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Market Analysis Dividend Shares

Could CSL Become the New Standard of Income Stocks? (ASX:CSL)

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By Lachlann Tierney, Thursday, 09 April 2020

It is a little over a month since Melbourne-based biotech company CSL Ltd [ASX:CSL] officially became the largest firm on the ASX. The biotech behemoth could be poised to become a standard fixture for income investors...

It is a little over a month since Melbourne-based biotech company CSL Ltd [ASX:CSL] officially became the largest firm on the ASX.

Now, the biotech behemoth could be poised to become a standard fixture for income investors.

Yesterday, the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) ordered the banks to slash dividends until the full effect of the COVID-19 pandemic could be quantified.

Read here for more in-depth analysis of why bank dividends are under serious threat.

And there is no telling just how long the banks’ dividends will be missing.

So, is it time to begin looking for the new generation of dividend income stocks?

At least for the moment, I think so.

ASX CSL Share Price Chart - The Next Income Stock?

Source: Trading View

CSL profits unfazed by coronavirus

The banks have been busy reassuring shareholders and customers they can weather the current storm.

All the while CSL has charged on ahead.

In an announcement made this morning, the biotech company reaffirmed its FY2020 profit guidance of $2.11–2.17 billion.

This despite difficulties in their blood plasma business and expected delays in capital project and clinical trials.

So, what does this have to do with the banks and dividends?

In the lower two windows of the graph above I’ve compared CSL’s dividends with the two smaller banks of the Big Four, National Australia Bank Ltd [ASX:NAB] and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd [ASX:ANZ].

As you can clearly see both the banks have a far higher dividend payout ratio (they payout more of their profits to their shareholders) than CSL.

What does this mean?

Well, it means CSL has more money to invest back into the business in order to drive higher profits.

Something they have been doing successfully, boasting a steady 52% increase in operating revenue over the past five years.

The company’s R&D budget has almost doubled over the same period.

Since 2015, CSL’s dividend also doubled from a total of $1.64 to a total of $2.66 per share in 2019.

In the meanwhile, the banks have steadily cut their own dividends (with the exception of Commonwealth Bank of Australia [ASX:CBA]).

The downside, however, is CSL’s low dividend yield compared to NAB and ANZ.

CSL trades at a whopping $318 per share, for a dividend of approximately $2.66.

You could buy around 21 NAB shares for the same price, giving you at net dividend of around $59.

But with banks’ future dividends in doubt, companies like CSL could begin to become more attractive to income investors over the medium term.

If they remain on a similar trajectory that is.

A big chunk of us rely on the banks’ dividends, either through direct ownership or our superfunds.

With their future looking uncertain, we have created a two-pronged strategy to help protect your wealth during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Click here to get a copy of our free report.

Regards,

Lachlann Tierney,
For Money Morning

 

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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Lachlann Tierney
Lachlann ‘Lachy’ Tierney is passionate about uncovering hidden opportunities in the microcap sector. With four years of experience as a senior equities analyst at one of Australia’s leading microcap firms, he has built a reputation for rigorous research, deep-dive due diligence, and accessible investor communications. Over this time, he has vetted seed, pre-IPO and ASX-listed companies across sectors, conducted onsite visits, and built strong relationships across the microcap space. Lachy is nearing completion of a PhD in economics at RMIT University, where his research focuses on blockchain governance and voting systems. His work is housed within the Blockchain Innovation Hub at RMIT, a leading research centre for crypto-economics and blockchain research. He holds a Master’s degree from the London School of Economics and an Honours BA in Philosophy and Politics from the University of Melbourne. Born in New York and raised in California, Lachy grew up a few blocks from biotech giant Amgen and counts among his peers various characters in the overlapping worlds of venture capital, technology and crypto. When he’s not researching microcaps, he’s most likely sweating it out in a sauna or dunking himself in cold Tasmanian water.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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