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Commodities

Why That ‘Screaming Gold Hit’ Probably Won’t Make You Rich

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By James Cooper, Monday, 10 November 2025

Geologist James Cooper continues his special series on ‘geology for investors,’ focusing on ‘The Big Three.’ What every mining investor must know about Grade, Depth, and Width.

Over the coming weeks, I thought we’d spend some time upskilling our geological knowledge.

I’ll keep these updates brief and concise, distilling the key aspects of geology that matter for investors.

Our focus is zeroing in on the ‘practical side’ of geology and how it can bolster our investment decision-making.

In our last edition, I explained the importance of focusing on junior miners finding strong grades… That’s because higher-grade deposits are typically more profitable to mine.

But I also detailed why there are other factors to consider… Especially the SIZE or width of the mineralised zone.

In fact, scale is often the key feature that gets projects over the line.

Here’s why it matters

Ever wondered what the typical price tag is for a new mine?

The minimum CAPEX for most new mine developments typically starts at a whopping $1 billion.

Of course, that varies depending on the type of commodity… Gold is one of the few metals where smaller operations can still be profitable.

However, for the most part, a deposit needs to be substantial to justify the massive investment in infrastructure and transportation routes.

As an investor in junior mining stocks, it pays to put yourself into the shoes of a future mining engineer, which will give you a more realistic view when interpreting a company’s drill hole results.

Will a few centimetres of high-grade gold make it into production? Not likely!

Even at the very early exploration stage, you can start to scratch a lot of junior mining options from your list.

Another factor why your focus should be on WIDE drill hits:

And this, again, comes down to the FUTURE economics… Mining equipment is typically oversized today.

As I explained last week, using large equipment to mine a narrow high-grade zone means diluting the mineralised portion.

What do I mean?

Mining excavators typically scoop up to 30-50 tonnes of rock at a time.

The Caterpillar 6090, known as one of the world’s largest excavators, can scoop up to 103 tons in one load!

So, given that most modern mining equipment tends to be ‘oversized’, extracting narrow high-grade zones is not usually feasible.

So, to hammer the point…

While a screaming gold hit over just a few centimetres might make an impressive headline, it probably won’t be viable in terms of future mining.

But that’s not to say that the project is dead… Far from it!

One vein rarely makes a deposit, but it can flag the area as prospective for discovery.

That’s because mineralised veins tend to ‘feed off’ a primary source.

Think of it like this…

Mineralised fluids containing elements like gold, copper, and silver once flowed through the rocks that lie beneath us, millions of years ago.

And the vein is like the mineralised fluid FROZEN in time.

But these fluids had a beginning and an endpoint… And it’s up to geologists to find the source!

You can think of it like a giant lake that once fed all these mineralised veins or tributaries through the rock.

The source of mineralisation is what most geologists are trying to uncover.

The minor high-grade hits are just the clues that help geologists eventually discover the motherlode!

Digging into the weeds…

Okay, we’ve established that narrow high-grade hits (by themselves) are difficult to mine.

So interpret them for what they are… Essential clues that could point to something much bigger below the surface.

But there are occasions where veins can be profitable to mine… Like when they’re found as a cluster or as a dense group.

Geologists refer to this as ‘stockwork veining’. Here’s an example of what that looks like:

Source: Research Gate

[Click to open in a new window]

A chaotic tangle of mineralised veins, densely packed together, can host rich deposits by adding to the overall mineralised tonnage.

And as a geologist, this is precisely what you want to see…

Rocks that have been torn apart, altered, fractured… a mess!

That indicates the area is active, having experienced significant tectonic movement and fluid flow.

Stay tuned for the next edition in this series.

Until then.

Regards,

James Cooper,
Mining: Phase One and Diggers and Drillers

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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James Cooper

James Cooper has been a working geologist in mines across Australia, Canada, and Africa since the early 2000s. He’s led the operations of tiny explorers through to huge producer outfits. He’s seen booms and busts firsthand and he also understands the cyclical nature of individual commodities. For example, James was right there when Barrick Gold launched an enormous $7.5 billion takeover bid for Equinox. That was the peak of the last cycle.

With his background as a geo and finance professional, he brings a unique insight and experience to Fat Tail Investment Research. He writes the broader resource-focused investing letter Diggers and Drillers and the ultra-speculative explorer-focused trading service Mining: Phase One.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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