• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Fat Tail Daily

Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

  • Menu
    • Commodities
      • Resources and Mining
      • Copper
      • Gold
      • Iron Ore
      • Lithium
      • Silver
      • Graphite
      • Rare Earths
    • Technology
      • AI
      • Bitcoin
      • Cryptocurrency
      • Energy
      • Financial Technology
      • Bio Technology
    • Market Analysis
      • Latest ASX News
      • Dividend Shares
      • ETFs
      • Stocks and Bonds
    • Macro
      • Australian Economy
      • Central Banks
      • World Markets
    • Small Caps
    • More
      • Investment Guides
      • Premium Research
      • Editors
      • About
      • Contact Us
  • Latest
  • Fat Tail Series
  • About Us
Market Analysis Latest ASX News

Universal Store [ASX:UNI] Ups Guidance Yet Shares Plummet 27%

Like 0

By Mahlia Stewart, Wednesday, 24 May 2023

Universal Store has upgraded its guidance on group sales to be in the range of $258 million to $261 million for FY23 with underlying EBIT also higher yet shareholders were downvoting shares by more than 27% on a bleak spending outlook.

Specialty retailer of youth casual apparel Universal Store Holdings [ASX:UNI] declared that it would be upgrading its guidance on group sales expected to reach the range of $258 million to $261 million for the full financial year.

This was up from the previous report of the sales range in FY22 when the total had hit $208 million in group sales.

Underlying EBIT was also reportedly expected to be in the range of $39–41 million, compared to the $32.6 million earned last year.

However, the clothing retailer experienced a share price slump by the early afternoon, mere hours after posting its increased expectations.

UNI was down a significant 27.5% drop in share price after lunch time, trading for $3 a share, not helping its 42% deficit in the year so far:

ASX:UNI Universal Store Holdings stock chart news 2023

Source: TradingView

 

Universal Store upgrades guidance yet youth sentiment is low

Reporting from its headquarters in Brisbane, Universal Store, specialty retailer of youth casual apparel, posted a trading health and guidance report for the full year ending 30 June 2023.

Only yesterday the group put out its first half 2023 highlights, speaking of total group sales reaching $145.7 million, a 34.5% increase versus prior corresponding period.

Underlying EBITDA (earnings before interest and tax, amortisation, and depreciation) had grown 43.2% on the same time last year to $28.5 million.

Statutory net profit after tax reached $17.8 million, another 31.7% climb versus the prior period and net cash was posted as $14.3 million as at the end of the calendar year.

Today, the retail group said that it is on track to deliver record sales in FY23 and material growth in EBIT compared to FY22 even despite a deteriorating macro environment and increasing signs of pressures on youth customer discretionary spending levels.

Universal Store has nevertheless decided it would upgrade its guidance, with group sales to be in the range of $258 million to $261 million for FY23.

Previously, the company had reported $208 million in group sales, in FY22.

Universal also says that its underlying EBIT is expected to be in the range of $39–41 million, which compares to $32.6 million in FY22.

The group said that although its margins and business unit inventory levels have been well managed, this was against a backdrop of increased promotional discounting activity from its peers and some evidence of overstocking in the market.

On top of this, Universal also observed trading conditions throughout April and May have further tightened, with signs of customers reducing their spending in the high-inflationary environment.

On that note, the group expects this subdued environment to continue for the balance of FY23 and into FY24.

UNI commented:

‘We are comfortable with the current inventory position across the Group. Inventory at 30 June 2023 is expected to be higher than the prior year, primarily due to the CTC acquisition, incremental new store openings, and the higher inventory holding supported by the upgraded distribution centre.

‘The Group remains committed to delivering superior in-store customer service and outstanding on-trend product, deepening relationships and reputation with customers.

‘The Group will continue to make the right long-term decisions despite the challenges of near-term sales volatility and a difficult macro environment.’

Universal’s full-year results for the 12 months ending 30 June will be released towards the end of August:

ASX:UNI Universal Store Holdings gross margin

Source: UNI

 

Australia’s evolving economy

The global supply chain is twisting.

Australian trade isn’t what it once was.

The change is all around us, but what is it all pointing to?

Jim Rickards, financial and geopolitical analyst, has pieced certain puzzle pieces together.

He says ‘no one is talking about how this could end the Australian economy as we know it’ as soon as within the next 12 months.

Learning the patterns and getting ready for change could put you ahead of the curve.

If you want to know more about the biggest geoeconomic shift of our lifetime click here.

 

Regards,

Mahlia Stewart

For Money Morning

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

Mahlia Stewart

Mahlia’s Premium Subscriptions

Publication logo
Fat Tail Investment Research

Latest Articles

  • China’s New Energy Lifeline: What Canada’s Dramatic U-Turn Means for the AI Arms Race
    By James Cooper

    Despite being an oil superpower, America desperately needs Canadian heavy crude. Now Canada's cozying up to China instead. Here's why.

  • Asia’s Currencies Flashing Red
    By Charlie Ormond

    These aren't isolated currency wobbles. They're stress gauges for global leverage and a referendum on whether the US dollar stays dominant through higher rates, or loses ground through political chaos at the Fed.

  • China’s capitulation? Part 1 – How Iran and Venezuela could kickstart its demise
    By Brian Chu

    In the first of this series, I discuss the linchpins of China’s economy and show how cheap oil plays a crucial role to secure its status as the world’s manufacturing powerhouse. The latest developments in Iran and Venezuela could threaten this.

Primary Sidebar

Latest Articles

  • China’s New Energy Lifeline: What Canada’s Dramatic U-Turn Means for the AI Arms Race
  • Asia’s Currencies Flashing Red
  • China’s capitulation? Part 1 – How Iran and Venezuela could kickstart its demise
  • Copper and Zinc: One ASX small cap that is benefitting
  • The Aussie Dollar’s Secret: Why Your Currency Is a Mining Stock in Disguise

Footer

Fat Tail Daily Logo
YouTube
Facebook
x (formally twitter)
LinkedIn

About

Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

Quick Links

Subscribe

About

FAQ

Terms and Conditions

Financial Services Guide

Privacy Policy

Get in Touch

Contact Us

Email: support@fattail.com.au

Phone: 1300 667 481

All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

Fat Tail Logo

Fat Tail Daily is brought to you by the team at Fat Tail Investment Research

Copyright © 2026 Fat Tail Daily | ACN: 117 765 009 / ABN: 33 117 765 009 / ASFL: 323 988