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Market Analysis Latest ASX News

Appen Share Price Trading at Massive Multiple after Strong Run

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By Lachlann Tierney, Wednesday, 12 August 2020

The share price of Appen Ltd (ASX:APX) is down .89% today at time of writing, trading at $36.85. The APX share price reflects the broader theme in the market where tech leaders are advancing relative to their peers...

The share price of Appen Ltd [ASX:APX] is down .89% today at time of writing, trading at $36.85.

You can see the APX share price went on a strong run from the March market lows:

ASX APX Share Price Chart - Appen Shares ASX

Source: tradingview.com

In a 12-month window Appen shares are up more than 40%, we take a quick look at whether the run can continue.

APX share price may retrace

The APX share price reflects the broader theme in the market where tech leaders are advancing relative to their peers.

But the APX share price may begin a brief retracement as its P/E ratio now stands at a whopping 100-plus.

Even by tech stock standards this is quite high.

That being said, the Afterpay Ltd [ASX:APT] share price shows that you don’t even need an earnings multiple to surge up the charts.

But Appen is a different kettle of fish compared to the fintech darling.

It’s a kind of ‘AI infrastructure’ stock that feeds off the success of the Silicon Valley giants.

It’s growing company that has a dominant position in a niche market.

As such, its growth trajectory may be more bounded than APT.

Outlook for APX share price

With its next results due out in a couple weeks on 27 August, it will be very interesting to see whether the APX share price run was justified.

Expectations around APX are high.

You can see a glimpse of its financials and forward estimates below:

ASX APX Financials - Appen Shares

Source: MarketScreener

As you can see, things are projected to improve for the company across a number of balance sheet metrics.

Increasing net cash position and improving Return on Equity.

If the analysts are right about these things, the dividend pay-out ratio could improve over the coming years.

Of course, there are always risks, particularly in the tech world.

Competitors, or improving AI could mean the human leg work that APX provides may become less relevant.

For now, the outlook for the APX share price is strong if these numbers are anything to go by.

Regards,

Lachlann Tierney,
For Money Morning

PS: Missed out on the APX run? Check out these four small-caps that were selected for their ability to thrive off lockdown mega-trends. Download your copy of the report for free right here.

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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Lachlann Tierney
Lachlann ‘Lachy’ Tierney is passionate about uncovering hidden opportunities in the microcap sector. With four years of experience as a senior equities analyst at one of Australia’s leading microcap firms, he has built a reputation for rigorous research, deep-dive due diligence, and accessible investor communications. Over this time, he has vetted seed, pre-IPO and ASX-listed companies across sectors, conducted onsite visits, and built strong relationships across the microcap space. Lachy is nearing completion of a PhD in economics at RMIT University, where his research focuses on blockchain governance and voting systems. His work is housed within the Blockchain Innovation Hub at RMIT, a leading research centre for crypto-economics and blockchain research. He holds a Master’s degree from the London School of Economics and an Honours BA in Philosophy and Politics from the University of Melbourne. Born in New York and raised in California, Lachy grew up a few blocks from biotech giant Amgen and counts among his peers various characters in the overlapping worlds of venture capital, technology and crypto. When he’s not researching microcaps, he’s most likely sweating it out in a sauna or dunking himself in cold Tasmanian water.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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