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Capitulation Low…More Selling to Come?

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By Greg Canavan, Wednesday, 11 March 2020

Yesterday, Publisher James Woodburn issued a ‘Stop Press’ announcement. ‘Due to the historic recent market price action, we are ceasing the normal publishing schedule’, he said.

That means from today onwards, we’ll be sending you special updates on the unfolding market action.

To kick things off, we have a special video recording for you. In it, I’m joined by my colleagues Dan Denning and Shae Russell, to talk stocks, bonds, oil, and gold, amongst other things.

We recorded it yesterday morning, before the market opened. At the time, the ASX 200 futures suggested the market would fall another 5%.

But Aussie stocks only dropped briefly at the open yesterday. They then staged a strong rally. US stocks followed that up with a big rally overnight.

Given Monday’s almost capitulation selling, this does look like a short-term low to me. But clearly, with so much fear and uncertainty around concerning the economic impact of the spread of the coronavirus, it won’t take much for the selling to resume.

Whatever happens, we’ll be onto it for you over the next few days.

Our coverage will culminate in the meeting of the US Federal Reserve on 17–18 March. This is when we’ll know for sure what type of unconventional idiocy this famed central bank has in store for us.

For now, though, we hope you enjoy the chat below…

I’m sure after watching it you might have further questions. If so, we are here to answer them as best we can over the coming week. Do write in with anything you’d like us to address and we’ll try our best to get to all of them.

Also, if you want to follow us on Twitter, you can do so here:

@gcanavan2
@shaearussell
@danielKdenning

Regards,

Greg Canavan Signature

Greg Canavan,
For Money Morning

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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Greg Canavan

Greg is the Investment and Editorial Director of Fat Tail Investment Research and Editor of our flagship investment letter, Fat Tail Investment Advisory. Over the last 20 years, Greg has developed a unique investment philosophy that combines value fundamentals with technical analysis. The result is a portfolio solution that’s consistently beaten the market and embraces one key idea: that you don’t have to take big risks to make big returns.

Greg also runs the Fat Tail Capital Solution model portfolio, which is currently only available as part of the Fat Tail Alliance.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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