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A 9% Dividend Yield for the Taking

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By Murray Dawes, Saturday, 17 August 2024

As rates fall investors should lock in high dividend yields.

Stocks have shrugged off last week’s mini-crash and resumed the uptrend. But the underlying reason for the crash remains: US growth is coming off the boil rapidly.

In today’s Fat Tail Daily, Murray looks at the buy signal in US 10-year bonds and explains why investors should be on the hunt for high yield stocks, revealing a large retail stock paying a grossed up yield of 9%.

You may be wondering if last week’s crash in Japanese stocks ever happened.

The market has taken it in its stride, and it appears we are back to business as usual.

But the underlying cause of the volatility remains.

The US economy may be slowing faster than many expect as a result of interest rates remaining at a restrictive level for the past few years.

If that is the case investors should consider how they can position themselves to take advantage of opportunities.

In today’s Closing Bell video, I focus on the buy signal in US 10-year bonds.

Past cycles have seen interest rates drop rapidly once the cutting cycle begins. It is not always a bullish outcome for stocks. That’s because something has usually broken as a result of high rates, and the US Fed cuts rapidly to stop an implosion (for example in 2000 and 2007).

Therefore, a more defensive posture is to look for solid dividend yields.

In the video below I show you a $3.6bn retail group that is paying a fully franked 6.3% dividend yield that grosses up to 9%!

I don’t show it to you as a trade but as an example of the type of opportunities that are out there at the moment.

If rates do follow the same path as past cycles and come off the boil rapidly a 9% yield could look spectacular. Especially if a drop in rates ignites the retail sector and revenues grow more rapidly than the current low levels expected.

I also have a look at the possible weekly buy signal in US stocks which would increase the odds there is more upside to come in the short-term.

As I show you in todays video, the volatility last week didn’t cause that much damage to the charts. But the underlying problems with US growth could cause further volatility ahead if data continues to disappoint.

If you found today’s Closing Bell insights helpful and want to dive deeper into the strategies I use to protect and grow capital, I highly recommend checking out THE LESSONS: SIX SECRETS to ‘beat-the-market’ trading.

This resource distils the six key principles that have guided my trading over the years, helping members achieve an average annualised gain of 25%—even during some of the most unpredictable market conditions.

By understanding these core rules, you’ll gain a stronger foundation to navigate market volatility and seize opportunities, just like the ones we discussed in today’s video.

Click below to learn more:

THE LESSONS: SIX SECRETS to ‘beat-the-market’ trading

Regards,

Murray Dawes Signature

Murray Dawes,
Editor, Retirement Trader and Fat Tail Microcaps

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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Murray Dawes

Murray Dawes is our resident expert trader and portfolio manager. He is a former Sydney Futures Exchange floor trader who went on to design custom trading systems and strategies for ultra-wealthy clients (including one of Australia’s richest families). Today, his mission is to help ordinary Aussie investors make profitable investments, while expertly managing risk.

He uses his proprietary system for his more conversative and longer-term-focused service Retirement Trader…and then applies the same system to the ultra-speculative end of the Australian market in Fat Tail Microcaps (this service is strictly limited and via invitation only).

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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