• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Market Analysis Latest ASX News

Atomos Shares Crash 45% on Trading Update (ASX:AMS)

Like 0

By Kiryll Prakapenka, Friday, 06 May 2022

Video equipment manufacturer Atomos’s [ASX:AMS] share price fell 45% on Friday on the release of its latest trading update.

Video equipment manufacturer Atomos’s [ASX:AMS] share price fell 45% on Friday on the release of its latest trading update.

AMS has suffered a gradual slump since 2021, down 65.46% in the last month alone:

ASX:AMS stock prices chart

Source: TradingView.com

AMS update includes new guidance

Atomos announced a ‘strong medium-term outlook’ today despite revenue and EBITDA changes in its new guidance report.

The company commented that it’s chosen to update the market despite acceleration in promotional activities that might ‘see Atomos outperform new guidance’.

Revenue guidance has changed since the company’s announcement last month, which was estimated to reach $95 million.

Now revenue guidance has dropped to around $80–90 million.

Likewise, EBITDA margins were in the range of 12–15%. However, the new EBITDA margin has entered the 6–8% range.

Sales were reported to have been slower than the company expected, with changes implemented in April so that marketing approach and lower promotional activity might improve sales performance.

EBITDA may be impacted by an increase in optimising the company’s cloud-based services, a decision that was influenced by feedback provided by the National Association of Broadcasters (NAB).

Atomos believes this impact to be short term, that this strategy should ‘increase the installed base of its hero product, Ninja, by 15% by the beginning of FY23’.

ARR guidance hasn’t changed with the company anticipating $3 million for 2023 and $6 million in 2024 with EBITDA expected to reach double digits next year.

AMS’s connect product’s short-term production schedule has been revised due to COVID lockdowns in Shanghai.

AMS share price outlook

Trevor Elbourne, Interim CEO, admitted it was ‘disappointing’ to revise FY22 guidance, commenting:

‘The reception we have received to our recent product launches is a strong endorsement of the technology roadmap we have been executing for the last couple of years…

‘At the same time, it is extremely disappointing to be revising our FY22 guidance, particularly considering the strong sales results achieved during 1H FY22.

‘However, with new products in market, and the appropriate promotional levers reactivated, we expect a strong Q4 which will ensure that we maximise the sales of our physical devices and in turn, adoption of the new connected ecosystem.’

Investors are certainly sharing in the disappointment with the guidance downgrade, sending AMS shares lower on Friday.

Investors may be wondering why the good reception Atomos is purportedly receiving for its products is still leading to downgrades in guidance.

Going forward, AMS will need to find the right strategy for reaching more consumers.

But while the tech sector is sustaining selling pressure, there’s another sector that our experts believe is due for a positive reassessment, especially now that Europe is pulling away from Russian energy suppliers.

If you’d like to learn about an Aussie small-cap that could have a hand in helping Europe resolve its energy crisis, click here and read on.

Regards,

Kiryll Prakapenka,
For Money Morning

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Kiryll Prakapenka

Kiryll’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Fat Tail Investment Research

Latest Articles

  • Retrospective Pt. 2 (Copper)
    By Lachlann Tierney

    Part two of our retrospective of past coverage features an excerpt from a buy recommendation on a copper company.

  • MAGAnomics is coming for Australia, whether we vote for it or not
    By Nick Hubble

    Forecasting is easy. You only need to predict what’s already happening overseas will eventually come to Australia. And the next big shift is the rise of Trump-style economic policy.

  • Retrospective Pt. 1 (Lithium): Our best coverage this year
    By Lachlann Tierney

    After years in the wilderness, lithium is finally showing signs of life. The sector has been absolutely decimated since its 2022 peak, with prices still about ~85% below those highs. But the narrative is shifting in a profound way, and I firmly believe early positioning in quality lithium companies could pay off handsomely over the next 12 to 24 months.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • Retrospective Pt. 2 (Copper)
  • MAGAnomics is coming for Australia, whether we vote for it or not
  • Retrospective Pt. 1 (Lithium): Our best coverage this year
  • As markets Detach from Reality, Focus on Stocks Producing Real Things
  • The Canary is Coughing

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2025 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988