• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
No Index

Day of Reckoning

Like 0

By Bill Bonner, Wednesday, 06 November 2024

‘Consume my heart away; sick with desire
‘And fastened to a dying animal
‘It knows not what it is; and gather me
‘Into the artifice of eternity.’

W.B. Yeats

What is that smell?

Rank. Revolting. It is as if a raccoon had gotten trapped somewhere under the floorboards and died. You can’t get rid of it… not without tearing the house apart.

It’s the decay of the American ‘system’ — its economy and its society, fastened to the dying animal of politics.

In a few hours, the voters will deliver their verdict. A third of the public will shout for joy. Another third will say the election was stolen. And the other third, the best of the lot, will shrug.

Whatever the verdict, the punishment will be the same: the public will be hanged. And the stink won’t go away. Which is not to say there is no difference between the two suits. One might trigger WWIII; the other might not. One might hasten the coming debt crisis; the other might delay it.

But which is which? We don’t know. Neither do they. The odds are good that a Kamala victory will merely continue the slow strangulation of the US by its deep state elites, the wire biting deeper into the neck. While a Trump victory risks more sturm and drang…more unknowns…and more drama.

The problem, from an economic point of view, is that both are fastened to suicidal politics. Debt piles up at the rate of $8+ billion per day; the day of reckoning comes closer. Day after day, the feds must finance and refinance more debt. Mathematically, there is no way this story can end well. ‘All roads lead to inflation’, says Paul Tudor Jones.

And politically, the problem is that this kind of leadership — favouring more spending, more deficits, more control, more programs, more laws, more regulations, more inflation and more war — not only leads to more debt…it is out of step with what ‘The People’ really want. There is the real divide. Not between Republicans and Democrats, but between the common folk and the elites. James Nielson:

‘[The People] happen to be strongly against open borders, take pride in their country’s heritage, resent having to pay through the nose for energy in order to fight “climate change,” greatly dislike getting bullied by gender activists who think “transwomen” convicted of crimes, among them rape, should be put in prisons for females, find utterly ridiculous all the fuss about pronouns, and much else besides.’

They don’t like getting poorer either!

But the deciders don’t care. The Wall Street Journal:

The Biden Economy Is ‘Glorious’—
if You’re Wealthy

If you listen to the headline hoggers and glib, zinger slingers, you have been lectured more than once about how great the Trump economy once was and how wonderful the Biden economy now is. ‘If only people would recognize it!’ continue the reports.

Paul Krugman, for example, says the phenomenon is a kind of ‘irrational gloominess’, a failure to recognise how glorious the economy is…a syndrome that typically strikes the deplorables, and the ‘garbage’ people outside of the elites’ zip codes. For them, the economy isn’t so great; the WSJ continues:

‘Mr. Biden’s economy has been glorious—for affluent liberals. It’s been awful for the working class. Socioeconomic disparities have grown in recent years owing to the policies that were supposed to shrink them. The well-to-do got wealthier while the rest got poorer.’

The Journal cites a Fed study, showing that people who earn less than $60,000 were able to increase spending since January 2018 by 7.9% — less than half as much as those earning more than $100,000 a year. As you go up the socio-economic ladder, the view gets better and better…but below the top rungs, it is stale and dark.

Polls show, not by coincidence, that the more affluent and educated you are, the more likely you are to be ‘satisfied’ with Biden’s economy.

‘Americans who own stocks are feeling good about the economy as they watch their 401(k)s and mutual funds grow. The S&P 500 index has surged by some 50% since January 2021. Ditto Americans who owned homes before interest rates rose in 2022 and may have refinanced at historically low interest rates. But others have seen inflation erode their wages and spending power. Those who can’t work from home are spending considerably more to fuel up. New home buyers are spending thousands more each month on mortgage payments than those who bought homes before Mr. Biden took office.’

It is no wonder the Establishment generally supports Kamala; she promises to keep the show on the road.

Regards,

Bill Bonner Signature

Bill Bonner,
For Fat Tail Daily

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Bill Bonner

Bill’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Fat Tail Investment Research

Latest Articles

  • OpenAI and Microsoft Divorce?: Why this could be good for you
    By Charlie Ormond

    While breakups are rarely pretty, this one might actually benefit investors willing to look beyond the drama.

  • Three Lithium Stocks in the Buy Zone
    By Murray Dawes

    Lithium stocks jumped this week, so Murray and Callum discuss whether this could be the beginning of the second boom in lithium stocks. They also discuss a fund manager that is recovering and looking cheap

  • Every Australian Investor Has a Stake in Mining
    By James Cooper

    With its deep pool of retirement capital, Australia is on track to become the world’s primary destination for resource markets.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • OpenAI and Microsoft Divorce?: Why this could be good for you
  • Three Lithium Stocks in the Buy Zone
  • Every Australian Investor Has a Stake in Mining
  • The next wave of AI winners
  • Could the US People Repudiate the National Debt?

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2025 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988