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Macro Australian Economy

Graincorp [ASX:GNC] Rises on Earnings Guidance

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By Kiryll Prakapenka, Wednesday, 10 August 2022

Agriculture company GrainCorp [ASX:GNC] upgraded its earnings guidance on Wednesday.

As a result, GrainCorp’s shares spiked over 5%.

Year-to-date, however, GNC shares have been flat.

GrainCorp, after hitting a 52-week high of $10.86 in May, is currently trading at around $8 a share:

ASX:GNC SHARE PRICE CHART

Source: www.tradingview.com

GrainCorp’s FY22 earnings upgrade

GrainCorp has upgraded its earnings guidance for 12 months leading up to September 2022.

GrainCorp’s previous underlying EBITDA range for FY22 was around $590­–670 million, which has now been upgraded to between $680–730 million.

Likewise, GrainCorp’s underlying NPAT has been upgraded to between $365–400 million, up from the previous range of $310–370 million.

Robert Spurway, GNC’s CEO, said the positive changes today reflects ‘outstanding executions’ across the business.

Mr Spurway commented:

‘We are pleased to upgrade our FY22 earnings guidance, with both our Agribusiness and Processing businesses on track to deliver record financial results.

‘We are operating our supply chains at close to full capacity and our teams have done an outstanding job in overcoming disruptions relating to weather and COVID to export 7.9 million tonnes of grain year-to-date.

‘We expect another well above average ECA crop in 2022/23 based on crop development we have seen to date, and a favourable 3-month rainfall outlook.

‘This positive outlook is driving an increase in fourth quarter activity and supporting export volumes, forward contracted grain sales and supply chain margins.’

GrainCorp’s other business segments (processing, feeds, fats, and oils), were also noted to have provided positive results in 2022.

Mr Spurway said the company is in the process of laying the groundwork for the upcoming winter harvest, including extra storage additions, and securing the equipment needed to boost capacity across its sites.

The company’s workforce is also to undergo a significant boost, with a casual staff recruitment programme having commenced.

GNC share price outlook

Back in May the company reported a substantial increase in EBITDA for the half year, upping the total to $427 million on 2021’s $140 million.

NPAT also increased from 2021’s half year total of $51 million to $246 million.

Mr Spurway then commented:

‘The result reflects excellent performance across all business areas and resilience in our supply chain.’

But not all businesses have been faring so well during the current economic environment.

The fact remains that we’re still in a bearish macro context.

It can be a difficult time to discern what the next steps should be.

However, help is at hand.

Editorial Director Greg Canavan has seen a bear market or two.

Armed with that experience — and his value-focused approach to investing — he put together a new report on how to weather a bear market while still exploiting mispricing opportunities.

If you’d like to read Greg’s ‘The Stocks You Should Own in a Bear Market’ report, click here.

Regards,

Kiryll Prakapenka

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Kiryll Prakapenka

Kiryll’s Premium Subscriptions

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