• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Market Analysis Latest ASX News

Australian Vintage [ASX:AVG] Says Results as Expected in Harsh Environment

Like 0

By Mahlia Stewart, Thursday, 15 June 2023

Australian Vintage has provided commentary on results in FY23 and the current trading environment, which it says has been impacted by adverse weather and inflationary challenges, and yet it says it performed to expectations and better than others within the industry.

Earlier this morning, winemaker Australian Vintage [ASX:AVG] was rising in shares after posting a trading update. It also cast its outlook on the business going ahead with the rest of FY2023, into 2024, and with its strategic plan on track.

Australian Vintage is focused on reducing its cost and maximising its profit margins even despite the current ongoing challenging environment.

AVG was rising by more than 1% in the mid-morning just shortly after releasing its update to the market, trading for 46 cents a share at the time of writing.

However, this small upwards movement today is one of many small incremental increases over the past three months, whereby the winemaker’s stock has been notably falling at a much higher rate.

AVG is currently down by 27% in the last 12 months and 36% down on the ASX:

ASX:AVG Australian Village stock chart news 2023

Source: TradingView

 

Australian Vintage says business is down, but this is expected

Australian Vintage says that despite some growth in its overall market share more recently and across AVG’s main key geographies, it still addressed the overarching business environment, which is a challenging one.

The group acknowledged the ongoing inflationary environment. It said that while it was down in financials and operations due to some adverse weather impacts, it still performed better compared with the overall industry.

Another issue flagged was ongoing inflationary pressures across core geographies such as over the UK and in Australia, which remain sticky and persistent.

Consumption trends in the value segment have been pressurized. Even with the company deciding to aim to shuffle pricing across FY2023, this progress has not been enough to overcome the inflationary pressures and price impacts when compared with broader market competition.

Australian Vintage says that considering the current conditions, it is committed to improving its overall business performance with a particular focus on cost reduction, growth in higher margins, innovation and reduction of debt.

The way the company has decided to do this is by removing $9 million of business costs, hoping to offset inflationary pressure, as well as more calculated management of freight expenses, supply contract negotiations and other such efficiencies.

AVG is also committed to reviewing further asset sales and other operations, as well as knuckling down on its marketing discipline and supporting its innovation for the strategic plan.

The wine group has visions of expanding its growth regions for all its pillar brands beyond core markets, and in order to help it get there, it will be suspending any potential final dividend for FY23 until its net debt and earnings reach their desired range.

All considered, the group expects underlying EBITDA and NPAT to improve into FY24.

AVG’s Chief Executive, Greg Garvin stated:

‘We remain confident in our strategic plan and are highly enthused by the performance of our innovative and premium brands. We continue to gain market share across all key geographies despite the tough trading environment. We are making proactive decisions today to both improve our financial performance as well as our ability to operate with agility to our strategic plan.’

The group intends to release further guidance for FY24 with its end-of-year results.

 

Tik Stocks — viral trends expected in 2024

With cost-of-living and inflation increases, political conflict and the energy crisis taking enough of the attention, you might be thinking…is it worth taking any risks?

But think about this — unassuming small-cap Stem Cell United [ASX:SCU] catapulted by 8,284% in two days when it decided it would chase down a medicinal cannabis opportunity.

Cann Group [ASX:CAN] began at 30 cents and ballooned to $4 in a manner of months in another viral explosion.

This is why our experts bring you Tik-Stocks — a cousin to ‘meme stocks’ predicted to be the next big thing — and how to use them.

If you would like to know more about Tik-Stocks, click here.

Regards,

Mahlia Stewart

For Money Morning

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Mahlia Stewart

Mahlia’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Fat Tail Investment Research

Latest Articles

  • How the “AI Flywheel” can save the global economy
    By Callum Newman

    The current bounce from April 2025 is one of its best share market comebacks in history. Why? Why is the market back up? Find out below.

  • Why didn’t Australia just buy its own gas like everyone else?
    By Nick Hubble

    The slow motion trainwreck that is Australian energy policy is accelerating. As are investor’s gains…if they positioned themselves to profit from the shemozzle. But how?

  • 2025: Halfway through the Blockbuster Decade
    By James Cooper

    Given we’re halfway through the decade, James Cooper reflects on the 2020s, and explains why volatility will continue to drive commodity prices higher for the remainder of the decade.]

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • How the “AI Flywheel” can save the global economy
  • Why didn’t Australia just buy its own gas like everyone else?
  • 2025: Halfway through the Blockbuster Decade
  • The Curious Case of CBA Demystified
  • Nvidia’s Comeback Signals AI’s Next Chapter

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2025 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988