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Investment Ideas From the Edge of the Bell Curve

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Closing Bell

Reflation Trade or Fed Takeover?

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 09 January 2026

More commodities start to run as gold and silver explode higher. Small caps are also flying. But are they just playing catch-up to the Magnificent 7?

Is it a sign of better growth ahead or just fears that the new US Fed Chairman will lower rates too far?

Charlie and Murray assess the state of play as we head into 2026.

Trader Education Series: Trends

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 02 January 2026

If you have enjoyed Murray’s Closing Bell videos but need help to understand the theory behind his analysis, then this three part video series is for you. This third instalment looks at how to define trends. Combining this knowledge with the theory of distributions and buy and sell pivots creates a model of market behaviour that keeps you out of trouble and points you towards winning trades.

Trader Education Series: Buy and Sell Pivots

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 26 December 2025

If you have enjoyed Murray’s Closing Bell videos but need help to understand the theory behind his analysis, then this video series is for you. This second instalment looks at how prices change direction using buy and sell pivots. The secret to their use is combining them with Murray’s theory of how ranges and trends develop. That’s what you will learn today.

Trader Education Series: Distributions

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 19 December 2025

If you have enjoyed Murray’s Closing Bell videos but need help to understand the theory behind his analysis, then this video series is for you. This first instalment looks at how and why ranges develop, and how traders can take advantage of them to enter trades with great chances of success.

Closing Bell Finale: The Setup for 2026

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 12 December 2025

This is the final live Closing Bell for 2025, and it tees up what Murray thinks could matter most in 2026. The big theme is the growing gap between Australian and US interest rates. Falling US rates and a softer US dollar could shape the biggest opportunities next year. A weaker US dollar is helping commodities push higher, and the move is already showing up across gold, silver, copper, rare earths, lithium, and uranium, with more upside possible.

Copper’s Christmas Breakout and a New Stock Idea

By Murray Dawes, Friday, 05 December 2025

Hopes for a Santa rally are building as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq just confirmed a weekly buy pivot, with odds of a US rate cut now close to 100%. In today’s Closing Bell, we look at how powerful these weekly trends can be.

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Investment ideas from the edge of the bell curve.

Go beyond conventional investing strategies with unique ideas and actionable opportunities. Our expert editors deliver conviction-led insights to guide your financial journey.

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Email: support@fattail.com.au

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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