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Macro Australian Economy

Vicinity Centres Share Price Lifts Despite Net Loss (ASX:VCX)

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By Lachlann Tierney, Wednesday, 17 February 2021

It has been a tough 12-month period for REITs like Vicinity Centres [ASX:VCX] with shopping centres forced to close due to COVID-19. Vicinity Centres share price rising 1.56% to $1.26...

It has been a tough 12-month period for REITs like Vicinity Centres [ASX:VCX] with shopping centres forced to close due to COVID-19.

But there might be light at the end of the tunnel with the VXC share price rising 1.56% to $1.26 at time of writing on the back of a reported net loss for the half year.

ASX VCX Share Price Chart - Vicinity Centres Shares

Source: Tradingview

Today’s share price action follows a similar trend of REITs, as we saw a lift in the Charter Hall Retail REIT [ASX:CQR] share price on Monday.

With REIT leaders claiming that business and consumer confidence has bounced back, can we expect a return in their share prices?

Damage could have been worse

It seems today that investors are somewhat impressed by VCX’s financial performance despite posting a $394.1 million net loss in the first half of FY2021.

That’s a drop of 262.3% from 1H2020 net profit of $242.8 million.

What may have been a pleasant surprise is the relatively small drop in revenue, which fell 8.4% to $582.3 million.

And things look set to improve into the second half of the financial year.

VCX said, excluding Victoria and CBDs, they have posted two consecutive quarters of positive sales growth across their centres.

Aussie Property Expert’s Bold Prediction for 2026. Discover More.

Now, that might sound like cherry picking but it is actually a useful metric.

You see, vacancy rates in Australia’s two largest metropolitan areas have increased over the pandemic period.

Sydney now sits at 3.2% vacancies, while Melbourne has more than doubled its rate to 4.4%.

And with people moving to more rural or regional areas, it’s important for REITs to understand what some of their most valuable assets are.

Net property income for the half took a beating, shedding 21.5% to $344.4 million.

And VCX says CBD-based assets are the laggards of the bunch.

This is what the results tell us

It’s good to see REITs like VCX slowly start to retrace some of its losses — but who can tell how long it will take before its share price is back to pre-COVID levels?

There is no doubt we will see permanent changes to Australia’s real estate land due to the pandemic.

I mean just take a look at the booming housing market in Queensland and NSW.

Particularly in the regional areas.

Where we want to live is changing and how we want to shop is changing along with that.

If you’re interested in what the future has in store for the Australian property landscape, then be sure to check out our latest report. Australian real estate expert Catherine Cashmore reveals why she thinks we could see the biggest property boom of our lifetimes — over the next five years. Click here to learn more.

Regards,

Lachlann Tierney

For The Daily Reckoning Australia

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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Lachlann Tierney
Lachlann ‘Lachy’ Tierney is passionate about uncovering hidden opportunities in the microcap sector. With four years of experience as a senior equities analyst at one of Australia’s leading microcap firms, he has built a reputation for rigorous research, deep-dive due diligence, and accessible investor communications. Over this time, he has vetted seed, pre-IPO and ASX-listed companies across sectors, conducted onsite visits, and built strong relationships across the microcap space. Lachy is nearing completion of a PhD in economics at RMIT University, where his research focuses on blockchain governance and voting systems. His work is housed within the Blockchain Innovation Hub at RMIT, a leading research centre for crypto-economics and blockchain research. He holds a Master’s degree from the London School of Economics and an Honours BA in Philosophy and Politics from the University of Melbourne. Born in New York and raised in California, Lachy grew up a few blocks from biotech giant Amgen and counts among his peers various characters in the overlapping worlds of venture capital, technology and crypto. When he’s not researching microcaps, he’s most likely sweating it out in a sauna or dunking himself in cold Tasmanian water.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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