• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Technology Fin Tech

Humm Share Price Surges as Q421 Transaction Volume Rises 57%

Like 0

By Lachlann Tierney, Monday, 19 July 2021

The Humm Group [ASX:HUM] share price is up 8% after posting a strong transaction volume of $774.9 million, with a record quarterly buy now, pay later (BNPL) transaction volume of $304.9 million.

The Humm Group Ltd [ASX:HUM] share price is up 8% after posting a strong transaction volume of $774.9 million, with a record quarterly buy now, pay later (BNPL) transaction volume of $304.9 million.

HUM stock rose as much as 10.2% in early trade, as impressed investors bid up the BNPL player’s shares.

Despite today’s positive market reaction to Humm’s business update, HUM shares are still trading 6% year-to-date and 10% over the last 12 months.

ASX HUM - Humm Share Price ChartSource: Tradingview.com

Transaction volume humming along

Here are the key highlights of Humm’s latest quarterly:

  • ‘Hummgroup 4Q21 transaction volume of $774.9m, up 57.3% on pcp
  • ‘Record quarterly BNPL segment transaction volume of $304.9m in 4Q21, up 68.7% on pcp
  • ‘Cards (Australia and New Zealand) 4Q21 transaction volume of $287.5m, up 44.3% on pcp with spend continuing to return across key categories
  • ‘Commercial and Leasing transaction volume in 4Q21 of $182.4m, up 62.2% on pcp
  • ‘Total hummgroup customers of 2.7m as at 30 June 2021, up 19.7% on pcp
  • ‘Continuing improvement in net loss (gross write-offs net of recoveries) of $30.2m in 4Q21, down 20.3% on pcp
  • ‘1,362 new merchants integrated across Australia and New Zealand in 4Q21 including strong growth in key verticals of health, luxury retail, home improvement, and automotive
  • ‘Based on unaudited accounts, Cash Net Profit After Tax of $68.4m, up 121.1% on pcp.’

In Q420, Humm’s BNPL segment accounted for 36% of the group’s transaction volume. In Q421, it accounted for 39%.

Humm’s Australian BNPL market continued to gather market penetration and brand awareness.

The company reported that transaction volume for items over $2,000 increased 26.1% in Q421 against Q420.

Volume for items under $2,000 increased 149.8%, with these transactions ‘benefiting from ecommerce volumes continuing to increase.’

Individually, Humm’s BNPL segment has the highest transaction volume, contributing more to total volume in Q421 than Humm’s Australia Cards and New Zealand Cards combined.

In FY21, BNPL accounted for $1.03 billion of the firm’s total $2.69 billion transaction volume.

Company PresentationSource: company presentation

HUM share price outlook

Humm CEO Rebecca James said today’s business update contributes to the firm’s expectation of FY21 cash NPAT of $68 million, a 121% increase on FY20.

This profitability is what she thinks is a ‘key differentiator against many of our competitors, and importantly will be the fuel to fund the company’s growth strategy.’

A growth strategy can be fuelled by your cash reserves or a capital raising. Ideally, a capital raise takes advantage of a high stock price.

In Humm’s case, the share price hasn’t performed well this year, despite the company’s unique profitability in the BNPL sector.

With a modest price-to-sales ratio of 2.6 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.4, it will be interesting to see whether today’s growth numbers change the market’s sentiment.

Finally, if you’re interested in the changing payments landscape and wondering if there are other fintech investing opportunities apart from the saturated BNPL space, check out our free report on three innovative Aussie fintech stocks with exciting growth potential.

Download the free report here.

Regards,

Lachlann Tierney,

For Money Morning

PS: Our publication Money Morning is a fantastic place to start on your investment journey. We talk about the big trends driving the most innovative stocks on the ASX. Learn all about it here

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Lachlann Tierney
Lachlann ‘Lachy’ Tierney is passionate about uncovering hidden opportunities in the microcap sector. With four years of experience as a senior equities analyst at one of Australia’s leading microcap firms, he has built a reputation for rigorous research, deep-dive due diligence, and accessible investor communications. Over this time, he has vetted seed, pre-IPO and ASX-listed companies across sectors, conducted onsite visits, and built strong relationships across the microcap space. Lachy is nearing completion of a PhD in economics at RMIT University, where his research focuses on blockchain governance and voting systems. His work is housed within the Blockchain Innovation Hub at RMIT, a leading research centre for crypto-economics and blockchain research. He holds a Master’s degree from the London School of Economics and an Honours BA in Philosophy and Politics from the University of Melbourne. Born in New York and raised in California, Lachy grew up a few blocks from biotech giant Amgen and counts among his peers various characters in the overlapping worlds of venture capital, technology and crypto. When he’s not researching microcaps, he’s most likely sweating it out in a sauna or dunking himself in cold Tasmanian water.

Lachlann’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Australian Small-Cap Investigator
Publication logo
Fat Tail Microcaps
Publication logo
James Altucher’s Early-Stage Crypto Investor Australia

Latest Articles

  • Retrospective Pt. 1 (Lithium): Our best coverage this year
    By Lachlann Tierney

    After years in the wilderness, lithium is finally showing signs of life. The sector has been absolutely decimated since its 2022 peak, with prices still about ~85% below those highs. But the narrative is shifting in a profound way, and I firmly believe early positioning in quality lithium companies could pay off handsomely over the next 12 to 24 months.

  • As markets Detach from Reality, Focus on Stocks Producing Real Things
    By James Cooper

    Cheap resource companies producing real things, that’s what James Cooper detailed at his recent presentation at the Noosa Mining Conference last month.

  • The Canary is Coughing
    By Charlie Ormond

    US employment data has long served as an early warning system for the global economy. When American workers start losing jobs, trouble tends to follow…For markets, for Australia, and eventually for your portfolio.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • Retrospective Pt. 1 (Lithium): Our best coverage this year
  • As markets Detach from Reality, Focus on Stocks Producing Real Things
  • The Canary is Coughing
  • The Backdoor Entry: Why Majors Buy 10% Stakes Years Before 100% Takeovers
  • Copper’s Christmas Breakout and a New Stock Idea

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2025 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988