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Macro Australian Economy

Stock Tips — Beat-the-Market Predictions for 2021: Part Two

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By Lachlann Tierney, Saturday, 26 December 2020

PUBLISHER’S NOTE: On this Boxing Day we disrupt normal scheduling to bring you the note below from our friends at Money Morning. If you’re looking to lock in a few last-minute stock speculations for the year ahead, you should find this of interest…

Dear Reader,

Hope your Christmas Day was a great one.

Here’s some food for thought as you lie on the couch before hitting the fridge for leftovers…

ABC.net reports…

‘Technology first discovered at the University of NSW in the 1980s will be “coming home” on an industrial scale, with Australia’s Renewable Energy Agency backing construction of the country’s first utility-scale vanadium flow battery in outback South Australia.

‘The federal agency has granted the project nearly $6 million, saying the technology could “play a major role” in addressing Australia’s need for increased “heavy-duty” energy storage as renewable energy generation increases.

‘ARENA chief executive Darren Miller said flow batteries complemented “the role of more established technologies such as pumped hydro energy storage and lithium-ion batteries in the Australian market”.’

Global electricity demand plummeted in 2020 thanks to the COVID-19 pandemic.

But someone forgot to tell investors in renewable stocks.

But if you’re looking for stocks that have the potential to outperform the market by significant margins next year, you should be focusing on left-field renewable plays.

Ones that have yet to get a groundswell of mainstream attention.

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So, where should you be looking?

We’ve predicted for some time rare earths are due for a mighty resurgence.

Well, we seem to be on the precipice of it.

Electric Vehicle (EVs) require permanent magnets that rely on multiple rare earth metals.

A report from Brand Essence Research states the market will be worth $20.6 billion by 2025, stating:

‘Growing demand for magnets in automobiles, and energy generation will majorly contribute to the growth of global rare earth metals market over the forecast period.

‘The demand for rare earth magnets is majorly increasing by their consumption in electric and hybrid vehicles… Increasing focus on utilizing clean and renewable energy is giving a substantial pressure on the electricity providers, to generate energy through renewable sources, which in turn will show a positive impact on the growth of this market.’

OK, so that’s mainstream speak.

But what’s the angle for you here?

Right now, a bunch of small Australian companies are working on broadening Australia’s rare earth supply chain.

China has the stranglehold here.

But Aussie rare earth miners are trying very hard to loosen it.

The big gun, Lynas Corporation, recently renamed themselves Lynas Rare Earths. That’s a big hint where the wind is blowing — and where the money is likely to be made — in 2021.

As Argus Media reports:

‘Lynas is spending around A$400mn ($292mn) on a cracking and leaching plant at Kalgoorlie in Western Australia. This will process ore sourced from its Mt Weld mine before it is sent to Kuantan in Malaysia for further processing.

‘Lynas and its US partner Blue Line Corporation in July signed a contract with the US Department of Defense for the first phase of developing a heavy rare earths separation facility in the country.’

There are multiple other smaller companies trying to get a footprint here before demand skyrockets.

The next stocks to go to the Moon?

President-elect Joe Biden is most certainly not good news for those in the fossil fuel business.

For nuclear energy, however, it’s a green light.

The smaller stocks with exposure to this field deserve your immediate attention going into 2021.

These stocks have NOT, for the most part, been beneficiaries of the clean energy boom.

But there’s a good chance that’s about to change…

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) says every pathway to zero emissions MUST include nuclear energy.

Few people realise a kilowatt hour of nuclear-generated electricity has pretty much the same carbon footprint as wind (four grams) and only slightly less than solar (six grams).

That’s compared to 109 grams for coal.

No wonder Biden’s $2 trillion climate plan has nuclear as a core component.

But what stocks should you be on the lookout for?

But you should also look at businesses trying to solve nuclear’s knotty problems.

For instance, the energy required to mine and refine the uranium and manufacture the nuclear power plants comes from fossil fuels.

Companies working on ways to ‘green up’ the nuclear process will come under the spotlight in the coming years.

NASA sparked and the US Department of Energy recently announced plans to build a nuclear power plant on the Moon and Mars to support its exploration plans.

The plan is for a ‘fission surface power system’, with a reactor ready to launch by 2026.

But the stock gains from nuclear will be found much closer to home — and likely in a much shorter time frame.

One play we’re targeting right now is on US uranium supply issues.

It’s working on ‘third generation’ uranium enrichment technology.

According to the company, this is more cost-effective than the older tech (centrifuges). With nuclear power, you want to create enriched uranium, and centrifuges basically spin it (the isotopes) around to do this.

This company claims to have the only known commercialisation project in the world that uses lasers to concentrate uranium. This laser technology is where its expertise lies.

It already has a foothold in the lucrative US market via a deal with the US Department of Energy (DOE).

In a nutshell, if these guys can prove the viability of their tech, huge things are in store in the next few years.

If you think the world’s ‘nuclear option’ is a foregone conclusion, you’ll want to consider this stock carefully.

It’s part of our ‘Clean Energy Second Order’ portfolio.

Regards,


Lachlann Tierney Signature

Lachlann Tierney,
For The Daily Reckoning Australia

PS: Discover why this gold expert is predicting a HUGE spike in Aussie gold stock prices. Download your free report now.

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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Lachlann Tierney
Lachlann ‘Lachy’ Tierney is passionate about uncovering hidden opportunities in the microcap sector. With four years of experience as a senior equities analyst at one of Australia’s leading microcap firms, he has built a reputation for rigorous research, deep-dive due diligence, and accessible investor communications. Over this time, he has vetted seed, pre-IPO and ASX-listed companies across sectors, conducted onsite visits, and built strong relationships across the microcap space. Lachy is nearing completion of a PhD in economics at RMIT University, where his research focuses on blockchain governance and voting systems. His work is housed within the Blockchain Innovation Hub at RMIT, a leading research centre for crypto-economics and blockchain research. He holds a Master’s degree from the London School of Economics and an Honours BA in Philosophy and Politics from the University of Melbourne. Born in New York and raised in California, Lachy grew up a few blocks from biotech giant Amgen and counts among his peers various characters in the overlapping worlds of venture capital, technology and crypto. When he’s not researching microcaps, he’s most likely sweating it out in a sauna or dunking himself in cold Tasmanian water.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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