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Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

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Closing Bell

Trader Education Series: Distributions

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 19 December 2025

If you have enjoyed Murray’s Closing Bell videos but need help to understand the theory behind his analysis, then this video series is for you. This first instalment looks at how and why ranges develop, and how traders can take advantage of them to enter trades with great chances of success.

Closing Bell Finale: The Setup for 2026

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 12 December 2025

This is the final live Closing Bell for 2025, and it tees up what Murray thinks could matter most in 2026. The big theme is the growing gap between Australian and US interest rates. Falling US rates and a softer US dollar could shape the biggest opportunities next year. A weaker US dollar is helping commodities push higher, and the move is already showing up across gold, silver, copper, rare earths, lithium, and uranium, with more upside possible.

Copper’s Christmas Breakout and a New Stock Idea

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 05 December 2025

Hopes for a Santa rally are building as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq just confirmed a weekly buy pivot, with odds of a US rate cut now close to 100%. In today’s Closing Bell, we look at how powerful these weekly trends can be.

Is This the Start of the Santa Rally?

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 28 November 2025

After a rough month that saw the ASX 200 drop 8% and local microcaps sink 15%, everyone’s hoping a Santa Rally is around the corner. As US rate cut hopes rise US stocks are edging towards a weekly buy signal. But in Australia, hot inflation has traders worrying we’re heading the other way. In this week’s Closing Bell, Charlie and I break down the diverging paths of the Nasdaq and ASX and where the real action is hiding. We look at fresh moves in copper and an oversold Bitcoin that could be ready to bounce, but we also explain why you might want to de-risk on the way up.

AI Jitters Spread

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 21 November 2025

The market looked unstoppable a week ago. Now the ASX 200 is rolling over, the S&P 500 just posted a brutal reversal after Nvidia’s results, and the AI poster children are starting to bleed. In this episode of Closing Bell we break down the confirmed false break on the ASX, the huge intraday whipsaw on Wall Street, why names like Nvidia, Blue Owl, Oracle and Meta are flashing warning signs, and how the collapsing Japanese yen could be the next wild card. Plus, we map out the key downside levels to watch and where Nvidia might actually become a buy if this correction deepens.

ASX About to Crack?

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 14 November 2025

In today’s Closing Bell, we look at the ASX 200’s sudden slide, why key support is so important here, and how a false break could turn into a near 10% correction into Christmas. I also touch on the growing cracks in weaker AI names, such as Oracle and Meta, and what that might mean for the broader market. We finish on a positive note with a brief look at the lithium stocks that are still running. Hit play to see the levels and charts I’m watching now.

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Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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