.3% on pcp
  • ‘Record quarterly BNPL segment transaction volume of $304.9m in 4Q21, up 68.7% on pcp
  • ‘Cards (Australia and New Zealand) 4Q21 transaction volume of $287.5m, up 44.3% on pcp with spend continuing to return across key categories
  • ‘Commercial and Leasing transaction volume in 4Q21 of $182.4m, up 62.2% on pcp
  • ‘Total hummgroup customers of 2.7m as at 30 June 2021, up 19.7% on pcp
  • ‘Continuing improvement in net loss (gross write-offs net of recoveries) of $30.2m in 4Q21, down 20.3% on pcp
  • ‘1,362 new merchants integrated across Australia and New Zealand in 4Q21 including strong growth in key verticals of health, luxury retail, home improvement, and automotive
  • ‘Based on unaudited accounts, Cash Net Profit After Tax of $68.4m, up 121.1% on pcp.’

In Q420, Humm’s BNPL segment accounted for 36% of the group’s transaction volume. In Q421, it accounted for 39%.

Humm’s Australian BNPL market continued to gather market penetration and brand awareness.

The company reported that transaction volume for items over $2,000 increased 26.1% in Q421 against Q420.

Volume for items under $2,000 increased 149.8%, with these transactions ‘benefiting from ecommerce volumes continuing to increase.’

Individually, Humm’s BNPL segment has the highest transaction volume, contributing more to total volume in Q421 than Humm’s Australia Cards and New Zealand Cards combined.

In FY21, BNPL accounted for $1.03 billion of the firm’s total $2.69 billion transaction volume.

Company PresentationSource: company presentation

HUM share price outlook

Humm CEO Rebecca James said today’s business update contributes to the firm’s expectation of FY21 cash NPAT of $68 million, a 121% increase on FY20.

This profitability is what she thinks is a ‘key differentiator against many of our competitors, and importantly will be the fuel to fund the company’s growth strategy.’

A growth strategy can be fuelled by your cash reserves or a capital raising. Ideally, a capital raise takes advantage of a high stock price.

In Humm’s case, the share price hasn’t performed well this year, despite the company’s unique profitability in the BNPL sector.

With a modest price-to-sales ratio of 2.6 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.4, it will be interesting to see whether today’s growth numbers change the market’s sentiment.

Finally, if you’re interested in the changing payments landscape and wondering if there are other fintech investing opportunities apart from the saturated BNPL space, check out our free report on three innovative Aussie fintech stocks with exciting growth potential.

Download the free report here.

Regards,

Lachlann Tierney,

For Money Morning

PS: Our publication Money Morning is a fantastic place to start on your investment journey. We talk about the big trends driving the most innovative stocks on the ASX. Learn all about it here

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Dr. Lachlann Tierney
Dr. Lachlann ‘Lachy’ Tierney is passionate about uncovering hidden opportunities in the microcap sector. With four years of experience as a senior equities analyst at one of Australia’s leading microcap firms, he has built a reputation for rigorous research, deep-dive due diligence, and accessible investor communications. Over this time, he has vetted seed, pre-IPO and ASX-listed companies across sectors, conducted onsite visits, and built strong relationships across the microcap space. Lachy holds a PhD in economics from RMIT University, where his research focused on blockchain governance and voting systems. His work was housed within the Blockchain Innovation Hub at RMIT, a leading research centre for crypto-economics and blockchain research. He also holds a Master of Science degree from the London School of Economics and an B.A. (Hons.) in Philosophy and Politics from the University of Melbourne. Born in New York and raised in California, Lachy grew up a few blocks from biotech giant Amgen and counts among his peers various characters in the overlapping worlds of venture capital, technology and crypto. When he’s not researching microcaps, he’s most likely sweating it out in a sauna or dunking himself in cold Tasmanian water.

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