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Series Closing Bell

Rate Cuts to Resource Rallies – What’s next in Markets?

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By Murray Dawes, Friday, 31 October 2025

JP Morgan just upgraded lithium prices by 60% as battery storage demand explodes 50% in 2025. Meanwhile, Trump's $80bn uranium investment could ignite the next commodity rally. But there's a hidden warning signal in the markets that's successfully predicted corrections for decades — and it's flashing orange right now.

We have a bumper issue of Closing Bell for you today.

There has been a lot going on in markets, so Charlie and I dive in to look at the US interest rate cut, Aussie inflation, uranium, rare earths, lithium, and the falling market breadth in the US.

JP Morgan has upgraded its medium and long-term pricing for lithium on the back of sharply rising demand for Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS).

With demand rising 50% in 2025 and expected to increase another 46% next year, BESS are starting to become a larger part of overall lithium demand.

As reported in Stockhead.com.au:

‘JPMorgan analysts led by Lyndon Fagan have now upgraded the bank’s 2026/27 forecasts from US$800/t to US$1100/US$1200/t and their long-term price from US$1100/t to US$1300/t.’

Closing Bell viewers were given a heads-up on the opportunity in lithium in July, with Pilbara Minerals [ASX:PLS], Liontown Resources [ASX:LTR], and Mineral Resources [ASX:MIN] suggested options.

All three stocks have rallied strongly since then and appear poised for further upside.

Uranium has also had a big week with Trump’s announcement of a US$80bn investment into buying Westinghouse nuclear reactors.

The uranium price is neatly poised to confirm that it has started a primary uptrend again in the five-year bull market.

This news could be the catalyst to get the rally moving.

The Trump-Xi meeting has been stage-managed into a successful outcome, and rare earths will continue to flow to the US for now.

However, China and the US’s thawing relationship hasn’t caused the rare earth stocks to plummet.

The fact remains that the US needs to build a supply chain for rare earths externally from China. Now that China has used them as leverage over the US, the path forward is set regardless of the outcome of this meeting.

Stocks in general remain near their all-time highs, but when you look under the hood, it becomes clear that market breadth is falling rapidly.

I show you a market breadth indicator and its success over the past few decades in predicting a coming correction.

At the moment, the indicator is flashing orange. It hasn’t tipped over yet, but it doesn’t look great.

So, there’s plenty to discuss today. If you don’t have time up your sleeves, just press on the little cog in the bottom right of the screen and adjust the playback speed so we sound like chipmunks.

Then you will get through the video in a jiffy.

Enjoy today’s instalment of Closing Bell and don’t forget to leave a comment and give us a ‘like’ on the YouTube channel.

Regards,

Murray Dawes,
Retirement Trader and International Stock Trader

All advice is general advice and has not taken into account your personal circumstances.

Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

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Murray Dawes

Murray Dawes is our resident expert trader and portfolio manager. He is a former Sydney Futures Exchange floor trader who went on to design custom trading systems and strategies for ultra-wealthy clients (including one of Australia’s richest families). Today, his mission is to help ordinary Aussie investors make profitable investments, while expertly managing risk.

He uses his proprietary system for his more conversative and longer-term-focused service Retirement Trader…and then applies the same system to the ultra-speculative end of the Australian market in Fat Tail Microcaps (this service is strictly limited and via invitation only).

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All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment.

The value of any investment and the income derived from it can go down as well as up. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and keep in mind the ultimate risk is that you can lose whatever you’ve invested. While useful for detecting patterns, the past is not a guide to future performance. Some figures contained in our reports are forecasts and may not be a reliable indicator of future results. Any actual or potential gains in these reports may not include taxes, brokerage commissions, or associated fees.

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