Callum Newman

Our biggest risk, at all times, is market risk.

What I mean by this is your whole portfolio – and mine – being vulnerable to a big bear market. Think a 50% drawdown like 2008.

We can make our future decisions much easier…by avoiding a bear market as much as possible! Here’s one idea on that…

A kangaroo-nicorn is a start up from Australia that reaches a $US 1 billion level.

I came across the word in the Financial Times yesterday.
The article is a good news piece for us here.

Right now, lots of shares are beating these modest expectations.

Hence why shares are jumping after their results come out.

This is great. It means two things: There is likely more left in this bull run and there are lots of opportunities for stock picking

How can we be sure (within reason)?

You never know what might come along and blindside you.

To that end, today’s Fat Tail Daily will look at a potential weak point for the global economy…

Everywhere you look you’re going to hear about Trump’s latest tariff bout. India is now getting a right hook across the jaw.
Then there’s those revised employment figures out of the USA not doing the outlook any favours.
Is there any good news?
As it happens, yes.
But odds on no one will point it out to you anywhere else than here.

July is always a handy month when it comes to trading the market.
It’s because so many firms released their quarterly results.
These can be handy guideposts, both in terms of what the companies say…and how the market reacts.

You’ll likely make better money, with less stress, leaning into companies showing strength already.
We’re going to leave the resource market aside for now because I’m noticing positive action elsewhere too.

Investors and traders will always dump a stock like this, so fast you can barely blink in time. And it’s not something to “buy the dip on”, at least in my opinion.

Again, we keep coming back to the same point. There are huge amounts of money flowing through Australian commodity companies. And yet nobody really perceives it this way. Make the most of it.

We’ve already seen very good money made in the gold sector. Gold broke out first. Now copper is moving up and threatening to rally into historic territory.
Lithium stocks are moving too.
And now what do we see?